Opinion Poll by Epinion for Altinget and DR, 21 March 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 20.0% 18.8–21.3% 18.4–21.7% 18.1–22.0% 17.5–22.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 12.6% 11.6–13.7% 11.3–14.0% 11.1–14.3% 10.6–14.8%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 11.0% 10.1–12.1% 9.8–12.4% 9.6–12.6% 9.2–13.1%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 9.5% 8.6–10.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.2–11.0% 7.8–11.5%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 8.6% 7.8–9.6% 7.5–9.8% 7.3–10.1% 7.0–10.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.9% 7.1–8.8% 6.9–9.1% 6.7–9.3% 6.3–9.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 7.6% 6.8–8.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.4–9.0% 6.1–9.4%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 6.9% 6.2–7.8% 6.0–8.0% 5.8–8.2% 5.5–8.7%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 6.6% 5.9–7.5% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–7.9% 5.2–8.4%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.5%
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0.0% 2.2% 1.8–2.8% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.4–3.3%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2 2 2 2–3
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Venstre (RE) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 39% 100%  
4 61% 61% Median
5 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 99.5% 100% Median
3 0.5% 0.5%  
4 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.6% 100%  
2 99.4% 99.4% Median
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 53% 100% Median
2 47% 47%  
3 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98.6% 100% Median
2 1.4% 1.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 100% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 100% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100% Last Result
1 90% 90% Median
2 0% 0%  

Borgernes Parti (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgernes Parti (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 3 0% 3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 2–3
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 39% 100%  
4 61% 61% Median
5 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 9% 100%  
3 90% 91% Median
4 0.7% 0.7%  
5 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 99.5% 100% Median
3 0.5% 0.5%  
4 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 53% 100% Median
2 47% 47%  
3 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 100% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations