Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 22–29 May 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.2% 26.0–28.5% 25.6–28.8% 25.3–29.1% 24.8–29.8%
Venstre 23.4% 15.7% 14.7–16.8% 14.4–17.1% 14.2–17.3% 13.7–17.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.0% 12.1–14.0% 11.8–14.3% 11.6–14.5% 11.2–15.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.4% 7.7–9.2% 7.5–9.5% 7.3–9.7% 6.9–10.1%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 7.0% 6.3–7.8% 6.2–8.0% 6.0–8.2% 5.7–8.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.5% 5.8–7.2% 5.7–7.5% 5.5–7.6% 5.2–8.0%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.1% 5.5–6.8% 5.3–7.0% 5.2–7.2% 4.9–7.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.3% 4.7–6.0% 4.5–6.2% 4.4–6.3% 4.1–6.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.9% 3.4–4.5% 3.3–4.7% 3.2–4.8% 2.9–5.1%
Moderaterne 0.0% 1.9% 1.6–2.4% 1.5–2.5% 1.4–2.6% 1.2–2.8%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 1.6% 1.3–2.0% 1.2–2.2% 1.2–2.3% 1.0–2.5%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–1.0% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.7% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 51 47–52 47–54 47–55 45–55
Venstre 43 29 27–30 27–32 26–32 26–34
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 23 22–27 22–27 22–27 20–28
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 14–17 14–17 14–18 13–18
Nye Borgerlige 4 13 12–15 11–15 11–15 11–16
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 11–13 11–14 11–14 10–15
Radikale Venstre 16 11 11–12 10–13 10–13 9–14
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 9–12 8–12 8–12 8–12
Liberal Alliance 4 7 7–8 6–9 6–10 6–10
Moderaterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.4% 100%  
45 2% 99.6%  
46 0.1% 98%  
47 15% 98%  
48 2% 83% Last Result
49 8% 81%  
50 16% 73%  
51 44% 58% Median
52 3% 13%  
53 3% 10%  
54 3% 7%  
55 4% 4%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 3% 99.8%  
27 16% 97%  
28 7% 80%  
29 37% 74% Median
30 27% 36%  
31 1.4% 10%  
32 7% 8%  
33 0.2% 0.7%  
34 0.5% 0.5%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.8% 100%  
21 0.8% 99.2%  
22 35% 98%  
23 13% 63% Median
24 25% 50%  
25 2% 25%  
26 0.5% 23%  
27 20% 22%  
28 2% 2%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 2% 99.9%  
14 22% 98% Last Result
15 10% 76%  
16 23% 66% Median
17 39% 43%  
18 4% 5%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.4% 100%  
11 6% 99.6%  
12 31% 94%  
13 22% 63% Median
14 30% 40%  
15 9% 11%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.6% 99.9%  
11 13% 99.3%  
12 31% 87%  
13 47% 56% Last Result, Median
14 9% 9%  
15 0.7% 0.7%  
16 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 1.1% 99.9%  
10 6% 98.8%  
11 58% 93% Median
12 25% 35%  
13 7% 9%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 7% 99.9%  
9 34% 93%  
10 42% 59% Median
11 4% 17%  
12 12% 13%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.4% 100%  
6 9% 99.6%  
7 59% 91% Median
8 23% 31%  
9 5% 8%  
10 3% 3%  
11 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 67% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 33%  
2 0% 33%  
3 0% 33%  
4 30% 33%  
5 3% 3%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 9%  
2 0% 9%  
3 0% 9%  
4 8% 9%  
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 90 56% 87–92 86–96 85–97 84–97
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 90 56% 87–92 86–96 85–97 84–97
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 83 0.2% 80–85 79–86 78–88 77–89
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 83 0.2% 80–85 79–86 78–88 77–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 78 0% 76–81 75–84 73–86 73–86
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 78 0% 76–81 75–84 73–86 73–86
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 78 0% 74–80 74–82 73–84 72–84
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 70 0% 68–73 66–73 66–75 64–75
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 70 0% 68–73 66–73 66–75 64–75
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 62 0% 58–64 58–66 58–66 56–67
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 59 0% 58–63 58–63 57–66 56–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 52 0% 51–56 50–56 49–56 49–57
Venstre 43 29 0% 27–30 27–32 26–32 26–34

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.2% 100%  
84 1.4% 99.7%  
85 1.1% 98%  
86 3% 97%  
87 15% 94%  
88 10% 80%  
89 14% 70%  
90 6% 56% Majority
91 24% 50% Median
92 17% 26%  
93 1.3% 9%  
94 1.3% 8%  
95 0.5% 6%  
96 3% 6% Last Result
97 3% 3%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.2% 100%  
84 1.4% 99.7%  
85 1.1% 98%  
86 3% 97%  
87 15% 94%  
88 10% 80%  
89 14% 70%  
90 6% 56% Majority
91 24% 50% Last Result, Median
92 17% 26%  
93 1.3% 9%  
94 1.3% 8%  
95 0.5% 6%  
96 3% 6%  
97 3% 3%  
98 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 1.0% 99.9%  
78 4% 98.8%  
79 3% 95% Last Result
80 2% 92%  
81 0.9% 90%  
82 15% 89% Median
83 26% 74%  
84 35% 47%  
85 6% 12%  
86 0.7% 5%  
87 1.4% 5%  
88 3% 3%  
89 0.5% 0.7%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0.2%  
92 0.2% 0.2%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 1.0% 99.9%  
78 4% 98.8%  
79 3% 95% Last Result
80 2% 92%  
81 0.9% 90%  
82 15% 89% Median
83 26% 74%  
84 35% 47%  
85 6% 12%  
86 0.7% 5%  
87 1.4% 5%  
88 3% 3%  
89 0.5% 0.7%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0.2%  
92 0.2% 0.2%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.2% 100%  
73 2% 99.8%  
74 0.6% 97%  
75 4% 97%  
76 14% 93%  
77 28% 79%  
78 2% 51%  
79 2% 49%  
80 21% 47% Last Result, Median
81 18% 26%  
82 0.8% 8%  
83 0.8% 7%  
84 3% 6%  
85 0.1% 3%  
86 3% 3%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.2% 100%  
73 2% 99.8%  
74 0.6% 97%  
75 4% 97% Last Result
76 14% 93%  
77 28% 79%  
78 2% 51%  
79 2% 49%  
80 21% 47% Median
81 18% 26%  
82 0.8% 8%  
83 0.8% 7%  
84 3% 6%  
85 0.1% 3%  
86 3% 3%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.5% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.5%  
73 3% 99.4%  
74 11% 96%  
75 5% 85%  
76 19% 80%  
77 10% 60%  
78 1.5% 51% Last Result, Median
79 39% 49%  
80 3% 10%  
81 0.6% 7%  
82 3% 7%  
83 0.3% 3%  
84 3% 3%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.6% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.3%  
66 7% 99.2%  
67 0.8% 93%  
68 23% 92%  
69 17% 69% Median
70 3% 52%  
71 15% 48%  
72 22% 33%  
73 7% 11%  
74 0.5% 4%  
75 3% 3% Last Result
76 0.2% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.6% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.3%  
66 7% 99.2%  
67 0.8% 93%  
68 23% 92%  
69 17% 69% Median
70 3% 52%  
71 15% 48%  
72 22% 33%  
73 7% 11%  
74 0.5% 4%  
75 3% 3% Last Result
76 0.2% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.4% 100%  
56 1.2% 99.5%  
57 0.7% 98%  
58 10% 98%  
59 2% 88%  
60 7% 86%  
61 7% 79%  
62 57% 72% Median
63 4% 15%  
64 2% 11% Last Result
65 1.3% 9%  
66 6% 7%  
67 0.9% 0.9%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.8%  
56 1.3% 99.7%  
57 3% 98%  
58 17% 95%  
59 34% 78% Last Result, Median
60 8% 44%  
61 6% 36%  
62 1.5% 31%  
63 25% 29%  
64 1.4% 4%  
65 0.4% 3%  
66 3% 3%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.2% 99.9%  
49 4% 99.7%  
50 4% 96%  
51 25% 92%  
52 24% 67% Median
53 11% 43%  
54 4% 33%  
55 1.0% 29% Last Result
56 27% 28%  
57 0.6% 1.0%  
58 0.2% 0.4%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 3% 99.8%  
27 16% 97%  
28 7% 80%  
29 37% 74% Median
30 27% 36%  
31 1.4% 10%  
32 7% 8%  
33 0.2% 0.7%  
34 0.5% 0.5%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations