Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 20–26 June 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.3% 24.6–28.2% 24.1–28.7% 23.7–29.2% 22.9–30.1%
Venstre 23.4% 15.2% 13.8–16.7% 13.4–17.1% 13.1–17.5% 12.4–18.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.0% 11.7–14.4% 11.3–14.8% 11.0–15.2% 10.4–15.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.9% 6.7–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.8% 4.9–6.9% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–8.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Moderaterne 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.7%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.6%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.2% 0.2–1.4%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 50 45–51 42–51 41–52 41–53
Venstre 43 27 24–29 24–31 23–31 23–34
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 22 22–26 21–27 20–27 19–28
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 13–17 12–19 12–19 11–20
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 12–16 11–17 11–17 11–18
Radikale Venstre 16 15 12–16 11–16 11–17 10–17
Nye Borgerlige 4 9 9–12 8–13 8–13 8–15
Dansk Folkeparti 16 8 6–9 6–9 5–10 5–11
Liberal Alliance 4 6 5–8 5–9 4–9 4–9
Moderaterne 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 5% 99.9%  
42 1.3% 95%  
43 1.1% 94%  
44 2% 93%  
45 6% 91%  
46 10% 84%  
47 11% 74%  
48 9% 63% Last Result
49 1.3% 54%  
50 14% 52% Median
51 35% 38%  
52 3% 4%  
53 0.3% 0.5%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.2% 100%  
23 3% 99.8%  
24 9% 97%  
25 5% 88%  
26 11% 84%  
27 52% 73% Median
28 11% 21%  
29 4% 10%  
30 0.9% 7%  
31 4% 6%  
32 1.4% 2%  
33 0.1% 0.6%  
34 0.2% 0.6%  
35 0.3% 0.3%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 2% 99.9%  
20 2% 98%  
21 4% 95%  
22 46% 92% Median
23 8% 46%  
24 13% 38%  
25 11% 24%  
26 6% 14%  
27 6% 8%  
28 2% 2%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.6% 100%  
12 8% 99.4%  
13 2% 91%  
14 51% 89% Last Result, Median
15 16% 38%  
16 12% 22%  
17 4% 10%  
18 0.4% 6%  
19 5% 6%  
20 1.0% 1.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.4% 100%  
11 6% 99.6%  
12 17% 94%  
13 41% 77% Last Result, Median
14 11% 36%  
15 14% 25%  
16 6% 12%  
17 4% 6%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 2% 99.9%  
11 7% 98%  
12 10% 90%  
13 4% 80%  
14 13% 75%  
15 50% 62% Median
16 9% 12% Last Result
17 2% 3%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.1% 100%  
8 9% 99.9%  
9 42% 90% Median
10 21% 48%  
11 4% 27%  
12 15% 23%  
13 6% 8%  
14 0.4% 2%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 3% 100%  
6 15% 97%  
7 11% 83%  
8 42% 72% Median
9 26% 30%  
10 2% 4%  
11 1.4% 2%  
12 0.1% 0.2%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 5% 99.9% Last Result
5 15% 95%  
6 56% 81% Median
7 10% 25%  
8 7% 14%  
9 8% 8%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 27% 100% Last Result
1 0% 73%  
2 0% 73%  
3 0% 73%  
4 62% 73% Median
5 11% 11%  
6 0.7% 0.9%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 0% 6%  
4 5% 6%  
5 0.5% 0.8% Last Result
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 92 74% 87–93 84–95 84–96 82–100
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 92 71% 86–93 84–93 84–95 82–100
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 78 0% 73–80 71–80 69–82 69–85
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 77 0% 73–79 70–80 69–82 68–85
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 72 0% 71–79 71–81 71–81 69–85
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 72 0% 71–79 71–81 71–81 69–85
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 78 0% 73–80 71–80 70–81 69–83
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 63 0% 61–69 61–69 59–71 57–73
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 63 0% 61–69 61–69 59–71 57–73
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 64 0% 57–66 57–66 56–66 54–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 55 0% 54–60 53–61 52–62 50–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 49 0% 48–54 47–55 47–56 44–57
Venstre 43 27 0% 24–29 24–31 23–31 23–34

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 1.5% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 98%  
84 3% 98%  
85 1.2% 95%  
86 3% 94%  
87 8% 91%  
88 6% 83%  
89 2% 76%  
90 8% 74% Majority
91 5% 66%  
92 15% 61% Median
93 40% 46%  
94 0.9% 6%  
95 2% 5%  
96 1.2% 3% Last Result
97 0.6% 2%  
98 0.5% 1.1%  
99 0.1% 0.6%  
100 0.5% 0.5%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0.3% 99.9%  
82 1.5% 99.6%  
83 0.4% 98%  
84 4% 98%  
85 1.0% 94%  
86 4% 93%  
87 8% 89%  
88 8% 81%  
89 3% 73%  
90 7% 71% Majority
91 5% 63% Last Result
92 15% 59% Median
93 39% 44%  
94 1.4% 5%  
95 2% 3%  
96 0.5% 1.5%  
97 0.3% 1.0%  
98 0% 0.6%  
99 0.1% 0.6%  
100 0.5% 0.5%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.2% 100%  
69 3% 99.8%  
70 1.4% 96%  
71 0.6% 95%  
72 1.2% 94%  
73 9% 93%  
74 6% 84%  
75 2% 78%  
76 4% 77%  
77 22% 73% Median
78 37% 51%  
79 3% 14%  
80 6% 11% Last Result
81 1.0% 5%  
82 1.3% 4%  
83 0.8% 2%  
84 0.2% 2%  
85 1.0% 1.3%  
86 0.3% 0.3%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.4% 99.9%  
69 3% 99.5%  
70 2% 96%  
71 0.6% 94%  
72 1.4% 94%  
73 10% 92%  
74 6% 82%  
75 2% 77% Last Result
76 5% 75%  
77 22% 70% Median
78 37% 48%  
79 2% 11%  
80 5% 9%  
81 0.7% 3%  
82 1.4% 3%  
83 0.7% 1.3%  
84 0.1% 0.6%  
85 0.5% 0.6%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.3% 99.9%  
69 0.7% 99.6%  
70 0.3% 98.9%  
71 13% 98.6%  
72 36% 86% Median
73 9% 50%  
74 8% 40%  
75 3% 33%  
76 0.5% 30%  
77 10% 29%  
78 3% 19%  
79 10% 16% Last Result
80 0.5% 6%  
81 4% 6%  
82 0.3% 1.1%  
83 0.2% 0.8%  
84 0.1% 0.7%  
85 0.3% 0.6%  
86 0.3% 0.3%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.3% 99.9%  
69 0.7% 99.6%  
70 0.3% 98.9%  
71 13% 98.6%  
72 36% 86% Median
73 9% 50%  
74 8% 40%  
75 3% 33%  
76 0.5% 30%  
77 10% 29%  
78 3% 19%  
79 10% 16% Last Result
80 0.5% 6%  
81 4% 6%  
82 0.3% 1.1%  
83 0.2% 0.8%  
84 0.1% 0.7%  
85 0.3% 0.6%  
86 0.3% 0.3%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.4% 99.9%  
69 1.3% 99.5%  
70 2% 98%  
71 2% 97%  
72 1.1% 94%  
73 11% 93%  
74 4% 82%  
75 10% 78%  
76 9% 68%  
77 3% 59%  
78 8% 56% Last Result
79 1.1% 47% Median
80 43% 46%  
81 1.0% 3%  
82 1.5% 2%  
83 0.7% 0.8%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.6% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.3%  
59 2% 99.1%  
60 0.5% 97%  
61 14% 97%  
62 3% 83%  
63 41% 79% Median
64 5% 39%  
65 6% 34%  
66 2% 28%  
67 10% 26%  
68 5% 15%  
69 8% 10%  
70 0.2% 3%  
71 1.2% 3%  
72 0.8% 1.3%  
73 0.4% 0.6%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.6% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.3%  
59 2% 99.1%  
60 0.5% 97%  
61 14% 97%  
62 3% 83%  
63 41% 79% Median
64 5% 39%  
65 6% 34%  
66 2% 28%  
67 10% 26%  
68 5% 15%  
69 8% 10%  
70 0.2% 3%  
71 1.2% 3%  
72 0.8% 1.3%  
73 0.4% 0.6%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 1.3% 99.9%  
55 0.1% 98.6%  
56 2% 98.5%  
57 11% 97%  
58 3% 85%  
59 4% 82%  
60 4% 78%  
61 15% 74%  
62 6% 59%  
63 3% 54%  
64 4% 51% Last Result
65 11% 48% Median
66 35% 36%  
67 0.7% 1.2%  
68 0.5% 0.6%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.6% 99.9%  
51 0.4% 99.3%  
52 4% 98.9%  
53 3% 95%  
54 3% 92%  
55 50% 89% Median
56 7% 40%  
57 5% 33%  
58 9% 29%  
59 4% 19% Last Result
60 8% 15%  
61 2% 7%  
62 2% 5%  
63 0.3% 2%  
64 2% 2%  
65 0.3% 0.3%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.7% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.2%  
46 1.4% 99.1%  
47 7% 98%  
48 2% 91%  
49 49% 89% Median
50 3% 39%  
51 21% 37%  
52 2% 15%  
53 3% 13%  
54 4% 10%  
55 2% 6% Last Result
56 2% 4%  
57 2% 2%  
58 0.1% 0.4%  
59 0.3% 0.3%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.2% 100%  
23 3% 99.8%  
24 9% 97%  
25 5% 88%  
26 11% 84%  
27 52% 73% Median
28 11% 21%  
29 4% 10%  
30 0.9% 7%  
31 4% 6%  
32 1.4% 2%  
33 0.1% 0.6%  
34 0.2% 0.6%  
35 0.3% 0.3%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations