Opinion Poll by Epinion for Altinget and DR, 2–4 March 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 20.0% 18.8–21.3% 18.4–21.7% 18.1–22.0% 17.6–22.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 12.3% 11.3–13.4% 11.0–13.7% 10.8–13.9% 10.3–14.5%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 11.5% 10.6–12.6% 10.3–12.9% 10.1–13.1% 9.6–13.6%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 9.7% 8.9–10.7% 8.6–11.0% 8.4–11.2% 8.0–11.7%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 8.8% 7.9–9.7% 7.7–10.0% 7.5–10.2% 7.1–10.7%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 8.3% 7.5–9.2% 7.3–9.5% 7.1–9.7% 6.7–10.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 8.0% 7.2–8.9% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.4% 6.4–9.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.6–7.6%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 4.9% 4.3–5.7% 4.1–5.9% 4.0–6.1% 3.7–6.4%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 4.3% 3.7–5.0% 3.5–5.2% 3.4–5.3% 3.1–5.7%
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0.0% 2.6% 2.2–3.2% 2.0–3.4% 2.0–3.5% 1.8–3.8%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.6% 2.2–3.2% 2.0–3.4% 2.0–3.5% 1.8–3.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2 2 2 2
Venstre (RE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 12% 100%  
4 86% 88% Median
5 1.1% 1.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 93% 100% Median
3 7% 7%  
4 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 99.3% 99.7% Median
3 0.4% 0.4%  
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 16% 100%  
2 84% 84% Median
3 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 86% 100% Median
2 14% 14%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 89% 100% Median
2 11% 11%  
3 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 96% 100% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100% Last Result
1 99.1% 99.1% Median
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 29% 100% Last Result
1 71% 71% Median
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Last Result, Median
1 22% 22%  
2 0% 0%  

Borgernes Parti (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgernes Parti (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–4 2–4 1–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 2 0% 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–1

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 12% 100%  
4 86% 88% Median
5 1.1% 1.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 25% 98%  
3 65% 72% Median
4 7% 7%  
5 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 93% 100% Median
3 7% 7%  
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 86% 100% Median
2 14% 14%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 89% 100% Median
2 11% 11%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100% Last Result
1 99.1% 99.1% Median
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations