Opinion Poll by Epinion for Altinget and DR, 3–5 March 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 21.0% 19.8–22.3% 19.4–22.6% 19.2–22.9% 18.6–23.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 11.6% 10.7–12.7% 10.4–12.9% 10.2–13.2% 9.8–13.7%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 11.0% 10.1–12.0% 9.9–12.3% 9.6–12.5% 9.2–13.0%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 10.1% 9.3–11.1% 9.0–11.4% 8.8–11.6% 8.4–12.1%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 8.7% 7.9–9.6% 7.7–9.9% 7.5–10.1% 7.1–10.5%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 8.2% 7.4–9.1% 7.2–9.3% 7.0–9.6% 6.6–10.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 7.3% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.4% 6.2–8.6% 5.9–9.0%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.6% 5.9–7.4% 5.7–7.6% 5.5–7.8% 5.2–8.2%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 5.1% 4.5–5.8% 4.3–6.0% 4.2–6.2% 3.9–6.6%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 4.6% 4.0–5.3% 3.9–5.5% 3.7–5.7% 3.5–6.0%
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0.0% 2.7% 2.3–3.3% 2.1–3.4% 2.1–3.6% 1.9–3.9%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.6% 2.2–3.2% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.4% 1.8–3.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2 2 2 2
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Venstre (RE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 6% 100%  
4 94% 94% Median
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.5% 100%  
2 99.4% 99.5% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.9% 100%  
2 99.1% 99.1% Median
3 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 33% 100%  
2 67% 67% Median
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 94% 100% Median
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 94% 100% Median
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 99.8% Median
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100% Last Result
1 87% 87% Median
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Last Result, Median
1 41% 41%  
2 0% 0%  

Borgernes Parti (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgernes Parti (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–4 2–4 2–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 0% 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 6% 100%  
4 94% 94% Median
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 11% 100%  
3 84% 89% Median
4 6% 6%  
5 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.5% 100%  
2 99.4% 99.5% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 94% 100% Median
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 94% 100% Median
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 99.8% Median
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations