Opinion Poll by Gallup for Berlingske, 14 June 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 25.4% 24.0–26.9% 23.6–27.3% 23.3–27.6% 22.6–28.3%
Venstre 23.4% 14.6% 13.5–15.8% 13.2–16.1% 12.9–16.4% 12.4–17.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.8% 12.7–15.0% 12.4–15.3% 12.2–15.6% 11.7–16.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 9.8% 8.9–10.8% 8.6–11.1% 8.4–11.4% 8.0–11.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.8% 7.0–8.7% 6.7–9.0% 6.5–9.2% 6.2–9.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.3% 5.5–7.1% 5.3–7.4% 5.2–7.6% 4.8–8.0%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.1% 5.4–7.0% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.4% 4.7–7.8%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.3% 4.6–6.1% 4.5–6.4% 4.3–6.6% 4.0–7.0%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.6% 3.1–4.3% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0%
Moderaterne 0.0% 3.6% 3.1–4.3% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.4% 1.1–1.9% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.4%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.5% 0.4–0.9% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.0% 0.2–1.2%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 45 45 44–46 43–49 42–50
Venstre 43 27 27 24–28 24–29 23–31
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 25 25 23–26 22–28 22–28
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 18 17–18 17–19 15–19 15–21
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 14–15 13–15 13–15 12–17
Radikale Venstre 16 12 12 11–13 11–13 9–14
Nye Borgerlige 4 11 11 11–12 10–13 9–15
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 10 9–10 8–11 8–12
Liberal Alliance 4 6 6 5–7 4–7 4–9
Moderaterne 0 6 6–7 6–9 6–9 5–9
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0.6% 99.9%  
43 4% 99.3%  
44 3% 96%  
45 84% 92% Median
46 4% 8%  
47 0.2% 4%  
48 1.4% 4% Last Result
49 2% 3%  
50 1.0% 1.0%  
51 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.2% 100%  
23 0.5% 99.8%  
24 5% 99.4%  
25 2% 94%  
26 2% 92%  
27 82% 90% Median
28 4% 8%  
29 3% 4%  
30 0.1% 2%  
31 1.5% 1.5%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0.3% 100%  
22 3% 99.7%  
23 2% 96%  
24 2% 94%  
25 86% 93% Median
26 2% 6%  
27 0.8% 4%  
28 3% 3%  
29 0.1% 0.2%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100% Last Result
15 3% 99.9%  
16 2% 97%  
17 7% 95%  
18 82% 88% Median
19 5% 6%  
20 0.6% 1.2%  
21 0.6% 0.6%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.4% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.6%  
13 3% 98% Last Result
14 5% 94%  
15 87% 89% Median
16 1.0% 2%  
17 0.6% 0.8%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.8% 100%  
10 2% 99.1%  
11 5% 98%  
12 85% 93% Median
13 6% 8%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.2% 100%  
9 1.0% 99.8%  
10 4% 98.8%  
11 88% 95% Median
12 4% 7%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.1% 0.7%  
15 0.6% 0.7%  
16 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.2% 100%  
8 4% 99.8%  
9 4% 96%  
10 89% 91% Median
11 2% 3%  
12 0.6% 0.8%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 4% 100% Last Result
5 2% 96%  
6 86% 95% Median
7 7% 9%  
8 0.8% 2%  
9 1.0% 1.2%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.1% 100%  
5 0.4% 99.9%  
6 87% 99.5% Median
7 5% 13%  
8 0.7% 8%  
9 7% 7%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 90 89% 89–90 87–92 85–92 85–93
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 90 89% 89–90 87–92 85–92 85–93
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 79 0% 79 77–81 74–82 74–83
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 79 0% 79 75–81 74–82 74–83
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 78 0% 76–78 74–80 74–80 74–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 78 0% 76–78 74–80 74–80 74–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 75 0% 75 72–77 71–77 71–80
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 68 0% 68 66–71 63–71 63–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 68 0% 67–68 65–70 63–71 63–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 58 0% 58 55–60 53–62 53–63
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 57 0% 57–58 56–58 54–60 53–62
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 52 0% 51–52 49–53 49–55 48–56
Venstre 43 27 0% 27 24–28 24–29 23–31

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 4% 99.9%  
86 0.7% 96%  
87 3% 95%  
88 0.4% 93%  
89 3% 92%  
90 83% 89% Median, Majority
91 1.1% 6%  
92 4% 5%  
93 0.7% 0.8%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 4% 99.9%  
86 0.7% 96%  
87 3% 95%  
88 0.5% 93%  
89 3% 92%  
90 83% 89% Median, Majority
91 1.1% 6% Last Result
92 4% 5%  
93 0.7% 0.8%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 4% 99.9%  
75 0.8% 96%  
76 0.1% 96%  
77 1.1% 95%  
78 2% 94%  
79 84% 92% Last Result, Median
80 0.9% 8%  
81 4% 7%  
82 2% 4%  
83 1.2% 1.3%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 4% 99.9%  
75 2% 96%  
76 0.5% 94%  
77 2% 94%  
78 2% 92%  
79 83% 90% Last Result, Median
80 0.5% 7%  
81 3% 7%  
82 2% 4%  
83 1.1% 1.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 6% 99.7%  
75 0.3% 94%  
76 4% 93%  
77 0.8% 90%  
78 82% 89% Median
79 2% 7%  
80 5% 5% Last Result
81 0.1% 0.7%  
82 0.2% 0.6%  
83 0.3% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 6% 99.7%  
75 0.3% 94% Last Result
76 4% 93%  
77 0.8% 89%  
78 82% 89% Median
79 2% 7%  
80 5% 5%  
81 0.1% 0.7%  
82 0.2% 0.6%  
83 0.3% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.3% 99.9%  
71 3% 99.6%  
72 3% 96%  
73 1.3% 93%  
74 0.9% 92%  
75 83% 91% Median
76 0.9% 9%  
77 6% 8%  
78 0.1% 2% Last Result
79 1.4% 2%  
80 0.3% 0.6%  
81 0% 0.3%  
82 0.3% 0.3%  
83 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 4% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 96%  
65 0.5% 96%  
66 2% 95%  
67 3% 93%  
68 83% 91% Median
69 1.4% 7%  
70 0.5% 6%  
71 5% 6%  
72 0.7% 0.8%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 4% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 96%  
65 1.4% 96%  
66 2% 94%  
67 3% 92%  
68 83% 89% Median
69 0.5% 5%  
70 0.3% 5%  
71 4% 5%  
72 0.7% 0.7%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 4% 99.9%  
54 0.9% 96%  
55 1.4% 96%  
56 0.5% 94%  
57 2% 94%  
58 86% 91% Median
59 0.5% 6% Last Result
60 0.5% 5%  
61 2% 5%  
62 0.4% 3%  
63 2% 2%  
64 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.6% 99.8%  
54 3% 99.3%  
55 0.4% 96%  
56 0.5% 95%  
57 84% 95% Median
58 6% 11%  
59 2% 4%  
60 1.1% 3%  
61 0.1% 2%  
62 1.0% 1.5%  
63 0.4% 0.5%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.3% 99.9%  
48 0.9% 99.6%  
49 6% 98.6%  
50 0.3% 93%  
51 4% 93%  
52 82% 88% Median
53 2% 7%  
54 2% 5%  
55 0.8% 3% Last Result
56 2% 2%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.2% 100%  
23 0.5% 99.8%  
24 5% 99.4%  
25 2% 94%  
26 2% 92%  
27 82% 90% Median
28 4% 8%  
29 3% 4%  
30 0.1% 2%  
31 1.5% 1.5%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations