Opinion Poll by Epinion for Altinget and DR, 12–14 March 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 19.1% 18.0–20.4% 17.6–20.7% 17.3–21.0% 16.8–21.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 14.0% 13.0–15.1% 12.7–15.4% 12.5–15.7% 12.0–16.2%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 10.5% 9.6–11.5% 9.4–11.8% 9.2–12.0% 8.8–12.5%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 10.3% 9.4–11.3% 9.2–11.6% 8.9–11.8% 8.6–12.3%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 9.5% 8.7–10.5% 8.4–10.7% 8.2–11.0% 7.8–11.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.6% 6.8–8.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.4–8.9% 6.1–9.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 7.1% 6.4–7.9% 6.1–8.2% 6.0–8.4% 5.6–8.8%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.7–7.6%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 5.2% 4.6–6.0% 4.4–6.2% 4.3–6.4% 4.0–6.7%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.2–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.8–6.5%
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0.0% 3.3% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.1% 2.6–4.3% 2.4–4.6%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.5–2.8% 1.3–3.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Venstre (RE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 65% 100% Median
4 35% 35%  
5 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 78% 100% Median
3 22% 22%  
4 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 6% 100%  
2 94% 94% Median
3 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 15% 100%  
2 85% 85% Median
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 78% 100% Median
2 22% 22%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 100% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 98% 98% Median
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 21% 100% Last Result
1 79% 79% Median
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 35% 100% Last Result
1 65% 65% Median
2 0% 0%  

Borgernes Parti (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgernes Parti (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 3 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 3 0% 2–4 2–4 2–4 2–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 65% 100% Median
4 35% 35%  
5 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 13% 99.9%  
3 46% 87%  
4 41% 41% Median
5 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 78% 100% Median
3 22% 22%  
4 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 78% 100% Median
2 22% 22%  
3 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 98% 98% Median
2 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 100% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations