Opinion Poll by Verian for Berlingske, 28 January–3 February 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 23.2% 21.9–24.6% 21.6–24.9% 21.2–25.3% 20.7–25.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 13.1% 12.1–14.2% 11.8–14.5% 11.6–14.8% 11.1–15.3%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 11.3% 10.3–12.3% 10.1–12.6% 9.8–12.9% 9.4–13.4%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 10.1% 9.2–11.1% 9.0–11.4% 8.7–11.6% 8.4–12.1%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 8.7% 7.9–9.6% 7.6–9.9% 7.4–10.1% 7.1–10.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.6% 6.8–8.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.4–8.9% 6.1–9.4%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 7.3% 6.5–8.2% 6.3–8.4% 6.1–8.6% 5.8–9.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 7.0% 6.2–7.8% 6.0–8.1% 5.9–8.3% 5.5–8.7%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 4.7% 4.1–5.4% 3.9–5.6% 3.8–5.8% 3.5–6.2%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 3.9% 3.3–4.6% 3.2–4.7% 3.0–4.9% 2.8–5.2%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.8% 1.5–2.3% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.6% 1.1–2.8%
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.6% 0.8–1.7% 0.8–1.8% 0.6–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 39% 100%  
5 61% 61% Median
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 82% 100% Median
3 18% 18%  
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.5% 100%  
2 99.4% 99.5% Median
3 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 3% 100%  
2 97% 97% Median
3 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 93% 100% Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 100% Median
2 0.4% 0.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 100% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Last Result, Median
1 13% 13%  
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Borgernes Parti (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgernes Parti (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 5 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 0% 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 39% 100%  
5 61% 61% Median
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 82% 100% Median
3 18% 18%  
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 85% 99.9% Median
3 15% 15%  
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 93% 100% Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 100% Median
2 0.4% 0.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations