Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 23 September–5 October 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
0.0% |
19.2% |
17.7–20.9% |
17.3–21.3% |
16.9–21.7% |
16.2–22.5% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
13.1% |
11.8–14.5% |
11.5–14.9% |
11.2–15.3% |
10.6–16.0% |
Liberal Alliance (EPP) |
0.0% |
13.0% |
11.7–14.4% |
11.4–14.8% |
11.1–15.2% |
10.5–15.9% |
Venstre (RE) |
0.0% |
9.5% |
8.4–10.8% |
8.1–11.1% |
7.9–11.5% |
7.4–12.1% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) |
0.0% |
9.1% |
8.1–10.4% |
7.8–10.7% |
7.5–11.0% |
7.0–11.7% |
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) |
0.0% |
8.3% |
7.3–9.6% |
7.0–9.9% |
6.8–10.2% |
6.3–10.8% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.3% |
6.3–8.4% |
6.1–8.7% |
5.8–9.0% |
5.4–9.6% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
0.0% |
6.9% |
6.0–8.0% |
5.7–8.3% |
5.5–8.6% |
5.1–9.2% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
0.0% |
4.8% |
4.0–5.7% |
3.8–6.0% |
3.6–6.2% |
3.3–6.7% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
4.2% |
3.5–5.1% |
3.3–5.3% |
3.1–5.6% |
2.8–6.1% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.2% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.3% |
1.3–3.7% |
Borgernes Parti (NI) |
0.0% |
1.8% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.3–2.7% |
1.2–2.9% |
1.0–3.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
34% |
100% |
|
4 |
66% |
66% |
Median |
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
91% |
99.9% |
Median |
3 |
9% |
9% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
89% |
99.9% |
Median |
3 |
11% |
11% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
21% |
100% |
|
2 |
79% |
79% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
71% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
29% |
29% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
82% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
18% |
18% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.7% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
28% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
72% |
72% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
84% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
16% |
16% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Borgernes Parti (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgernes Parti (NI) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
0 |
4 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) |
0 |
3 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
1–3 |
1–4 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
34% |
100% |
|
4 |
66% |
66% |
Median |
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
91% |
99.9% |
Median |
3 |
9% |
9% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
3% |
100% |
|
2 |
29% |
97% |
|
3 |
67% |
68% |
Median |
4 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
71% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
29% |
29% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
82% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
18% |
18% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.7% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 23 September–5 October 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1031
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.81%