Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 15–21 August 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 25.1% 23.4–26.9% 23.0–27.4% 22.6–27.8% 21.8–28.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 16.5% 15.1–18.0% 14.7–18.5% 14.4–18.8% 13.7–19.6%
Venstre 23.4% 11.0% 9.8–12.3% 9.5–12.7% 9.2–13.0% 8.7–13.6%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 9.3% 8.2–10.5% 7.9–10.9% 7.7–11.2% 7.2–11.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.6% 6.6–8.7% 6.4–9.1% 6.1–9.3% 5.7–9.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.5% 6.5–8.6% 6.3–8.9% 6.1–9.2% 5.6–9.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.6–6.9% 4.4–7.2% 4.0–7.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 4.9% 4.1–5.8% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.3% 3.4–6.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.3–4.4% 2.0–4.8%
Moderaterne 0.0% 1.9% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.6–2.4%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.5%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.3%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–1.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 43 43–45 43–46 43–48 40–51
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 29 29–30 27–31 25–32 24–33
Venstre 43 22 20–22 19–22 17–22 16–23
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 18 17–18 15–20 14–20 13–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 13–15 13–16 12–16 11–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 14–16 13–16 12–16 12–16
Radikale Venstre 16 11 10–11 8–11 7–11 7–13
Liberal Alliance 4 8 8–10 8–11 8–12 7–12
Nye Borgerlige 4 8 7–8 7–9 7–12 5–12
Dansk Folkeparti 16 7 5–7 5–7 5–7 5–8
Moderaterne 0 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.6% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.4%  
42 0.7% 99.2%  
43 80% 98% Median
44 2% 18%  
45 11% 16%  
46 0.6% 5%  
47 0.2% 5%  
48 2% 4% Last Result
49 0.1% 2%  
50 0.3% 2%  
51 2% 2%  
52 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 1.4% 100%  
25 3% 98.6%  
26 0.1% 95%  
27 0.6% 95%  
28 2% 95%  
29 82% 93% Median
30 5% 11%  
31 4% 6%  
32 0.1% 3%  
33 2% 2%  
34 0.2% 0.2%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.8% 100%  
17 3% 99.2%  
18 0.3% 96%  
19 5% 96%  
20 8% 91%  
21 0.7% 83%  
22 82% 82% Median
23 0.4% 0.5%  
24 0% 0.2%  
25 0% 0.2%  
26 0.2% 0.2%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 1.1% 100%  
14 2% 98.9%  
15 2% 97%  
16 2% 95%  
17 4% 92%  
18 79% 89% Median
19 1.5% 10%  
20 7% 8%  
21 0.2% 0.6%  
22 0.4% 0.4%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 0.6% 99.6%  
12 3% 99.1%  
13 79% 96% Median
14 6% 18% Last Result
15 6% 12%  
16 5% 5%  
17 0.3% 0.6%  
18 0.3% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.2% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.7%  
13 6% 97% Last Result
14 11% 91%  
15 2% 80%  
16 77% 78% Median
17 0.4% 0.4%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 4% 100%  
8 4% 96%  
9 0.3% 92%  
10 3% 91%  
11 87% 88% Median
12 0.6% 1.3%  
13 0.7% 0.7%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0.3% 100%  
7 0.4% 99.7%  
8 81% 99.4% Median
9 7% 18%  
10 2% 11%  
11 6% 9%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 1.4% 100%  
6 1.0% 98.6%  
7 9% 98%  
8 79% 89% Median
9 5% 10%  
10 0.6% 5%  
11 2% 4%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0.2% 99.9%  
5 12% 99.7%  
6 2% 88%  
7 84% 86% Median
8 2% 2%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 8%  
2 0% 8%  
3 0% 8%  
4 4% 8%  
5 4% 4%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.7% 100% Median
1 0% 1.3%  
2 0% 1.3%  
3 0% 1.3%  
4 0.9% 1.3%  
5 0.4% 0.4% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 92 94% 91–92 88–93 86–93 84–93
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 83 0.3% 82–83 82–85 79–87 79–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 83 0.3% 82–83 81–85 79–87 79–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 72 0% 72–74 71–75 71–76 66–79
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 72 0% 72–74 71–75 71–76 66–79
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 74 0% 73–74 71–74 69–76 68–78
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti 79 74 0% 73–74 71–74 69–76 68–78
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 67 0% 67–68 67–71 67–73 66–74
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 66 0% 64–66 62–66 61–69 59–69
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 75 66 0% 64–66 62–66 61–69 59–69
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 59 0% 57–59 57–61 55–62 53–63
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 54 0% 54–55 52–56 52–58 52–62
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 51 0% 48–51 45–52 45–52 43–53
Venstre 43 22 0% 20–22 19–22 17–22 16–23

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100% Last Result
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0.2% 100%  
84 1.5% 99.7%  
85 0.3% 98%  
86 1.4% 98%  
87 0.3% 97%  
88 2% 96%  
89 0.5% 94%  
90 3% 94% Majority
91 6% 91%  
92 78% 85% Median
93 7% 8%  
94 0% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 3% 99.8%  
80 0.2% 97%  
81 2% 97%  
82 8% 95%  
83 78% 87% Median
84 4% 10%  
85 1.3% 6%  
86 0.3% 4%  
87 3% 4%  
88 0.1% 1.0%  
89 0.6% 0.9%  
90 0.1% 0.3% Majority
91 0% 0.2%  
92 0.2% 0.2%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 3% 99.8%  
80 1.0% 97%  
81 2% 96%  
82 8% 94%  
83 78% 86% Median
84 3% 9%  
85 1.3% 5%  
86 0.2% 4%  
87 3% 4%  
88 0.1% 0.6%  
89 0.2% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.3% Majority
91 0% 0.2% Last Result
92 0.2% 0.2%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.6% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.4%  
68 0% 99.3%  
69 0.5% 99.3%  
70 0.2% 98.8%  
71 5% 98.6%  
72 78% 94% Median
73 4% 16%  
74 3% 12%  
75 5% 9%  
76 2% 4%  
77 2% 2%  
78 0.1% 0.9%  
79 0.7% 0.9%  
80 0% 0.2% Last Result
81 0.2% 0.2%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.6% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.3%  
68 0.1% 99.3%  
69 0.5% 99.2%  
70 1.0% 98.8%  
71 5% 98%  
72 78% 93% Median
73 4% 15%  
74 3% 11%  
75 5% 8% Last Result
76 2% 4%  
77 1.5% 2%  
78 0.1% 0.6%  
79 0.3% 0.5%  
80 0% 0.2%  
81 0.2% 0.2%  
82 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.8%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 2% 99.6%  
69 0.6% 98%  
70 2% 97%  
71 1.5% 95%  
72 0.3% 94%  
73 9% 93%  
74 80% 85% Median
75 0.8% 5%  
76 3% 4%  
77 0.3% 0.8%  
78 0.4% 0.6%  
79 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.8%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 2% 99.6%  
69 0.6% 98%  
70 2% 97%  
71 1.5% 95%  
72 0.3% 94%  
73 9% 93%  
74 80% 85% Median
75 0.8% 5%  
76 3% 4%  
77 0.3% 0.8%  
78 0.4% 0.6%  
79 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 0.9% 99.8%  
67 81% 98.9% Median
68 8% 17%  
69 2% 10%  
70 2% 8%  
71 3% 6%  
72 0.1% 4%  
73 1.5% 4%  
74 2% 2%  
75 0% 0.4%  
76 0.2% 0.4%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.2% 100%  
59 0.5% 99.8%  
60 0.4% 99.3%  
61 2% 98.9%  
62 4% 97%  
63 0.3% 93%  
64 4% 92%  
65 1.5% 88%  
66 83% 86% Median
67 0.4% 4%  
68 0.2% 3%  
69 3% 3%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.2% 100%  
59 0.5% 99.8%  
60 0.4% 99.3%  
61 2% 98.9%  
62 4% 97%  
63 0.3% 93%  
64 4% 92%  
65 1.5% 88%  
66 83% 86% Median
67 0.4% 4%  
68 0.2% 3%  
69 3% 3%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.2% 99.9%  
53 2% 99.7%  
54 0.1% 98%  
55 0.6% 98%  
56 0.1% 97%  
57 8% 97%  
58 0.5% 89%  
59 79% 89% Last Result, Median
60 2% 10%  
61 5% 8%  
62 3% 3%  
63 0.6% 0.8%  
64 0.2% 0.3%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.3% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.7%  
52 6% 99.6%  
53 2% 93%  
54 80% 91% Median
55 1.0% 10%  
56 5% 9%  
57 0.3% 5%  
58 2% 4%  
59 0.2% 2%  
60 0.1% 2%  
61 0% 2%  
62 2% 2%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 2% 100%  
44 0% 98%  
45 4% 98%  
46 3% 95%  
47 0.5% 92%  
48 3% 91%  
49 0.7% 89%  
50 0.3% 88%  
51 81% 88% Median
52 6% 7%  
53 0.9% 1.3%  
54 0.4% 0.4%  
55 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.8% 100%  
17 3% 99.2%  
18 0.3% 96%  
19 5% 96%  
20 8% 91%  
21 0.7% 83%  
22 82% 82% Median
23 0.4% 0.5%  
24 0% 0.2%  
25 0% 0.2%  
26 0.2% 0.2%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations