Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 8–14 August 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 23.9% 22.3–25.6% 21.8–26.1% 21.4–26.6% 20.6–27.4%
Venstre 23.4% 13.4% 12.1–14.9% 11.8–15.3% 11.5–15.6% 10.9–16.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.3% 12.1–14.8% 11.7–15.2% 11.4–15.5% 10.8–16.2%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 9.7% 8.6–11.0% 8.3–11.3% 8.0–11.7% 7.6–12.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.2–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.5–10.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.6–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.3% 5.4–7.3% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–7.9% 4.6–8.5%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.8% 5.0–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.2–7.9%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.5–4.0%
Moderaterne 0.0% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.5–3.3% 1.3–3.6%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.0% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.3%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.9%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.1% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 43 40–43 39–43 38–44 36–47
Venstre 43 24 24–27 24–27 22–27 20–28
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 25 25–26 24–26 20–26 19–27
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 18 17–18 16–18 16–19 15–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 14–19 14–19 14–19 12–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 18 11–18 11–18 11–18 11–18
Radikale Venstre 16 11 9–12 9–15 9–15 8–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 8 8–9 8–11 8–12 8–13
Liberal Alliance 4 6 6–8 6–9 5–10 5–11
Dansk Folkeparti 16 4 4–5 4–5 0–5 0–6
Moderaterne 0 4 4 4–5 0–6 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 2% 100%  
37 0.1% 98%  
38 3% 98%  
39 2% 95%  
40 17% 93%  
41 2% 77%  
42 4% 75%  
43 69% 71% Median
44 1.3% 3%  
45 0.4% 1.3%  
46 0.3% 1.0%  
47 0.3% 0.7%  
48 0% 0.3% Last Result
49 0.1% 0.3%  
50 0% 0.2%  
51 0.2% 0.2%  
52 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0.3% 99.9%  
20 0.5% 99.7%  
21 1.1% 99.1%  
22 1.3% 98%  
23 0.5% 97%  
24 70% 96% Median
25 4% 26%  
26 2% 23%  
27 20% 21%  
28 0.6% 1.0%  
29 0.3% 0.4%  
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0.1% 100%  
19 2% 99.9%  
20 0.2% 98%  
21 0.2% 97%  
22 0.5% 97%  
23 0.5% 97%  
24 4% 96%  
25 67% 92% Median
26 24% 25%  
27 0.7% 1.0%  
28 0.1% 0.3%  
29 0.2% 0.2%  
30 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.1% 99.9%  
15 2% 99.8%  
16 4% 98%  
17 20% 95%  
18 71% 74% Median
19 2% 3%  
20 0.9% 1.3%  
21 0.3% 0.4%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 0.3% 99.7%  
13 2% 99.4%  
14 69% 98% Last Result, Median
15 9% 29%  
16 2% 21%  
17 0.5% 19%  
18 1.0% 18%  
19 17% 17%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 17% 99.9%  
12 0.7% 83%  
13 2% 83% Last Result
14 2% 81%  
15 3% 79%  
16 6% 76%  
17 3% 71%  
18 68% 68% Median
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.6% 99.9%  
9 20% 99.3%  
10 2% 80%  
11 66% 77% Median
12 4% 11%  
13 0.4% 7%  
14 0.2% 7%  
15 6% 6%  
16 0.4% 0.4% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.1% 100%  
8 67% 99.9% Median
9 23% 33%  
10 0.8% 10%  
11 6% 9%  
12 0.8% 3%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0% 0.2%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 4% 100%  
6 69% 96% Median
7 3% 28%  
8 19% 25%  
9 3% 6%  
10 0.2% 3%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 72% 96% Median
5 22% 24%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0.1% 0.2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 91% 96% Median
5 2% 5%  
6 3% 3%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.1% 0.2%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 85 24% 85–92 83–92 83–93 81–93
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 86 0.2% 79–86 79–87 79–88 78–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 86 0.2% 79–86 79–87 79–88 78–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 75 0% 70–75 68–75 68–75 66–77
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 75 0% 70–75 68–75 68–75 66–77
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 67 0% 67–75 67–75 66–75 64–77
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 79 67 0% 67–75 67–75 66–75 64–77
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 68 0% 68 67–71 63–72 62–73
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 59 0% 59–66 56–66 55–66 53–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 75 59 0% 59–66 56–66 55–66 53–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 55 0% 55–61 55–61 51–62 48–62
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 54 0% 49–54 49–55 48–57 48–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 49 0% 49–53 48–53 45–53 40–54
Venstre 43 24 0% 24–27 24–27 22–27 20–28

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100% Last Result
80 0.1% 100%  
81 1.0% 99.9%  
82 0% 98.8%  
83 5% 98.8%  
84 0.1% 94%  
85 67% 94% Median
86 0.4% 27%  
87 1.3% 26%  
88 0.6% 25%  
89 0.1% 25%  
90 0.3% 24% Majority
91 3% 24%  
92 17% 21%  
93 4% 4%  
94 0.1% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 2% 99.8%  
79 17% 98%  
80 2% 81%  
81 0.1% 79%  
82 3% 79%  
83 1.0% 75%  
84 1.0% 74%  
85 0.5% 73%  
86 66% 73% Median
87 2% 6%  
88 4% 4%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0.2% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 2% 99.8%  
79 17% 98%  
80 2% 81%  
81 0.1% 79%  
82 3% 79%  
83 1.0% 75%  
84 1.0% 74%  
85 0.5% 73%  
86 66% 73% Median
87 2% 6%  
88 4% 4%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0.2% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.4% 99.9%  
67 1.5% 99.5%  
68 4% 98%  
69 0.8% 94%  
70 17% 93%  
71 0.1% 76%  
72 0.2% 76%  
73 6% 76%  
74 0.5% 70%  
75 68% 69% Median
76 0.6% 1.3%  
77 0.5% 0.7%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1% Last Result
81 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.4% 99.9%  
67 1.5% 99.5%  
68 4% 98%  
69 0.8% 94%  
70 17% 93%  
71 0.2% 76%  
72 0.2% 76%  
73 6% 76%  
74 0.5% 70%  
75 68% 69% Last Result, Median
76 0.6% 1.3%  
77 0.5% 0.7%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 1.0% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 98.9%  
66 2% 98.8%  
67 69% 97% Median
68 0.8% 28%  
69 0.5% 27%  
70 2% 27%  
71 0.1% 24%  
72 0.1% 24%  
73 3% 24%  
74 1.3% 21%  
75 19% 20%  
76 0.2% 0.8%  
77 0.5% 0.6%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1% Last Result
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 1.0% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 98.9%  
66 2% 98.8%  
67 69% 97% Median
68 0.8% 28%  
69 0.5% 27%  
70 2% 26%  
71 0.1% 24%  
72 0.1% 24%  
73 3% 24%  
74 1.4% 21%  
75 19% 20%  
76 0.2% 0.7%  
77 0.5% 0.6%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1% Last Result
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 2% 100%  
63 2% 98%  
64 0.1% 96%  
65 0.4% 96%  
66 0.1% 96%  
67 3% 95%  
68 84% 93% Median
69 2% 9%  
70 0.8% 7%  
71 1.2% 6%  
72 4% 5%  
73 0.4% 0.7%  
74 0.1% 0.4%  
75 0.2% 0.3%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 1.0% 99.9%  
54 0% 99.0%  
55 1.5% 98.9%  
56 3% 97%  
57 0.4% 94%  
58 0.7% 94%  
59 67% 93% Median
60 0.6% 26%  
61 3% 25%  
62 0.4% 23%  
63 0.1% 22%  
64 2% 22%  
65 0.5% 20%  
66 19% 19%  
67 0.2% 0.3%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 1.0% 99.9%  
54 0% 98.9%  
55 1.4% 98.9%  
56 3% 97%  
57 0.4% 94%  
58 0.8% 94%  
59 67% 93% Median
60 0.6% 26%  
61 3% 25%  
62 0.4% 23%  
63 0.1% 22%  
64 2% 22%  
65 0.5% 20%  
66 19% 19%  
67 0.2% 0.3%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 1.0% 100%  
49 0.1% 99.0%  
50 0% 98.9%  
51 1.4% 98.9%  
52 0.4% 97%  
53 0.6% 97%  
54 0.4% 97%  
55 68% 96% Median
56 3% 28%  
57 1.3% 24%  
58 0.1% 23%  
59 3% 23% Last Result
60 0.5% 20%  
61 17% 19%  
62 2% 3%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 4% 99.8%  
49 17% 96%  
50 0.2% 79%  
51 0.5% 79%  
52 2% 78%  
53 2% 76%  
54 68% 74% Median
55 0.5% 5%  
56 0.2% 5%  
57 3% 5%  
58 0% 2%  
59 1.1% 2%  
60 0.4% 0.4%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 1.0% 99.9%  
41 0% 99.0%  
42 0.1% 99.0%  
43 0.1% 98.9%  
44 0.6% 98.8%  
45 1.5% 98%  
46 0.4% 97%  
47 0.5% 96%  
48 1.3% 96%  
49 67% 95% Median
50 4% 28%  
51 7% 24%  
52 0.2% 17%  
53 17% 17%  
54 0.5% 0.7%  
55 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0.3% 99.9%  
20 0.5% 99.7%  
21 1.1% 99.1%  
22 1.3% 98%  
23 0.5% 97%  
24 70% 96% Median
25 4% 26%  
26 2% 23%  
27 20% 21%  
28 0.6% 1.0%  
29 0.3% 0.4%  
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations