Moderaterne

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 5 June 2019)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 8.5% 7.5–9.3% 7.2–9.5% 6.9–9.7% 6.4–10.3%
27–31 October 2022 Yougov 8.0% 7.1–9.0% 6.9–9.3% 6.7–9.6% 6.3–10.1%
31 October 2022 Voxmeter 8.5% 8.0–9.1% 7.8–9.2% 7.7–9.3% 7.5–9.6%
31 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 8.8% 8.3–9.4% 8.1–9.5% 8.0–9.7% 7.8–10.0%
25–27 October 2022 Voxmeter 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
27 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.8% 6.7–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
21–25 October 2022 Yougov 9.6% 8.6–10.7% 8.3–11.1% 8.1–11.4% 7.6–11.9%
22–24 October 2022 Voxmeter 11.5% 10.3–12.8% 9.9–13.2% 9.6–13.6% 9.1–14.3%
24 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 8.8% 8.0–9.7% 7.8–10.0% 7.6–10.2% 7.3–10.6%
19–21 October 2022 Voxmeter 8.8% 7.7–10.1% 7.4–10.5% 7.2–10.8% 6.7–11.4%
20 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 9.8% 9.0–10.7% 8.8–10.9% 8.6–11.1% 8.3–11.6%
15–18 October 2022 Yougov 7.9% 7.0–8.9% 6.8–9.2% 6.6–9.5% 6.2–10.0%
16–18 October 2022 Voxmeter 9.2% 8.2–10.5% 7.8–10.9% 7.6–11.2% 7.1–11.8%
18 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 7.3% 6.6–8.1% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.5% 5.9–8.9%
13–15 October 2022 Voxmeter 6.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 6.9% 6.3–7.6% 6.1–7.8% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.3%
10–12 October 2022 Voxmeter 6.1% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.7% 4.4–8.3%
12 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 5.5% 4.9–6.2% 4.7–6.4% 4.6–6.6% 4.3–7.0%
11 October 2022 Yougov 4.4% 3.7–5.2% 3.6–5.5% 3.4–5.7% 3.1–6.1%
7–9 October 2022 Voxmeter 4.1% 3.4–5.1% 3.2–5.3% 3.1–5.5% 2.8–6.0%
7 October 2022 Yougov 5.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–6 October 2022 Voxmeter 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.4–4.5% 2.1–4.9%
6 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 6.1% 5.4–6.9% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.3% 4.7–7.7%
5 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 3.7% 3.2–4.3% 3.1–4.5% 3.0–4.7% 2.7–5.0%
26 September–2 October 2022 Voxmeter 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.4–3.3% 1.2–3.7%
2 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 3.4% 2.9–4.1% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.4% 2.4–4.8%
19–25 September 2022 Voxmeter 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.7–3.4% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
13–20 September 2022 Epinion
DR		 3.3% 2.9–3.8% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.1% 2.4–4.4%
12–18 September 2022 Voxmeter 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.8% 1.0–3.2%
5–11 September 2022 Voxmeter 2.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 August–4 September 2022 Voxmeter 1.7% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.1%
2 September 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
22–28 August 2022 Voxmeter 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.4% 1.3–3.8%
16–24 August 2022 Epinion
DR		 2.8% 2.4–3.3% 2.3–3.4% 2.2–3.6% 2.0–3.8%
15–21 August 2022 Voxmeter 1.9% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.2%
8–14 August 2022 Voxmeter 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.5–3.3% 1.3–3.6%
7 August 2022 Yougov 4.6% 3.9–5.4% 3.7–5.7% 3.6–5.9% 3.2–6.3%
1–6 August 2022 Voxmeter 1.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5 August 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 4.1% 3.5–4.8% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.6%
21–28 July 2022 Epinion
DR		 3.1% 2.6–3.7% 2.5–3.9% 2.4–4.0% 2.2–4.3%
27 June–3 July 2022 Voxmeter 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.4–3.3% 1.2–3.7%
20–26 June 2022 Voxmeter 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
13–19 June 2022 Voxmeter 3.1% 2.5–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 2.0–4.8%
14 June 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 3.6% 3.1–4.3% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0%
6–12 June 2022 Voxmeter 3.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 May–5 June 2022 Voxmeter 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.7–2.8%
23–29 May 2022 Voxmeter 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.7%
22–29 May 2022 Epinion
DR		 1.9% 1.6–2.4% 1.5–2.5% 1.4–2.6% 1.2–2.8%
16–22 May 2022 Voxmeter 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.7–2.8%
11–18 May 2022 Epinion
DR		 2.4% 2.0–2.9% 1.9–3.0% 1.8–3.2% 1.6–3.4%
9–15 May 2022 Voxmeter 1.9% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
2–8 May 2022 Voxmeter 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.4–3.0% 1.3–3.1% 1.2–3.5%
29 April–5 May 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.3–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.0–4.3%
25 April–1 May 2022 Voxmeter 2.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–27 April 2022 Epinion
DR		 2.4% 2.0–2.9% 1.8–3.1% 1.8–3.2% 1.6–3.5%
18–24 April 2022 Voxmeter 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.7%
8–11 April 2022 YouGov
B.T.		 4.8% 4.1–5.7% 3.9–5.9% 3.8–6.2% 3.4–6.6%
4–9 April 2022 Voxmeter 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.4–3.3% 1.2–3.7%
4 April 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 3.6% 3.0–4.3% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.5–5.0%
28 March–3 April 2022 Voxmeter 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.4% 1.3–3.8%
21–27 March 2022 Voxmeter 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
14–20 March 2022 Voxmeter 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.8% 1.0–3.2%
8–15 March 2022 Epinion
DR		 1.9% 1.5–2.3% 1.4–2.5% 1.4–2.6% 1.2–2.8%
7–12 March 2022 Voxmeter 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.4–3.3% 1.2–3.7%
4–7 March 2022 YouGov
B.T.		 4.8% 4.1–5.7% 3.9–5.9% 3.7–6.1% 3.4–6.6%
21–27 February 2022 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–20 February 2022 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–16 February 2022 Epinion
DR		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–12 February 2022 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–6 February 2022 YouGov
B.T.		 4.5% 3.8–5.3% 3.6–5.6% 3.5–5.8% 3.2–6.2%
31 January–6 February 2022 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 January–3 February 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 2.5% 2.1–3.0% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.6%
24–30 January 2022 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–23 January 2022 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–16 January 2022 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–10 January 2022 YouGov
B.T.		 2.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–8 January 2022 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–23 December 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–19 December 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–11 December 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–9 December 2021 Gallup 1.7% 1.4–2.2% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.8%
30 November–8 December 2021 Epinion
DR		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 November–5 December 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–28 November 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–21 November 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–14 November 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–6 November 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 October–4 November 2021 Gallup 1.6% 1.2–2.1% 1.1–2.2% 1.1–2.3% 0.9–2.6%
25–31 October 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–24 October 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–21 October 2021 Epinion 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–17 October 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–11 October 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 September–3 October 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3 October 2021 Gallup 3.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–29 September 2021 Epinion 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–20 September 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 4.5% 3.8–5.3% 3.6–5.5% 3.5–5.8% 3.2–6.2%
13–19 September 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–12 September 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–29 August 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–26 August 2021 Epinion
DR		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–22 August 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–16 August 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–15 August 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–7 August 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 July–5 August 2021 Gallup 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–27 June 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–20 June 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–12 June 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–10 June 2021 Gallup 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–6 June 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 May–6 June 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–30 May 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–23 May 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–19 May 2021 Epinion 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–16 May 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–9 May 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–8 May 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 April–2 May 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–25 April 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–18 April 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–13 April 2021 Epinion 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–11 April 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–10 April 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–8 April 2021 Gallup 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 March–4 April 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–28 March 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–21 March 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–14 March 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–6 March 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–28 February 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–21 February 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–15 February 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–14 February 2021 Electica
Alliancen		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–8 February 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–6 February 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–31 January 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–28 January 2021 Gallup 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–24 January 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–21 January 2021 Epinion 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–18 January 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–17 January 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–9 January 2021 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–20 December 2020 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–12 December 2020 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–10 December 2020 Gallup 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–8 December 2020 Epinion 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–7 December 2020 YouGov
B.T.		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 November–5 December 2020 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–29 November 2020 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–22 November 2020 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–15 November 2020 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–12 November 2020 Gallup 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–11 November 2020 YouGov
B.T.		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–7 November 2020 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 October–1 November 2020 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–25 October 2020 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–18 October 2020 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–10 October 2020 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–5 October 2020 YouGov 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 September–4 October 2020 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 September–4 October 2020 Gallup 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–28 September 2020 Epinion 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–27 September 2020 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–20 September 2020 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–12 September 2020 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–8 September 2020 Epinion 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 August–6 September 2020 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 August–1 September 2020 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–30 August 2020 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–23 August 2020 Voxmeter 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–16 August 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–8 August 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 July 2020 Gallup 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–6 July 2020 YouGov 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–28 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–21 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–13 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11 June 2020 Gallup 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–10 June 2020 YouGov 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–7 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–31 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–29 May 2020 Epinion 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–24 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–17 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–11 May 2020 YouGov 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–9 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 April–3 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–26 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–19 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–16 April 2020 Epinion 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 March–11 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23 March–5 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 March–3 April 2020 Gallup 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–29 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–22 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–15 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–7 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25 February–2 March 2020 Epinion
DR		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24 February–1 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–23 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–16 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–13 February 2020 Gallup 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–8 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 January–2 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–26 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–19 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–11 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 December 2019–5 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–22 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–15 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12 December 2019 Gallup 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–8 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25 November–2 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–25 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20 November 2019 Epinion
DR		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–18 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–10 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8 November 2019 Gallup 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 October–4 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–27 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23 October 2019 Epinion
DR		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–20 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–12 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 September–7 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–29 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 September 2019 Gallup 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–22 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19 September 2019 Norstat
Altinget and Jyllands-Posten		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–15 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12 September 2019 Gallup 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9 September 2019 YouGov 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–9 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 August–1 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–26 August 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–18 August 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–10 August 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8 August 2019 Gallup 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–30 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–23 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–15 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Moderaterne.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0.7% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 10% 99.3%  
7.5–8.5% 43% 89% Median
8.5–9.5% 42% 47%  
9.5–10.5% 4% 4%  
10.5–11.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 5 June 2019)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 15 15–16 14–16 14–16 13–18
27–31 October 2022 Yougov 15 14–15 13–15 13–16 12–18
31 October 2022 Voxmeter 16 16 16 16 15–16
31 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 16 15–16 15–16 15–16 14–17
25–27 October 2022 Voxmeter 17 15–17 15–17 14–18 14–21
27 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 15 14–15 14–17 14–18 13–18
21–25 October 2022 Yougov 18 16–19 16–19 15–20 14–21
22–24 October 2022 Voxmeter 20 19–21 19–22 19–23 18–25
24 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 16 14–17 14–18 13–18 12–18
19–21 October 2022 Voxmeter 16 16–18 16–20 15–20 13–20
20 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 18 17–19 17–19 16–19 15–20
15–18 October 2022 Yougov 15 13–16 13–16 12–17 10–18
16–18 October 2022 Voxmeter 17 15–19 15–19 14–19 13–21
18 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 13 11–14 11–14 11–14 10–15
13–15 October 2022 Voxmeter          
13 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 12 11–13 11–13 11–13 11–14
10–12 October 2022 Voxmeter 12 10–12 10–12 10–13 8–14
12 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 10 8–11 8–11 8–13 8–14
11 October 2022 Yougov 8 8 8 8 6–8
7–9 October 2022 Voxmeter 7 7–9 7–9 6–11 5–11
7 October 2022 Yougov          
3–6 October 2022 Voxmeter 6 4–8 4–8 4–8 4–8
6 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 10 10–12 10–13 10–13 9–13
5 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 6 5–8 5–8 5–8 5–9
26 September–2 October 2022 Voxmeter 0 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
2 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 5 5–7 5–8 5–8 5–8
19–25 September 2022 Voxmeter 4 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
13–20 September 2022 Epinion
DR		 6 6 6 5–8 5–8
12–18 September 2022 Voxmeter 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–8
5–11 September 2022 Voxmeter          
29 August–4 September 2022 Voxmeter 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
2 September 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 6 4–7 4–8 0–8 0–8
22–28 August 2022 Voxmeter 4 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–6
16–24 August 2022 Epinion
DR		 5 5–6 5–6 4–6 0–7
15–21 August 2022 Voxmeter 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5
8–14 August 2022 Voxmeter 4 4 4–5 0–6 0–6
7 August 2022 Yougov 9 6–9 6–9 6–9 6–10
1–6 August 2022 Voxmeter          
5 August 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 6 6–8 6–9 6–9 6–9
21–28 July 2022 Epinion
DR		 6 6 5–7 4–7 4–8
27 June–3 July 2022 Voxmeter 5 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–7
20–26 June 2022 Voxmeter 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
13–19 June 2022 Voxmeter 4 4–6 4–7 4–7 4–9
14 June 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 6 6–7 6–9 6–9 5–9
6–12 June 2022 Voxmeter          
30 May–5 June 2022 Voxmeter 0 0 0 0–4 0–6
23–29 May 2022 Voxmeter 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
22–29 May 2022 Epinion
DR		 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
16–22 May 2022 Voxmeter 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
11–18 May 2022 Epinion
DR		 5 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–5
9–15 May 2022 Voxmeter 4 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
2–8 May 2022 Voxmeter 4 4–5 0–5 0–5 0–5
29 April–5 May 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 6 4–8 4–8 4–8 4–8
25 April–1 May 2022 Voxmeter          
20–27 April 2022 Epinion
DR		 5 4–5 4–6 4–6 0–6
18–24 April 2022 Voxmeter 0 0 0 0 0–5
8–11 April 2022 YouGov
B.T.		 9 8–9 7–9 7–9 7–11
4–9 April 2022 Voxmeter 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–7
4 April 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 6 6–7 6–8 6–8 5–9
28 March–3 April 2022 Voxmeter 5 0–6 0–6 0–7 0–7
21–27 March 2022 Voxmeter 6 4–6 4–7 4–7 4–9
14–20 March 2022 Voxmeter 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
8–15 March 2022 Epinion
DR		 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
7–12 March 2022 Voxmeter 4 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
4–7 March 2022 YouGov
B.T.		 9 6–11 6–11 6–11 6–12
21–27 February 2022 Voxmeter          
14–20 February 2022 Voxmeter          
9–16 February 2022 Epinion
DR		          
7–12 February 2022 Voxmeter          
4–6 February 2022 YouGov
B.T.		 9 9 9 9 6–9
31 January–6 February 2022 Voxmeter          
26 January–3 February 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 5 5 5 4–6 0–6
24–30 January 2022 Voxmeter          
17–23 January 2022 Voxmeter          
10–16 January 2022 Voxmeter          
7–10 January 2022 YouGov
B.T.		          
3–8 January 2022 Voxmeter          
20–23 December 2021 Voxmeter          
13–19 December 2021 Voxmeter          
6–11 December 2021 Voxmeter          
3–9 December 2021 Gallup 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
30 November–8 December 2021 Epinion
DR		          
29 November–5 December 2021 Voxmeter          
22–28 November 2021 Voxmeter          
15–21 November 2021 Voxmeter          
8–14 November 2021 Voxmeter          
1–6 November 2021 Voxmeter          
29 October–4 November 2021 Gallup 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
25–31 October 2021 Voxmeter          
18–24 October 2021 Voxmeter          
14–21 October 2021 Epinion          
11–17 October 2021 Voxmeter          
4–11 October 2021 Voxmeter          
27 September–3 October 2021 Voxmeter          
3 October 2021 Gallup          
21–29 September 2021 Epinion          
17–20 September 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 8 7–10 7–11 7–11 6–11
13–19 September 2021 Voxmeter          
10–12 September 2021 YouGov
B.T.		          
23–29 August 2021 Voxmeter          
19–26 August 2021 Epinion
DR		          
16–22 August 2021 Voxmeter          
13–16 August 2021 YouGov
B.T.		          
9–15 August 2021 Voxmeter          
2–7 August 2021 Voxmeter          
30 July–5 August 2021 Gallup          
21–27 June 2021 Voxmeter          
14–20 June 2021 Voxmeter          
7–12 June 2021 Voxmeter          
4–10 June 2021 Gallup          
4–6 June 2021 YouGov
B.T.		          
31 May–6 June 2021 Voxmeter          
24–30 May 2021 Voxmeter          
17–23 May 2021 Voxmeter          
11–19 May 2021 Epinion          
10–16 May 2021 Voxmeter          
7–9 May 2021 YouGov
B.T.		          
3–8 May 2021 Voxmeter          
26 April–2 May 2021 Voxmeter          
19–25 April 2021 Voxmeter          
12–18 April 2021 Voxmeter          
7–13 April 2021 Epinion          
9–11 April 2021 YouGov
B.T.		          
5–10 April 2021 Voxmeter          
2–8 April 2021 Gallup          
29 March–4 April 2021 Voxmeter          
22–28 March 2021 Voxmeter          
15–21 March 2021 Voxmeter          
7–14 March 2021 Voxmeter          
1–6 March 2021 Voxmeter          
22–28 February 2021 Voxmeter          
15–21 February 2021 Voxmeter          
8–15 February 2021 Voxmeter          
1–14 February 2021 Electica
Alliancen		          
5–8 February 2021 YouGov
B.T.		          
1–6 February 2021 Voxmeter          
25–31 January 2021 Voxmeter          
22–28 January 2021 Gallup          
18–24 January 2021 Voxmeter          
18–21 January 2021 Epinion          
15–18 January 2021 YouGov
B.T.		          
11–17 January 2021 Voxmeter          
4–9 January 2021 Voxmeter          
14–20 December 2020 Voxmeter          
7–12 December 2020 Voxmeter          
4–10 December 2020 Gallup          
1–8 December 2020 Epinion          
4–7 December 2020 YouGov
B.T.		          
30 November–5 December 2020 Voxmeter          
23–29 November 2020 Voxmeter          
16–22 November 2020 Voxmeter          
9–15 November 2020 Voxmeter          
6–12 November 2020 Gallup          
6–11 November 2020 YouGov
B.T.		          
2–7 November 2020 Voxmeter          
26 October–1 November 2020 Voxmeter          
19–25 October 2020 Voxmeter          
12–18 October 2020 Voxmeter          
5–10 October 2020 Voxmeter          
2–5 October 2020 YouGov          
28 September–4 October 2020 Voxmeter          
28 September–4 October 2020 Gallup          
22–28 September 2020 Epinion          
21–27 September 2020 Voxmeter          
14–20 September 2020 Voxmeter          
7–12 September 2020 Voxmeter          
1–8 September 2020 Epinion          
31 August–6 September 2020 Voxmeter          
31 August–1 September 2020 Voxmeter          
24–30 August 2020 Voxmeter          
17–23 August 2020 Voxmeter          
10–16 August 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
3–8 August 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
1–31 July 2020 Gallup          
2–6 July 2020 YouGov          
22–28 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
15–21 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
8–13 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
11 June 2020 Gallup          
8–10 June 2020 YouGov          
1–7 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
25–31 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
22–29 May 2020 Epinion          
18–24 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
11–17 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
7–11 May 2020 YouGov          
4–9 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
27 April–3 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
20–26 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
6–19 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
10–16 April 2020 Epinion          
30 March–11 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
23 March–5 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
27 March–3 April 2020 Gallup          
23–29 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
16–22 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
9–15 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
2–7 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
25 February–2 March 2020 Epinion
DR		          
24 February–1 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
17–23 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
10–16 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
7–13 February 2020 Gallup          
3–8 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
27 January–2 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
20–26 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
13–19 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
6–11 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
30 December 2019–5 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
16–22 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
9–15 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
12 December 2019 Gallup          
2–8 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
25 November–2 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
18–25 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
20 November 2019 Epinion
DR		          
11–18 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
4–10 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
8 November 2019 Gallup          
27 October–4 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
21–27 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
23 October 2019 Epinion
DR		          
14–20 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
7–12 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
30 September–7 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
23–29 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
29 September 2019 Gallup          
16–22 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
19 September 2019 Norstat
Altinget and Jyllands-Posten		          
9–15 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
12 September 2019 Gallup          
9 September 2019 YouGov          
2–9 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
26 August–1 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
18–26 August 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
12–18 August 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
5–10 August 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
8 August 2019 Gallup          
24–30 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
17–23 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          
10–15 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Moderaterne.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.1% 99.9%  
12 0.1% 99.9%  
13 1.5% 99.8%  
14 4% 98%  
15 49% 94% Median
16 43% 45%  
17 0.7% 2%  
18 1.3% 1.4%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%