Opinion Poll by Gallup, 3 October 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.3% 25.9–28.8% 25.6–29.2% 25.2–29.5% 24.6–30.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 14.3% 13.3–15.5% 13.0–15.8% 12.7–16.1% 12.2–16.7%
Venstre 23.4% 13.2% 12.2–14.3% 11.9–14.6% 11.6–14.9% 11.2–15.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.7% 7.9–9.7% 7.7–10.0% 7.5–10.2% 7.1–10.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.3% 7.5–9.2% 7.3–9.5% 7.1–9.7% 6.7–10.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.9% 6.2–7.8% 6.0–8.0% 5.8–8.2% 5.5–8.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.1% 5.4–6.9% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.3% 4.7–7.7%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.6% 4.9–6.4% 4.7–6.6% 4.6–6.8% 4.3–7.2%
Moderaterne 0.0% 3.5% 3.0–4.1% 2.8–4.3% 2.7–4.5% 2.5–4.8%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 2.5% 2.1–3.1% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.4% 1.7–3.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.9% 1.6–2.4% 1.4–2.6% 1.4–2.7% 1.2–3.0%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.3%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.1% 0.1–0.3% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 50 46–52 45–53 45–53 45–54
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 25 23–27 23–27 22–29 22–30
Venstre 43 23 21–25 21–25 20–27 20–28
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 15–18 14–18 14–18 12–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–17 13–18 12–19 12–19
Dansk Folkeparti 16 13 11–14 11–15 10–15 10–16
Radikale Venstre 16 12 9–13 9–13 9–13 9–14
Nye Borgerlige 4 10 9–11 9–11 8–12 8–14
Moderaterne 0 6 4–7 4–8 4–8 4–9
Kristendemokraterne 0 5 4–6 4–6 0–6 0–7
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.2% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.8%  
45 7% 99.6%  
46 4% 93%  
47 21% 89%  
48 4% 68% Last Result
49 14% 64%  
50 26% 50% Median
51 12% 24%  
52 3% 12%  
53 8% 9%  
54 0.5% 0.6%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0.2% 100%  
22 4% 99.8%  
23 20% 96%  
24 17% 76%  
25 29% 59% Median
26 15% 30%  
27 11% 15%  
28 2% 4%  
29 2% 3%  
30 0.3% 0.7%  
31 0.3% 0.4%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 3% 99.8%  
21 11% 97%  
22 4% 86%  
23 38% 82% Median
24 15% 44%  
25 24% 29%  
26 2% 5%  
27 2% 3%  
28 0.7% 0.8%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.6% 100%  
13 0.6% 99.4% Last Result
14 5% 98.8%  
15 40% 94%  
16 24% 54% Median
17 4% 29%  
18 24% 26%  
19 0.6% 2%  
20 1.2% 1.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 3% 99.9%  
13 9% 97%  
14 26% 88% Last Result
15 28% 63% Median
16 20% 34%  
17 4% 14%  
18 6% 10%  
19 4% 4%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100%  
10 5% 99.9%  
11 13% 95%  
12 25% 82%  
13 17% 58% Median
14 36% 41%  
15 4% 5%  
16 0.9% 1.2% Last Result
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 10% 99.8%  
10 22% 90%  
11 17% 68%  
12 25% 51% Median
13 25% 26%  
14 0.9% 0.9%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.3% 100%  
8 4% 99.7%  
9 26% 95%  
10 34% 69% Median
11 31% 35%  
12 3% 4%  
13 1.1% 2%  
14 0.5% 0.5%  
15 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 19% 100%  
5 8% 81%  
6 38% 73% Median
7 27% 35%  
8 7% 8%  
9 1.1% 1.2%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 32% 96%  
5 42% 64% Median
6 21% 21%  
7 0.7% 0.7%  
8 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 62% 100% Median
1 0% 38%  
2 0% 38%  
3 0% 38%  
4 32% 38% Last Result
5 5% 5%  
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 92 80% 88–94 88–96 86–96 85–96
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 92 80% 88–94 88–96 86–96 85–96
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 80 0% 77–84 76–84 76–84 74–86
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 80 0% 77–84 76–84 76–84 74–86
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance 79 77 0% 74–80 73–81 73–82 72–83
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 76 0% 72–78 72–79 71–79 69–80
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 72 0% 70–76 68–77 68–77 67–79
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance 75 68 0% 64–70 63–72 63–73 61–74
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 62 0% 59–66 59–67 59–67 57–69
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 60 0% 58–63 55–65 54–65 54–65
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 49 0% 46–53 46–55 46–55 45–56
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 48 0% 46–52 46–52 45–53 44–54
Venstre 43 23 0% 21–25 21–25 20–27 20–28

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 2% 99.8%  
86 0.8% 98%  
87 1.1% 97%  
88 13% 96%  
89 3% 83%  
90 3% 80% Majority
91 4% 77%  
92 47% 73%  
93 11% 26% Median
94 8% 14%  
95 0.8% 6%  
96 5% 6% Last Result
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 2% 99.8%  
86 0.8% 98%  
87 1.1% 97%  
88 13% 96%  
89 3% 83%  
90 3% 80% Majority
91 4% 77% Last Result
92 47% 73%  
93 11% 26% Median
94 8% 14%  
95 0.8% 6%  
96 5% 6%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.5% 99.9%  
75 2% 99.3%  
76 3% 98%  
77 5% 94%  
78 2% 89%  
79 30% 87%  
80 18% 57% Last Result
81 11% 39% Median
82 6% 27%  
83 11% 21%  
84 9% 10%  
85 0.8% 1.4%  
86 0.5% 0.6%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.5% 99.9%  
75 2% 99.3% Last Result
76 3% 98%  
77 5% 94%  
78 2% 89%  
79 30% 87%  
80 18% 57%  
81 11% 39% Median
82 6% 27%  
83 11% 21%  
84 9% 10%  
85 0.8% 1.4%  
86 0.5% 0.6%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.4% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.6%  
73 5% 99.3%  
74 5% 94%  
75 2% 89%  
76 24% 87% Median
77 20% 63%  
78 4% 43%  
79 24% 39% Last Result
80 6% 15%  
81 5% 8%  
82 1.4% 4%  
83 2% 2%  
84 0.2% 0.5%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0.4% 99.9%  
70 2% 99.4%  
71 2% 98%  
72 5% 95%  
73 9% 90%  
74 16% 81%  
75 5% 64%  
76 12% 60%  
77 35% 47% Median
78 6% 12% Last Result
79 5% 6%  
80 1.4% 2%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.4% 99.8%  
68 5% 99.4%  
69 0.7% 94%  
70 5% 94%  
71 21% 89% Median
72 21% 67%  
73 2% 46%  
74 25% 44%  
75 5% 18%  
76 7% 13%  
77 4% 6%  
78 0.9% 2%  
79 0.8% 1.0% Last Result
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.6% 99.9%  
62 0.5% 99.3%  
63 4% 98.8%  
64 7% 95%  
65 19% 88%  
66 7% 69% Median
67 7% 62%  
68 15% 55%  
69 30% 40%  
70 2% 10%  
71 1.4% 9%  
72 3% 7%  
73 4% 4%  
74 0.3% 0.6%  
75 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.6% 99.8%  
58 0.6% 99.2%  
59 9% 98.6%  
60 4% 89%  
61 21% 86% Median
62 19% 65%  
63 3% 46%  
64 25% 43%  
65 7% 18%  
66 2% 11%  
67 7% 9%  
68 1.1% 2%  
69 0.4% 0.8%  
70 0.3% 0.4%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.2% 100%  
54 4% 99.8%  
55 1.4% 96%  
56 1.1% 94%  
57 2% 93%  
58 10% 91%  
59 18% 81%  
60 14% 63%  
61 15% 50%  
62 5% 34% Median
63 24% 30%  
64 0.1% 6% Last Result
65 5% 6%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.3% 99.9%  
45 0.2% 99.7%  
46 11% 99.5%  
47 16% 88%  
48 19% 73% Median
49 6% 54%  
50 2% 48%  
51 2% 46%  
52 27% 43%  
53 7% 16%  
54 4% 9%  
55 3% 5%  
56 2% 2%  
57 0.2% 0.4%  
58 0.2% 0.2%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 1.3% 99.8%  
45 2% 98.6%  
46 12% 96%  
47 17% 85%  
48 37% 67% Median
49 8% 30%  
50 7% 21%  
51 3% 15%  
52 8% 11%  
53 2% 3%  
54 0.9% 1.1%  
55 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 3% 99.8%  
21 11% 97%  
22 4% 86%  
23 38% 82% Median
24 15% 44%  
25 24% 29%  
26 2% 5%  
27 2% 3%  
28 0.7% 0.8%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations