Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 5–11 January 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne (S&D) | 0.0% | 19.8% | 18.3–21.5% | 17.8–22.0% | 17.5–22.4% | 16.7–23.2% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 14.9% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.8–17.3% | 12.2–18.0% |
| Venstre (RE) | 0.0% | 10.8% | 9.7–12.2% | 9.3–12.6% | 9.1–12.9% | 8.5–13.6% |
| Liberal Alliance (EPP) | 0.0% | 10.5% | 9.4–11.9% | 9.1–12.3% | 8.8–12.6% | 8.3–13.3% |
| Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) | 0.0% | 10.3% | 9.2–11.7% | 8.9–12.1% | 8.6–12.4% | 8.1–13.1% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 7.5% | 6.5–8.6% | 6.2–9.0% | 6.0–9.3% | 5.6–9.8% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) | 0.0% | 6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.8% |
| Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.7% |
| Radikale Venstre (RE) | 0.0% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.1–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| Moderaterne (RE) | 0.0% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| Alternativet (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.4% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.9% |
| Borgernes Parti (NI) | 0.0% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.7–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Venstre (RE) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Liberal Alliance (EPP) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Radikale Venstre (RE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Moderaterne (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alternativet (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Borgernes Parti (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 40% | 100% | |
| 4 | 60% | 60% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 66% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 34% | 34% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 16% | 100% | |
| 2 | 83% | 84% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 15% | 100% | |
| 2 | 85% | 85% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 43% | 100% | |
| 2 | 57% | 57% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.7% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.5% | 99.6% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.5% | 99.5% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 81% | 81% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Borgernes Parti (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgernes Parti (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 40% | 100% | |
| 4 | 60% | 60% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 66% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 34% | 34% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 35% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 64% | 65% | Median |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 43% | 100% | |
| 2 | 57% | 57% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.5% | 99.5% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.7% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 5–11 January 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1005
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.59%