Opinion Poll by Verian for Berlingske, 29 October–4 November 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne (S&D) | 0.0% | 22.8% | 21.6–24.1% | 21.2–24.5% | 20.9–24.8% | 20.3–25.5% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 12.5% | 11.5–13.6% | 11.3–13.9% | 11.0–14.1% | 10.6–14.6% |
| Venstre (RE) | 0.0% | 10.5% | 9.6–11.5% | 9.3–11.8% | 9.1–12.0% | 8.7–12.5% |
| Liberal Alliance (EPP) | 0.0% | 10.5% | 9.6–11.5% | 9.3–11.8% | 9.1–12.0% | 8.7–12.5% |
| Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) | 0.0% | 10.1% | 9.2–11.1% | 9.0–11.3% | 8.8–11.6% | 8.4–12.1% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) | 0.0% | 7.9% | 7.1–8.8% | 6.9–9.0% | 6.7–9.3% | 6.4–9.7% |
| Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) | 0.0% | 7.6% | 6.9–8.5% | 6.7–8.7% | 6.5–9.0% | 6.1–9.4% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 7.3% | 6.6–8.1% | 6.3–8.4% | 6.2–8.6% | 5.8–9.0% |
| Radikale Venstre (RE) | 0.0% | 3.8% | 3.3–4.5% | 3.1–4.6% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.8–5.1% |
| Moderaterne (RE) | 0.0% | 3.3% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.6–4.3% | 2.3–4.6% |
| Alternativet (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 1.0–1.7% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% |
| Borgernes Parti (NI) | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.7–1.3% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.5% | 0.5–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| Venstre (RE) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Liberal Alliance (EPP) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Radikale Venstre (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Moderaterne (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alternativet (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Borgernes Parti (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 67% | 100% | Median |
| 5 | 33% | 33% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 98% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 94% | 94% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 95% | 95% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 27% | 100% | |
| 2 | 73% | 73% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.6% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.9% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.9% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Borgernes Parti (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgernes Parti (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 67% | 100% | Median |
| 5 | 33% | 33% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 98% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 27% | 100% | |
| 2 | 73% | 73% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 93% | 95% | Median |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.9% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.9% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): Berlingske
- Fieldwork period: 29 October–4 November 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1784
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 3.11%