Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 17–19 March 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 21.5% 19.9–23.2% 19.5–23.7% 19.1–24.2% 18.4–25.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 12.8% 11.6–14.3% 11.2–14.7% 10.9–15.0% 10.3–15.7%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 9.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.0–11.0% 7.7–11.3% 7.3–12.0%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 9.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.0–11.0% 7.7–11.3% 7.3–12.0%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 7.4% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 6.0–9.2% 5.5–9.8%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 7.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 7.2% 6.3–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.4–9.6%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 7.1% 6.2–8.3% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.3–9.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.8% 5.8–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.0%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0.0% 2.9% 2.4–3.7% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.8–4.6%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 4 4–5 3–5 3–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Moderaterne (RE) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 3% 100%  
4 92% 97% Median
5 5% 5%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 87% 100% Median
3 13% 13%  
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 53% 100% Median
2 47% 47%  
3 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 60% 100% Median
2 40% 40%  
3 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.1% 100% Median
2 0.9% 0.9%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.5% 100% Median
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.4% 99.9% Median
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 100% Median
2 0.4% 0.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 99.7% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 95% 95% Median
2 0% 0%  

Borgernes Parti (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgernes Parti (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 4 4–5 3–5 3–5
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 3 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 3% 100%  
4 92% 97% Median
5 5% 5%  
6 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 1.0% 100%  
3 55% 99.0% Median
4 44% 44%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 87% 100% Median
3 13% 13%  
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 100% Median
2 0.4% 0.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.5% 100% Median
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 99.7% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations