Opinion Poll by Gallup for Berlingske, 5 August 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 23.5% 22.2–24.9% 21.8–25.3% 21.5–25.7% 20.9–26.4%
Venstre 23.4% 13.2% 12.1–14.3% 11.9–14.7% 11.6–15.0% 11.1–15.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 11.8% 10.8–12.9% 10.5–13.2% 10.3–13.5% 9.8–14.0%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 10.2% 9.3–11.2% 9.0–11.6% 8.8–11.8% 8.4–12.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 9.3% 8.4–10.3% 8.2–10.6% 8.0–10.9% 7.6–11.4%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.9% 6.2–7.8% 5.9–8.1% 5.8–8.3% 5.4–8.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.1% 5.4–6.9% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.4% 4.7–7.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 5.0–7.3% 4.6–7.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 4.1% 3.5–4.8% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.6%
Moderaterne 0.0% 4.1% 3.5–4.8% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 1.8% 1.4–2.3% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.8%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.7% 1.4–2.2% 1.2–2.4% 1.2–2.5% 1.0–2.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.9%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.9%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 45 40–45 39–49 38–49 37–49
Venstre 43 25 22–25 22–26 22–26 20–26
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 20 19–22 19–22 19–23 18–25
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 21 17–21 16–21 16–21 16–23
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 15–18 15–19 14–19 14–21
Radikale Venstre 16 12 11–13 11–14 11–15 10–15
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 9 9–12 9–12 9–13 8–14
Nye Borgerlige 4 11 10–12 9–12 9–12 8–13
Liberal Alliance 4 7 7–9 7–9 6–10 6–10
Moderaterne 0 6 6–8 6–9 6–9 6–9
Dansk Folkeparti 16 4 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 2% 99.9%  
38 1.1% 98%  
39 6% 97%  
40 1.4% 91%  
41 6% 90%  
42 3% 84%  
43 11% 81%  
44 3% 71%  
45 59% 68% Median
46 0.1% 9%  
47 1.0% 9%  
48 0.1% 8% Last Result
49 8% 8%  
50 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.5% 99.9%  
21 0.3% 99.5%  
22 11% 99.1%  
23 5% 88%  
24 11% 83%  
25 67% 72% Median
26 5% 6%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.1% 100%  
18 1.0% 99.9%  
19 11% 98.9%  
20 65% 88% Median
21 11% 22%  
22 8% 11%  
23 2% 3%  
24 0.6% 1.5%  
25 0.8% 0.9%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.3% 100%  
16 5% 99.7%  
17 14% 94%  
18 6% 80%  
19 0.6% 74%  
20 11% 73%  
21 61% 63% Median
22 0.4% 2%  
23 1.5% 2%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0% 100%  
14 3% 99.9% Last Result
15 61% 97% Median
16 19% 35%  
17 6% 16%  
18 2% 11%  
19 7% 8%  
20 0.3% 0.8%  
21 0.5% 0.6%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 2% 99.9%  
11 14% 98%  
12 63% 84% Median
13 16% 21%  
14 2% 5%  
15 3% 3%  
16 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.9% 100%  
9 68% 99.0% Median
10 11% 31%  
11 9% 20%  
12 7% 11%  
13 2% 3% Last Result
14 0.9% 1.0%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 1.1% 100%  
9 6% 98.9%  
10 9% 93%  
11 72% 84% Median
12 10% 12%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.3% 100%  
6 3% 99.7%  
7 71% 97% Median
8 10% 26%  
9 13% 16%  
10 3% 3%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.1% 100%  
6 63% 99.9% Median
7 5% 37%  
8 23% 32%  
9 9% 9%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100%  
1 0% 75%  
2 0% 75%  
3 0% 75%  
4 74% 75% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 83% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 17%  
2 0% 17%  
3 0% 17%  
4 16% 17%  
5 0.1% 0.3%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 88 1.2% 82–88 80–88 80–89 76–92
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 81 0.7% 80–85 79–87 79–87 76–90
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 81 0.7% 80–85 79–87 79–87 76–90
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 72 0% 69–74 69–78 68–78 64–78
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 69 0% 68–72 68–74 66–74 64–75
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 69 0% 68–72 68–74 66–74 64–75
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 67 0% 63–69 63–71 63–71 58–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 79 67 0% 63–67 63–67 62–69 58–70
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 56 0% 52–58 52–62 52–62 46–63
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 57 0% 52–57 50–62 50–62 47–62
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 75 56 0% 52–56 52–58 52–58 46–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 52 0% 52–54 50–54 50–54 46–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 45 0% 44–45 42–46 42–47 40–49
Venstre 43 25 0% 22–25 22–26 22–26 20–26

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.7% 100%  
77 0% 99.3%  
78 0% 99.3%  
79 0.1% 99.3% Last Result
80 8% 99.2%  
81 0.5% 91%  
82 6% 90%  
83 1.4% 85%  
84 0.5% 83%  
85 1.5% 83%  
86 2% 81%  
87 11% 79%  
88 66% 68% Median
89 1.5% 3%  
90 0% 1.2% Majority
91 0.1% 1.1%  
92 0.9% 1.0%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.8% 99.9%  
77 0.3% 99.1%  
78 0.6% 98.8%  
79 5% 98%  
80 11% 94%  
81 63% 83% Median
82 1.3% 20%  
83 2% 18%  
84 6% 16%  
85 0.6% 10%  
86 0.7% 10%  
87 8% 9%  
88 0% 0.9%  
89 0.1% 0.8%  
90 0.7% 0.7% Majority
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.8% 99.9%  
77 0.3% 99.1%  
78 0.6% 98.8%  
79 5% 98%  
80 11% 94%  
81 63% 83% Median
82 1.3% 20%  
83 2% 18%  
84 6% 16%  
85 0.6% 10%  
86 0.7% 10%  
87 8% 9%  
88 0% 0.9%  
89 0.1% 0.8%  
90 0.7% 0.7% Majority
91 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.9% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.0%  
66 0.1% 98.9%  
67 0.2% 98.9%  
68 2% 98.6%  
69 11% 97%  
70 7% 85%  
71 0.5% 79%  
72 65% 78% Median
73 2% 13%  
74 1.3% 11%  
75 0.8% 10%  
76 1.0% 9%  
77 0.1% 8%  
78 8% 8% Last Result
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.6% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.4%  
66 3% 99.3%  
67 0.4% 96%  
68 6% 96%  
69 70% 89% Median
70 1.0% 19%  
71 8% 18%  
72 0.3% 10%  
73 0.3% 10%  
74 9% 10%  
75 0.7% 0.9%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.6% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.4%  
66 3% 99.3%  
67 0.4% 96%  
68 6% 96%  
69 70% 89% Median
70 1.0% 19%  
71 8% 18%  
72 0.3% 10%  
73 0.3% 10%  
74 9% 10%  
75 0.7% 0.9% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.7% 100%  
59 0.4% 99.3%  
60 0.1% 98.9%  
61 0.2% 98.8%  
62 0.4% 98.6%  
63 9% 98%  
64 1.1% 89%  
65 2% 88%  
66 8% 86%  
67 66% 78% Median
68 0.2% 13%  
69 4% 12%  
70 2% 8%  
71 5% 6%  
72 0.6% 0.8%  
73 0% 0.2%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.7% 100%  
59 0.4% 99.3%  
60 0.1% 98.9%  
61 0.3% 98.8%  
62 2% 98.5%  
63 15% 97%  
64 1.2% 82%  
65 5% 81%  
66 7% 76%  
67 65% 69% Median
68 0.7% 4%  
69 0.8% 3%  
70 2% 2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.7% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.3%  
48 0.1% 99.3%  
49 0.1% 99.2%  
50 0.3% 99.1%  
51 0.8% 98.8%  
52 9% 98%  
53 2% 89%  
54 5% 87%  
55 2% 82%  
56 62% 80% Median
57 6% 18%  
58 6% 12%  
59 0.2% 6%  
60 0.2% 6%  
61 0.8% 6%  
62 4% 5%  
63 0.6% 0.7%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.8% 100%  
48 0.2% 99.2%  
49 0.2% 99.0%  
50 6% 98.8%  
51 1.2% 93%  
52 6% 92%  
53 0.7% 86%  
54 5% 85%  
55 2% 80%  
56 8% 79%  
57 61% 71% Median
58 0.8% 10%  
59 1.0% 9%  
60 0.1% 8%  
61 0.1% 8%  
62 8% 8%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.7% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.3%  
48 0.1% 99.2%  
49 0.2% 99.2%  
50 0.3% 99.0%  
51 0.8% 98.6%  
52 10% 98%  
53 7% 87%  
54 9% 80%  
55 2% 71%  
56 60% 69% Median
57 1.1% 9%  
58 7% 8%  
59 0.7% 0.9%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.9% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.1%  
48 0.4% 99.0%  
49 0.3% 98.6%  
50 6% 98%  
51 2% 93%  
52 70% 91% Median
53 7% 20%  
54 11% 13%  
55 1.0% 2%  
56 1.0% 1.5%  
57 0.1% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.3%  
59 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
60 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 1.0% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.0%  
42 7% 98.9%  
43 0.7% 92%  
44 11% 91%  
45 74% 80% Median
46 3% 6%  
47 2% 3%  
48 0.9% 2%  
49 0.7% 1.1%  
50 0.2% 0.3%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.5% 99.9%  
21 0.3% 99.5%  
22 11% 99.1%  
23 5% 88%  
24 11% 83%  
25 67% 72% Median
26 5% 6%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations