Opinion Poll by Yougov, 7 August 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.1% 24.5–27.7% 24.1–28.2% 23.7–28.6% 23.0–29.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.9% 12.7–15.3% 12.4–15.6% 12.1–16.0% 11.6–16.6%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 11.9% 10.8–13.2% 10.5–13.5% 10.2–13.8% 9.7–14.4%
Venstre 23.4% 10.0% 9.0–11.2% 8.7–11.5% 8.4–11.8% 8.0–12.4%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.2% 6.3–8.2% 6.1–8.5% 5.9–8.7% 5.5–9.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.9% 6.1–7.9% 5.8–8.2% 5.6–8.5% 5.3–9.0%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.2% 4.5–6.1% 4.3–6.4% 4.1–6.6% 3.8–7.1%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.2% 4.5–6.1% 4.3–6.4% 4.1–6.6% 3.8–7.1%
Moderaterne 0.0% 4.6% 3.9–5.4% 3.7–5.7% 3.6–5.9% 3.2–6.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.2% 2.7–4.0% 2.5–4.2% 2.4–4.4% 2.1–4.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 3.1% 2.6–3.9% 2.4–4.1% 2.3–4.3% 2.1–4.6%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–1.9%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.8% 0.6–1.2% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.7%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.4%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–1.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 44 43–49 43–49 42–49 40–52
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 25 24–26 23–26 22–26 22–28
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 21 19–23 19–23 18–25 18–26
Venstre 43 15 15–18 15–19 15–21 15–22
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 11–17 11–17 11–17 8–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 13–14 11–14 10–14 9–15
Radikale Venstre 16 9 8–12 8–12 8–12 7–12
Nye Borgerlige 4 9 8–12 8–12 8–12 8–12
Moderaterne 0 9 6–9 6–9 6–9 6–10
Liberal Alliance 4 7 5–7 5–7 5–7 4–8
Dansk Folkeparti 16 6 5–7 5–7 5–7 4–8
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–4
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 1.2% 100%  
41 0.1% 98.8%  
42 2% 98.7%  
43 12% 97%  
44 39% 85% Median
45 2% 46%  
46 19% 44%  
47 1.3% 25%  
48 3% 24% Last Result
49 20% 21%  
50 0.3% 1.1%  
51 0.1% 0.8%  
52 0.4% 0.7%  
53 0% 0.3%  
54 0.3% 0.3%  
55 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0.1% 99.9%  
22 4% 99.8%  
23 1.1% 96%  
24 38% 95%  
25 14% 57% Median
26 41% 42%  
27 0.5% 2%  
28 1.0% 1.3%  
29 0.1% 0.3%  
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.2% 100%  
18 2% 99.8%  
19 20% 97%  
20 0.8% 78%  
21 33% 77% Median
22 3% 44%  
23 38% 41%  
24 0.2% 3%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.4% 0.6%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.2% 100%  
14 0.3% 99.8%  
15 50% 99.5% Median
16 21% 50%  
17 0.7% 29%  
18 23% 28%  
19 1.1% 5%  
20 1.2% 4%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.6% 0.7%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 1.2% 100%  
9 0% 98.8%  
10 0.8% 98.8%  
11 38% 98%  
12 1.4% 60%  
13 2% 59%  
14 19% 57% Last Result, Median
15 15% 38%  
16 0.3% 23%  
17 23% 23%  
18 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 1.4% 100%  
10 1.3% 98.6%  
11 2% 97%  
12 4% 95%  
13 49% 91% Last Result, Median
14 40% 43%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.3% 0.4%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.4% 100%  
7 0.5% 99.6%  
8 35% 99.2%  
9 22% 64% Median
10 4% 42%  
11 0.5% 39%  
12 38% 38%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.3% 99.9%  
8 19% 99.6%  
9 41% 80% Median
10 22% 39%  
11 5% 17%  
12 12% 13%  
13 0.2% 0.4%  
14 0.1% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.1% 100%  
6 22% 99.9%  
7 0.1% 78%  
8 23% 78%  
9 55% 55% Median
10 0.3% 0.5%  
11 0.2% 0.3%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100%  
1 0% 99.5%  
2 0% 99.5%  
3 0% 99.5%  
4 2% 99.5% Last Result
5 22% 98%  
6 20% 76%  
7 54% 56% Median
8 2% 2%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 0% 99.6%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 1.2% 99.6%  
5 41% 98%  
6 42% 57% Median
7 14% 16%  
8 1.2% 2%  
9 0.4% 0.4%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 18%  
2 0% 18%  
3 0% 18%  
4 18% 18%  
5 0% 0%  

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 85 2% 81–87 81–87 81–89 80–94
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 81 0.1% 79–88 79–88 77–88 73–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 81 0.1% 79–88 79–88 77–88 73–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 71 0% 69–79 69–79 67–79 64–79
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 71 0% 69–79 69–79 67–79 64–79
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 67 0% 66–75 66–75 66–75 62–75
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 62 0% 61–66 61–66 60–68 57–71
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 79 62 0% 61–66 61–66 60–68 57–71
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 53 0% 52–54 52–56 51–58 48–60
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 75 53 0% 52–54 52–56 51–58 48–60
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 56 0% 51–58 51–58 50–58 49–60
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 47 0% 46–48 46–51 46–52 44–52
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 41 0% 40–42 40–44 40–46 39–47
Venstre 43 15 0% 15–18 15–19 15–21 15–22

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.2% 100%  
79 0% 99.8% Last Result
80 0.5% 99.7%  
81 21% 99.3%  
82 18% 78%  
83 0.8% 60% Median
84 0.5% 59%  
85 39% 59%  
86 3% 20%  
87 13% 17%  
88 0.3% 4%  
89 1.0% 3%  
90 1.3% 2% Majority
91 0% 1.2%  
92 0.1% 1.2%  
93 0% 1.2%  
94 1.1% 1.2%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 1.1% 99.9%  
74 0% 98.8%  
75 0% 98.8%  
76 1.2% 98.8%  
77 1.0% 98%  
78 0.1% 97%  
79 12% 96%  
80 1.0% 84% Median
81 55% 83%  
82 2% 28%  
83 3% 26%  
84 0.6% 23%  
85 2% 22%  
86 0.6% 19%  
87 0% 19%  
88 19% 19%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 1.1% 99.9%  
74 0% 98.8%  
75 0% 98.8%  
76 1.2% 98.8%  
77 1.0% 98%  
78 0.1% 97%  
79 12% 96%  
80 1.0% 84% Median
81 55% 83%  
82 2% 27%  
83 3% 26%  
84 0.6% 23%  
85 2% 22%  
86 0.6% 19%  
87 0% 19%  
88 19% 19%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 1.1% 99.9%  
65 0.9% 98.8%  
66 0% 98%  
67 1.2% 98%  
68 0% 97%  
69 37% 97%  
70 0.2% 60%  
71 13% 60% Median
72 1.2% 47%  
73 21% 46%  
74 2% 24%  
75 0.2% 22%  
76 0.5% 22%  
77 3% 22%  
78 0.1% 19%  
79 19% 19%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 1.1% 99.9%  
65 0.9% 98.8%  
66 0% 98%  
67 1.3% 98%  
68 0% 97%  
69 37% 97%  
70 0.2% 60%  
71 13% 59% Median
72 1.1% 47%  
73 21% 46%  
74 2% 24%  
75 0.2% 22% Last Result
76 0.5% 22%  
77 3% 22%  
78 0.1% 19%  
79 19% 19%  
80 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 1.1% 100%  
63 0.3% 98.8%  
64 0% 98.5%  
65 0.1% 98%  
66 13% 98%  
67 38% 85% Median
68 20% 47%  
69 3% 27%  
70 1.4% 24%  
71 0.2% 22%  
72 0.8% 22%  
73 2% 21%  
74 0.2% 19%  
75 19% 19%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.4% 100%  
56 0% 99.6%  
57 0.4% 99.5%  
58 0.3% 99.2%  
59 0% 98.9%  
60 2% 98.8%  
61 18% 97%  
62 57% 79% Median
63 3% 23%  
64 0.3% 20%  
65 3% 20%  
66 12% 17%  
67 2% 5%  
68 1.2% 3%  
69 0.1% 1.3%  
70 0.1% 1.3%  
71 1.2% 1.2%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.4% 100%  
56 0% 99.6%  
57 0.4% 99.5%  
58 0.3% 99.2%  
59 0% 98.9%  
60 2% 98.8%  
61 18% 97%  
62 57% 79% Median
63 3% 23%  
64 0.3% 20%  
65 3% 20%  
66 12% 17%  
67 2% 5%  
68 1.2% 3%  
69 0.1% 1.3%  
70 0.1% 1.3%  
71 1.2% 1.2%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.4% 99.9%  
48 0% 99.5%  
49 0.4% 99.5%  
50 0.3% 99.1%  
51 2% 98.8%  
52 20% 97%  
53 57% 77% Median
54 14% 20%  
55 0.4% 6%  
56 0.8% 6%  
57 1.4% 5%  
58 2% 3%  
59 0.4% 2%  
60 1.2% 1.3%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.4% 99.9%  
48 0% 99.5%  
49 0.4% 99.5%  
50 0.3% 99.1%  
51 2% 98.8%  
52 20% 97%  
53 57% 77% Median
54 14% 20%  
55 0.4% 6%  
56 0.8% 6%  
57 1.4% 5%  
58 2% 3%  
59 0.4% 2%  
60 1.2% 1.3%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 1.1% 99.9%  
50 2% 98.8%  
51 12% 97%  
52 0.2% 85%  
53 0.9% 85% Median
54 20% 84%  
55 2% 64%  
56 40% 63%  
57 1.4% 23%  
58 20% 21%  
59 0.4% 1.3%  
60 0.4% 0.9%  
61 0% 0.4%  
62 0.2% 0.4%  
63 0.2% 0.2%  
64 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
65 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0.4% 99.8%  
45 0.9% 99.4%  
46 21% 98.5%  
47 33% 78% Median
48 37% 45%  
49 3% 8%  
50 0.6% 6%  
51 2% 5%  
52 2% 3%  
53 0.3% 0.4%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100%  
36 0.2% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.7%  
38 0% 99.7%  
39 0.4% 99.7%  
40 34% 99.3% Median
41 37% 65%  
42 22% 28%  
43 1.2% 6%  
44 1.4% 5%  
45 0.1% 4%  
46 1.4% 4%  
47 2% 2%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.2% 100%  
14 0.3% 99.8%  
15 50% 99.5% Median
16 21% 50%  
17 0.7% 29%  
18 23% 28%  
19 1.1% 5%  
20 1.2% 4%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.6% 0.7%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations