Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 21–28 July 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 24.3% 23.1–25.7% 22.7–26.0% 22.4–26.4% 21.8–27.0%
Venstre 23.4% 14.3% 13.3–15.4% 13.0–15.7% 12.8–16.0% 12.3–16.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 11.6% 10.7–12.6% 10.4–12.9% 10.2–13.1% 9.8–13.6%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 10.9% 10.0–11.8% 9.7–12.1% 9.5–12.4% 9.1–12.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.1% 7.4–9.0% 7.1–9.3% 7.0–9.5% 6.6–9.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.3% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.4% 6.2–8.6% 5.9–9.0%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.8% 5.2–6.6% 5.0–6.8% 4.8–7.0% 4.6–7.4%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.4% 3.9–5.1% 3.7–5.3% 3.6–5.5% 3.3–5.8%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.8% 3.3–4.5% 3.2–4.6% 3.0–4.8% 2.8–5.1%
Moderaterne 0.0% 3.1% 2.6–3.7% 2.5–3.9% 2.4–4.0% 2.2–4.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 2.1% 1.8–2.6% 1.6–2.8% 1.6–2.9% 1.4–3.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.3% 1.0–1.7% 0.9–1.8% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.2%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.8% 0.6–1.2% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.5%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.1–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 47 44–47 43–47 42–47 41–48
Venstre 43 25 25–27 25–27 25–27 23–29
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 21 20–21 20–22 20–23 19–24
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 20 19–20 19–20 18–22 18–23
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 17 15–17 12–17 12–18 12–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–14 12–14 11–15 10–17
Radikale Venstre 16 11 10–11 9–12 9–12 8–12
Nye Borgerlige 4 8 8–9 7–9 7–10 7–10
Liberal Alliance 4 6 6–8 6–8 6–8 6–9
Moderaterne 0 6 6 5–7 4–7 4–8
Dansk Folkeparti 16 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.6% 99.9%  
42 3% 99.2%  
43 3% 96%  
44 4% 93%  
45 2% 89%  
46 9% 87%  
47 77% 78% Median
48 1.1% 2% Last Result
49 0.4% 0.4%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.4% 100%  
23 1.1% 99.6%  
24 0.4% 98%  
25 80% 98% Median
26 7% 18%  
27 9% 11%  
28 0.3% 2%  
29 2% 2%  
30 0.2% 0.2%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0.1% 100%  
19 1.4% 99.9%  
20 9% 98%  
21 81% 89% Median
22 3% 8%  
23 3% 5%  
24 1.4% 1.4%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.1% 100%  
18 3% 99.8%  
19 10% 96%  
20 83% 87% Median
21 0.6% 4%  
22 1.2% 3%  
23 2% 2%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 8% 100%  
13 0.6% 92%  
14 0.8% 91% Last Result
15 3% 90%  
16 7% 88%  
17 77% 81% Median
18 4% 4%  
19 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 1.0% 100%  
11 2% 99.0%  
12 8% 97%  
13 0.9% 89% Last Result
14 83% 88% Median
15 3% 5%  
16 0.1% 1.2%  
17 1.1% 1.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 2% 100%  
9 4% 98%  
10 5% 94%  
11 80% 89% Median
12 9% 9%  
13 0.2% 0.3%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0.4% 100%  
7 5% 99.6%  
8 81% 95% Median
9 10% 13%  
10 3% 3%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 83% 100% Median
7 5% 17%  
8 9% 12%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 3% 100%  
5 3% 97%  
6 87% 94% Median
7 6% 7%  
8 1.1% 1.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 83% 100% Median
1 0% 17%  
2 0% 17%  
3 0% 17%  
4 15% 17%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0.4% 0.4%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.9% 100% Median
1 0% 1.1%  
2 0% 1.1%  
3 0% 1.1%  
4 1.0% 1.0%  
5 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 89 0.1% 82–89 82–89 81–89 78–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 89 0.1% 82–89 82–89 80–89 78–89
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 80 2% 80–86 80–87 80–88 80–90
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 78 0% 71–78 70–78 70–78 68–81
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 78 0% 71–78 70–78 70–78 68–81
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 75 0% 70–75 69–75 67–75 66–75
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 60 0% 60–67 60–68 60–68 59–70
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 79 60 0% 60–67 60–68 60–68 59–70
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 52 0% 52–59 52–59 52–60 51–61
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 75 52 0% 52–59 52–59 52–60 51–61
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 58 0% 54–58 53–58 52–58 50–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 52 0% 52–55 52–56 51–56 51–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 46 0% 46–48 46–49 45–50 44–50
Venstre 43 25 0% 25–27 25–27 25–27 23–29

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 2% 100%  
79 0.4% 98%  
80 0.1% 98%  
81 0.1% 98%  
82 9% 97%  
83 1.4% 88%  
84 0.6% 87%  
85 8% 86%  
86 0.1% 78%  
87 0.7% 78%  
88 0.1% 78%  
89 77% 77% Median
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 2% 99.9%  
79 0.5% 98%  
80 0.1% 98%  
81 0.9% 97%  
82 9% 97%  
83 1.4% 87%  
84 0.7% 86%  
85 7% 85%  
86 0.1% 78%  
87 0.6% 78%  
88 0.1% 78%  
89 77% 77% Median
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100% Last Result
80 76% 100% Median
81 1.2% 24%  
82 0.6% 22%  
83 1.5% 22%  
84 4% 20%  
85 1.2% 16%  
86 5% 15%  
87 6% 10%  
88 1.1% 4%  
89 0.2% 2%  
90 2% 2% Majority
91 0% 0.4%  
92 0.3% 0.4%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 2% 100%  
69 0.1% 98%  
70 6% 98%  
71 3% 92%  
72 0.3% 89%  
73 4% 88%  
74 0.6% 84%  
75 2% 84%  
76 3% 82%  
77 0.8% 78%  
78 76% 78% Median
79 0.1% 1.1%  
80 0% 1.0% Last Result
81 1.0% 1.0%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 2% 100%  
69 0.1% 98%  
70 6% 98%  
71 3% 91%  
72 0.3% 88%  
73 5% 88%  
74 0.5% 83%  
75 2% 83% Last Result
76 3% 81%  
77 0.1% 78%  
78 76% 78% Median
79 0.1% 1.1%  
80 0% 1.0%  
81 1.0% 1.0%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 1.2% 99.8%  
67 2% 98.6%  
68 0.4% 97%  
69 2% 96%  
70 11% 95%  
71 5% 84%  
72 2% 79%  
73 0.2% 77%  
74 0.3% 77%  
75 77% 77% Median
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 1.0% 99.9%  
60 76% 98.9% Median
61 0.1% 22%  
62 0.5% 22%  
63 3% 22%  
64 1.3% 19%  
65 1.0% 17%  
66 4% 16%  
67 3% 13%  
68 7% 10%  
69 0.2% 2%  
70 2% 2%  
71 0.4% 0.4%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 1.0% 99.9%  
60 76% 98.9% Median
61 0.1% 22%  
62 0.5% 22%  
63 3% 22%  
64 1.3% 19%  
65 1.0% 17%  
66 4% 16%  
67 3% 13%  
68 7% 10%  
69 0.2% 2%  
70 2% 2%  
71 0.4% 0.4%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 1.1% 99.9%  
52 76% 98.9% Median
53 0.1% 22%  
54 2% 22%  
55 2% 20%  
56 2% 19%  
57 0.9% 17%  
58 1.3% 16%  
59 12% 15%  
60 2% 3%  
61 0.3% 0.7%  
62 0.3% 0.4%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 1.1% 99.9%  
52 76% 98.9% Median
53 0.1% 22%  
54 2% 22%  
55 2% 20%  
56 2% 19%  
57 0.9% 17%  
58 1.3% 16%  
59 12% 15%  
60 2% 3%  
61 0.3% 0.7%  
62 0.3% 0.4%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 1.0% 99.9%  
51 0.1% 98.9%  
52 2% 98.8%  
53 5% 97%  
54 2% 92%  
55 1.4% 90%  
56 2% 88%  
57 0.1% 86%  
58 85% 86% Median
59 0.3% 0.7%  
60 0% 0.4%  
61 0.3% 0.3%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 3% 99.8%  
52 77% 97% Median
53 0.3% 20%  
54 3% 20%  
55 12% 17%  
56 4% 6%  
57 0.1% 1.5%  
58 1.2% 1.3%  
59 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.3% 99.9%  
44 2% 99.6%  
45 3% 98%  
46 77% 95% Median
47 7% 18%  
48 5% 11%  
49 4% 7%  
50 2% 3%  
51 0.1% 0.4%  
52 0.2% 0.3%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.4% 100%  
23 1.1% 99.6%  
24 0.4% 98%  
25 80% 98% Median
26 7% 18%  
27 9% 11%  
28 0.3% 2%  
29 2% 2%  
30 0.2% 0.2%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations