Opinion Poll by Verian for Berlingske, 25 February–3 March 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 21.9% 20.6–23.3% 20.3–23.7% 20.0–24.0% 19.4–24.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 14.6% 13.5–15.8% 13.2–16.2% 13.0–16.4% 12.5–17.0%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 10.0% 9.1–11.0% 8.8–11.3% 8.6–11.6% 8.2–12.1%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 9.9% 9.0–10.9% 8.7–11.2% 8.5–11.4% 8.1–11.9%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 9.5% 8.6–10.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.2–11.0% 7.8–11.5%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 7.4% 6.6–8.3% 6.4–8.6% 6.2–8.8% 5.9–9.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.3% 5.5–8.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.7% 6.0–7.6% 5.8–7.8% 5.6–8.1% 5.3–8.5%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 5.3% 4.6–6.1% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.5% 4.0–6.9%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 3.7% 3.2–4.4% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.7% 2.7–5.1%
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0.0% 1.9% 1.5–2.4% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–3.0%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.3% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 4 4 4 4–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Venstre (RE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.3% 100%  
4 98% 99.7% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 39% 100%  
3 61% 61% Median
4 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 14% 100%  
2 86% 86% Median
3 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 35% 100%  
2 65% 65% Median
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 87% 100% Median
2 13% 13%  
3 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 29% 100% Last Result
1 71% 71% Median
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Borgernes Parti (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgernes Parti (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 4 4 4 4–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 1–3
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.3% 100%  
4 98% 99.7% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 39% 100%  
3 61% 61% Median
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.5% 100%  
2 61% 99.5%  
3 39% 39% Median
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 87% 100% Median
2 13% 13%  
3 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations