Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 2–4 March 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 23.5% 21.8–25.2% 21.4–25.7% 21.0–26.1% 20.2–27.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 13.1% 11.8–14.5% 11.5–14.9% 11.2–15.3% 10.6–16.0%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 12.1% 10.9–13.4% 10.5–13.8% 10.2–14.2% 9.7–14.9%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.7% 6.7–10.0% 6.2–10.6%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 6.0–10.3%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 7.6% 6.6–8.7% 6.4–9.1% 6.1–9.4% 5.7–9.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 6.6% 5.7–7.6% 5.4–7.9% 5.2–8.2% 4.8–8.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.9% 5.0–6.9% 4.8–7.2% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.0%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 5.7% 4.9–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.5–7.3% 4.1–7.8%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 4.8% 4.1–5.8% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.3% 3.4–6.8%
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.9% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–2.9% 1.1–3.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2 2 2 2–3
Venstre (RE) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 81% 99.9% Median
5 19% 19%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 89% 99.9% Median
3 11% 11%  
4 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 98.9% 99.7% Median
3 0.7% 0.7%  
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 96% 100% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 96% 100% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.2% 100% Median
2 0.8% 0.8%  
3 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 99.8% Median
2 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 96% 96% Median
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100% Last Result
1 92% 92% Median
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 27% 100% Last Result
1 73% 73% Median
2 0% 0%  

Borgernes Parti (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgernes Parti (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 1–3 1–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 0% 1 1 1–2 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 0–1 0–1

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 81% 99.9% Median
5 19% 19%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 89% 99.9% Median
3 11% 11%  
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 3% 100%  
2 24% 97%  
3 72% 72% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 96% 100% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.2% 100% Median
2 0.8% 0.8%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 96% 96% Median
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations