Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 16–24 August 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 23.3% 22.2–24.5% 21.9–24.8% 21.6–25.1% 21.1–25.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 16.7% 15.7–17.8% 15.5–18.1% 15.2–18.3% 14.8–18.8%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 11.8% 11.0–12.7% 10.7–13.0% 10.5–13.2% 10.1–13.6%
Venstre 23.4% 11.3% 10.5–12.2% 10.3–12.5% 10.1–12.7% 9.7–13.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.7% 8.0–9.5% 7.8–9.7% 7.6–9.9% 7.3–10.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.3% 6.6–8.1% 6.5–8.3% 6.3–8.5% 6.0–8.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.5% 4.9–6.2% 4.8–6.4% 4.6–6.5% 4.4–6.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.1% 3.6–4.7% 3.4–4.8% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.1% 2.7–3.6% 2.6–3.8% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.2%
Moderaterne 0.0% 2.8% 2.4–3.3% 2.3–3.4% 2.2–3.6% 2.0–3.8%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 2.2% 1.9–2.7% 1.8–2.8% 1.7–2.9% 1.5–3.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.1% 0.9–1.4% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.8%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.7% 0.5–1.0% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.4–1.3%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.7% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.2–0.6% 0.2–0.6% 0.1–0.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 41 40–44 40–44 40–46 39–46
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 32 30–34 30–34 29–34 27–35
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 20 20–23 20–23 20–24 18–24
Venstre 43 17 17–22 17–22 17–22 17–23
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 14–16 14–17 13–18 13–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–15 12–16 12–16 11–17
Radikale Venstre 16 10 8–10 8–10 8–11 8–12
Nye Borgerlige 4 8 7–8 7–8 7–8 5–9
Liberal Alliance 4 6 5–6 4–6 4–6 4–7
Moderaterne 0 5 5–6 5–6 4–6 0–7
Dansk Folkeparti 16 5 4–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.2% 100%  
39 1.3% 99.8%  
40 25% 98%  
41 39% 73% Median
42 11% 34%  
43 2% 23%  
44 16% 21%  
45 2% 5%  
46 3% 3%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.5% 99.9%  
28 0.5% 99.4%  
29 3% 98.9%  
30 10% 96%  
31 20% 86%  
32 26% 66% Median
33 2% 41%  
34 37% 39%  
35 1.5% 1.5%  
36 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0.9% 100%  
19 0.7% 99.1%  
20 55% 98% Median
21 4% 43%  
22 11% 39%  
23 25% 28%  
24 3% 3%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 50% 100% Median
18 1.0% 50%  
19 7% 49%  
20 10% 41%  
21 6% 31%  
22 25% 26%  
23 0.8% 1.0%  
24 0.2% 0.2%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 3% 100%  
14 25% 97% Last Result
15 57% 72% Median
16 8% 16%  
17 3% 8%  
18 4% 5%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 2% 99.9%  
12 24% 98%  
13 6% 74% Last Result
14 44% 68% Median
15 17% 24%  
16 5% 7%  
17 1.4% 1.4%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.5% 100%  
8 25% 99.5%  
9 22% 75%  
10 48% 53% Median
11 3% 5%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.4% 0.5%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.9% 100%  
6 1.5% 99.1%  
7 17% 98%  
8 79% 81% Median
9 2% 2%  
10 0.4% 0.4%  
11 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 6% 99.9% Last Result
5 26% 94%  
6 66% 68% Median
7 2% 2%  
8 0.4% 0.4%  
9 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 3% 98%  
5 77% 95% Median
6 16% 18%  
7 1.4% 1.4%  
8 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 16% 94%  
5 77% 78% Median
6 0.6% 0.6%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 90 66% 86–96 86–96 86–96 84–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 80 0% 74–83 74–84 74–84 74–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 80 0% 74–83 74–84 74–84 74–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 70 0% 66–74 66–74 66–74 66–75
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 70 0% 66–74 66–74 66–74 66–75
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 70 0% 66–73 65–73 65–73 63–73
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 79 70 0% 66–73 65–73 65–73 63–73
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 66 0% 62–69 62–70 62–71 62–74
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 62 0% 58–65 58–65 57–65 56–65
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 75 62 0% 58–65 58–65 57–65 56–65
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 57 0% 53–60 53–60 53–60 52–61
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 51 0% 48–53 48–54 48–55 48–58
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 51 0% 48–54 48–54 48–54 47–55
Venstre 43 17 0% 17–22 17–22 17–22 17–23

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100% Last Result
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0.8% 99.9%  
85 0.3% 99.2%  
86 18% 98.9%  
87 9% 81%  
88 3% 72% Median
89 3% 70%  
90 38% 66% Majority
91 2% 28%  
92 0.6% 26%  
93 2% 25%  
94 0.4% 23%  
95 0% 23%  
96 23% 23%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 23% 100%  
75 0.2% 77%  
76 0.6% 77%  
77 0.1% 77%  
78 0.9% 76%  
79 1.0% 76%  
80 39% 75% Median
81 4% 36%  
82 6% 32%  
83 19% 26%  
84 5% 6%  
85 0.4% 1.3%  
86 0.2% 0.9%  
87 0.7% 0.7%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Majority
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 23% 100%  
75 0.2% 77%  
76 0.6% 77%  
77 0.1% 77%  
78 0.9% 76%  
79 1.0% 76%  
80 39% 75% Median
81 4% 36%  
82 6% 32%  
83 19% 26%  
84 5% 6%  
85 0.4% 1.3%  
86 0.2% 0.9%  
87 0.7% 0.7%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Majority
91 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.3% 100%  
66 23% 99.7%  
67 0.4% 77%  
68 1.1% 76%  
69 0.6% 75%  
70 38% 75% Median
71 3% 36%  
72 3% 33%  
73 11% 31%  
74 18% 20%  
75 2% 2%  
76 0.2% 0.2%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.3% 100%  
66 23% 99.7%  
67 0.4% 77%  
68 1.1% 76%  
69 0.6% 75%  
70 38% 75% Median
71 3% 36%  
72 3% 33%  
73 11% 31%  
74 18% 20%  
75 2% 2% Last Result
76 0.2% 0.2%  
77 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.4% 99.9%  
64 0.7% 99.5%  
65 8% 98.8%  
66 19% 91%  
67 5% 72%  
68 2% 67% Median
69 3% 65%  
70 39% 62%  
71 0.9% 24%  
72 0% 23%  
73 23% 23%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.4% 99.9%  
64 0.7% 99.5%  
65 8% 98.8%  
66 19% 91%  
67 5% 72%  
68 2% 67% Median
69 3% 65%  
70 39% 62%  
71 0.9% 24%  
72 0% 23%  
73 23% 23%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 23% 100%  
63 0.6% 77%  
64 2% 77%  
65 0.4% 75%  
66 42% 75% Median
67 7% 33%  
68 15% 26%  
69 3% 11%  
70 5% 8%  
71 2% 3%  
72 0.2% 1.0%  
73 0.1% 0.8%  
74 0.6% 0.7%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.2% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.8%  
56 0.4% 99.7%  
57 2% 99.3%  
58 20% 97%  
59 7% 78%  
60 4% 71% Median
61 4% 66%  
62 38% 63%  
63 0.9% 25%  
64 0.3% 24%  
65 23% 23%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.2% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.8%  
56 0.4% 99.7%  
57 2% 99.3%  
58 20% 97%  
59 7% 78%  
60 4% 71% Median
61 4% 66%  
62 38% 63%  
63 0.9% 25%  
64 0.3% 24%  
65 23% 23%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.2% 100%  
52 0.3% 99.8%  
53 13% 99.5%  
54 6% 86%  
55 7% 81% Median
56 2% 73%  
57 43% 71%  
58 2% 28%  
59 2% 26% Last Result
60 23% 24%  
61 0.9% 1.0%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 23% 100%  
49 2% 77%  
50 4% 75%  
51 38% 71% Median
52 10% 33%  
53 15% 22%  
54 3% 7%  
55 2% 4%  
56 0.1% 1.1%  
57 0.3% 1.0%  
58 0.6% 0.7%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.5% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.5%  
48 13% 99.5%  
49 4% 86% Median
50 10% 82%  
51 40% 72%  
52 5% 32%  
53 3% 28%  
54 23% 24%  
55 0.7% 0.8% Last Result
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 50% 100% Median
18 1.0% 50%  
19 7% 49%  
20 10% 41%  
21 6% 31%  
22 25% 26%  
23 0.8% 1.0%  
24 0.2% 0.2%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations