Opinion Poll by YouGov for B.T., 8–11 April 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 29.1% 27.5–30.8% 27.0–31.2% 26.6–31.7% 25.8–32.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 17.1% 15.8–18.5% 15.4–19.0% 15.1–19.3% 14.5–20.0%
Venstre 23.4% 11.1% 10.0–12.3% 9.7–12.7% 9.4–13.0% 9.0–13.6%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 9.4% 8.4–10.5% 8.1–10.9% 7.9–11.2% 7.4–11.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.1% 7.2–9.2% 6.9–9.5% 6.7–9.8% 6.3–10.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.3% 5.5–7.2% 5.2–7.5% 5.0–7.8% 4.7–8.2%
Moderaterne 0.0% 4.8% 4.1–5.7% 3.9–5.9% 3.8–6.2% 3.4–6.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 4.5% 3.8–5.3% 3.6–5.6% 3.5–5.8% 3.2–6.2%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 3.2% 2.7–4.0% 2.5–4.2% 2.4–4.4% 2.1–4.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.1% 2.5–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.2–4.2% 2.0–4.5%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.7–1.9% 0.5–2.1%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–1.9%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.8% 0.6–1.2% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.2–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 54 51–54 51–54 50–54 49–54
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 28 28–34 28–36 28–36 28–37
Venstre 43 21 18–21 18–21 18–21 16–22
Nye Borgerlige 4 17 17–20 17–20 17–20 15–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–15 12–15 12–15 12–16
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 12–13 11–14 11–14 10–14
Moderaterne 0 9 8–9 7–9 7–9 7–11
Dansk Folkeparti 16 8 7–8 7–9 7–9 7–12
Radikale Venstre 16 5 5–6 5–8 5–8 5–8
Liberal Alliance 4 5 5 4–5 4–5 4–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 99.9% Last Result
49 2% 99.9%  
50 1.3% 98%  
51 15% 97%  
52 0.6% 81%  
53 0.9% 81%  
54 79% 80% Median
55 0.2% 0.5%  
56 0.2% 0.2%  
57 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0.2% 100%  
26 0% 99.8%  
27 0% 99.8%  
28 80% 99.8% Median
29 0% 20%  
30 0.5% 20%  
31 0.5% 19%  
32 2% 19%  
33 0% 17%  
34 9% 17%  
35 0.2% 8%  
36 7% 8%  
37 0.9% 0.9%  
38 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.6% 100%  
17 0% 99.4%  
18 10% 99.3%  
19 0.5% 90%  
20 3% 89%  
21 85% 86% Median
22 0.4% 0.7%  
23 0.3% 0.3%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0.2% 100%  
15 0.8% 99.7%  
16 1.3% 99.0%  
17 85% 98% Median
18 1.5% 12%  
19 0.3% 11%  
20 10% 10%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 9% 100%  
13 8% 91%  
14 1.5% 83% Last Result
15 81% 81% Median
16 0.5% 0.7%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.5% 100%  
10 1.2% 99.5%  
11 7% 98%  
12 2% 91%  
13 80% 89% Last Result, Median
14 9% 10%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 9% 100%  
8 11% 91%  
9 79% 81% Median
10 1.5% 2%  
11 0.6% 0.6%  
12 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.3% 100%  
7 16% 99.7%  
8 78% 84% Median
9 4% 5%  
10 0.2% 1.0%  
11 0% 0.8%  
12 0.8% 0.8%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.3% 100%  
5 80% 99.7% Median
6 11% 20%  
7 2% 9%  
8 7% 7%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 9% 100% Last Result
5 89% 91% Median
6 2% 2%  
7 0.3% 0.5%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 87 0.2% 83–87 83–87 83–87 79–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 87 0.2% 83–87 83–87 83–87 79–87
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 79 0% 79–84 79–85 79–85 78–88
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 79 0% 79–84 79–85 79–85 78–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 82 0% 77–82 75–82 75–82 73–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 82 0% 77–82 75–82 75–82 73–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 74 0% 69–74 69–74 69–74 69–75
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 62 0% 62–65 62–68 62–68 60–72
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 62 0% 62–65 62–68 62–68 60–72
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 54 0% 54–57 54–61 54–61 51–63
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 59 0% 57–59 57–59 56–59 55–61
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 49 0% 49–52 49–57 49–57 46–57
Venstre 43 21 0% 18–21 18–21 18–21 16–22

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.9% 100%  
80 0.2% 99.1%  
81 0.2% 98.8%  
82 0.3% 98.7%  
83 17% 98%  
84 0.4% 81%  
85 0.8% 81%  
86 0.6% 80%  
87 79% 79% Median
88 0% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0.2% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.9% 100%  
80 0.2% 99.1%  
81 0.2% 98.8%  
82 0.3% 98.7%  
83 17% 98%  
84 0.4% 81%  
85 0.8% 81%  
86 0.6% 80%  
87 79% 79% Median
88 0% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0.2% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.2% 100%  
77 0% 99.8%  
78 0.9% 99.8%  
79 78% 98.9% Last Result, Median
80 0.1% 21%  
81 0.7% 21%  
82 1.4% 20%  
83 0.4% 19%  
84 9% 18%  
85 8% 9%  
86 0.2% 1.1%  
87 0% 0.9%  
88 0.9% 0.9%  
89 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.8%  
78 0.9% 99.8%  
79 78% 98.9% Last Result, Median
80 0.1% 21%  
81 0.8% 21%  
82 1.4% 20%  
83 0.4% 19%  
84 9% 18%  
85 8% 9%  
86 0.2% 1.1%  
87 0% 0.9%  
88 0.9% 0.9%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.9% 100%  
74 0% 99.1%  
75 7% 99.1%  
76 0.4% 93%  
77 11% 92%  
78 1.1% 81%  
79 0.5% 80%  
80 0.9% 80% Last Result
81 0.6% 79%  
82 78% 78% Median
83 0.2% 0.2%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.9% 100%  
74 0% 99.1%  
75 7% 99.1% Last Result
76 0.4% 93%  
77 11% 92%  
78 1.1% 81%  
79 0.5% 80%  
80 0.9% 80%  
81 0.6% 79%  
82 78% 78% Median
83 0.2% 0.2%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 10% 100%  
70 2% 90%  
71 0.1% 88%  
72 7% 88%  
73 0.8% 81%  
74 78% 80% Median
75 0.9% 1.3%  
76 0.2% 0.5%  
77 0.2% 0.3%  
78 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
79 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.9% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.1%  
62 78% 99.1% Median
63 0.5% 21%  
64 9% 20%  
65 3% 11%  
66 0.2% 9%  
67 0.6% 8%  
68 7% 8%  
69 0.1% 1.2%  
70 0.2% 1.2%  
71 0% 0.9%  
72 0.9% 0.9%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.9% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.1%  
62 78% 99.0% Median
63 0.4% 21%  
64 9% 20%  
65 3% 11%  
66 0.2% 9%  
67 0.6% 8%  
68 7% 8%  
69 0.1% 1.2%  
70 0.2% 1.2%  
71 0% 0.9%  
72 0.9% 0.9%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.9% 100%  
52 0% 99.1%  
53 1.1% 99.0%  
54 78% 98% Median
55 0.1% 20%  
56 2% 20%  
57 9% 17%  
58 0.6% 8%  
59 0.2% 8% Last Result
60 0% 8%  
61 7% 8%  
62 0% 1.2%  
63 1.2% 1.2%  
64 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.2% 100%  
54 0.2% 99.8%  
55 2% 99.5%  
56 1.0% 98%  
57 9% 97%  
58 0.2% 87%  
59 85% 87% Median
60 0.8% 2%  
61 0.9% 1.3%  
62 0.2% 0.4%  
63 0% 0.2%  
64 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
65 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.9% 100%  
47 0% 99.0%  
48 1.0% 99.0%  
49 78% 98% Median
50 0.2% 20%  
51 0.2% 20%  
52 11% 19%  
53 0% 8%  
54 0.3% 8%  
55 0% 8% Last Result
56 0.2% 8%  
57 7% 7%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.6% 100%  
17 0% 99.4%  
18 10% 99.3%  
19 0.5% 90%  
20 3% 89%  
21 85% 86% Median
22 0.4% 0.7%  
23 0.3% 0.3%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations