Opinion Poll by YouGov, 1–18 March 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 21.4% 20.7–22.2% 20.5–22.4% 20.3–22.6% 19.9–22.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 13.6% 13.0–14.2% 12.8–14.4% 12.7–14.6% 12.4–14.9%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 10.1% 9.6–10.7% 9.4–10.9% 9.3–11.0% 9.1–11.3%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 9.8% 9.3–10.4% 9.1–10.5% 9.0–10.7% 8.8–10.9%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 9.3% 8.8–9.9% 8.6–10.0% 8.5–10.2% 8.3–10.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 7.7% 7.2–8.2% 7.1–8.4% 7.0–8.5% 6.8–8.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.3% 5.9–6.8% 5.8–6.9% 5.7–7.0% 5.5–7.3%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 6.2% 5.8–6.7% 5.7–6.8% 5.6–6.9% 5.4–7.1%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 5.8% 5.4–6.2% 5.3–6.4% 5.2–6.5% 5.0–6.7%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 4.7% 4.3–5.1% 4.2–5.2% 4.1–5.3% 4.0–5.5%
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0.0% 2.3% 2.0–2.6% 2.0–2.7% 1.9–2.8% 1.8–2.9%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.3% 2.0–2.6% 2.0–2.7% 1.9–2.8% 1.8–2.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 4 4 4 4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2 2 2 2–3
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Venstre (RE) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 99.9% 99.9% Median
5 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 98.9% 100% Median
3 1.1% 1.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 10% 100%  
2 90% 90% Median
3 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 52% 100% Median
2 48% 48%  
3 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 85% 100% Median
2 15% 15%  
3 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 54% 100% Last Result, Median
1 46% 46%  
2 0% 0%  

Borgernes Parti (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgernes Parti (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 4 4 4 4
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 2–3
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 2 0% 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 99.9% 99.9% Median
5 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 40% 100% Median
3 60% 60%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 98.9% 100% Median
3 1.1% 1.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 10% 100%  
2 90% 90% Median
3 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations