Opinion Poll by Verian for Berlingske, 23–29 September 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 20.9% 19.7–22.2% 19.3–22.6% 19.0–22.9% 18.4–23.5%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 13.4% 12.4–14.5% 12.1–14.8% 11.8–15.1% 11.4–15.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 10.3% 9.4–11.3% 9.2–11.6% 9.0–11.9% 8.6–12.4%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 9.4% 8.5–10.4% 8.3–10.6% 8.1–10.9% 7.7–11.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 9.3% 8.4–10.2% 8.2–10.5% 8.0–10.7% 7.6–11.2%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 7.8% 7.0–8.7% 6.8–9.0% 6.6–9.2% 6.3–9.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.4% 6.6–8.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.2–8.7% 5.9–9.2%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 6.6% 5.9–7.4% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–7.9% 5.2–8.3%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 6.2% 5.5–7.0% 5.3–7.3% 5.2–7.5% 4.8–7.9%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.6–7.6%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.8% 1.5–2.3% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.6% 1.1–2.8%
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 2 2 2 2–3 2–3
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Venstre (RE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 19% 100%  
4 81% 81% Median
5 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 95% 100% Median
3 5% 5%  
4 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 20% 100%  
2 80% 80% Median
3 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 80% 100% Median
2 20% 20%  
3 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 84% 100% Median
2 16% 16%  
3 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 100% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 99.7% Median
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 97% Median
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Borgernes Parti (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgernes Parti (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 2 0% 2 2 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) 0 3 0% 3 3 2–3 2–3
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 19% 100%  
4 81% 81% Median
5 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 95% 100% Median
3 5% 5%  
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 3% 100%  
3 97% 97% Median
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 20% 100%  
2 80% 80% Median
3 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations