Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 22–28 August 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 25.2% 23.5–27.0% 23.0–27.5% 22.6–28.0% 21.8–28.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 16.4% 15.0–18.0% 14.6–18.4% 14.2–18.8% 13.6–19.6%
Venstre 23.4% 11.8% 10.6–13.2% 10.2–13.6% 9.9–13.9% 9.4–14.6%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 8.9% 7.8–10.2% 7.5–10.5% 7.3–10.8% 6.8–11.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.6–10.0% 6.1–10.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.8–10.2%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.7% 4.8–6.8% 4.6–7.1% 4.4–7.3% 4.0–7.8%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.6–5.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 3.7% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.1% 2.4–5.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
Moderaterne 0.0% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.4% 1.3–3.8%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.7%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.3%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.3%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 46 43–46 42–46 42–46 41–49
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 31 28–31 28–31 28–32 26–33
Venstre 43 20 20–25 20–25 18–25 17–25
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 16 14–16 14–16 14–16 12–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 15–19 14–19 13–19 12–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 12 12–16 12–16 12–16 11–19
Radikale Venstre 16 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 8–13
Liberal Alliance 4 7 6–8 6–8 6–8 6–11
Nye Borgerlige 4 8 5–8 5–8 5–8 4–9
Dansk Folkeparti 16 7 4–7 4–7 4–7 4–8
Moderaterne 0 4 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.2% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.8%  
41 0.5% 99.7%  
42 9% 99.3%  
43 2% 91%  
44 25% 88%  
45 0.2% 63%  
46 61% 63% Median
47 1.0% 2%  
48 0.3% 1.3% Last Result
49 0.7% 0.9%  
50 0.1% 0.3%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.8% 99.9%  
27 1.1% 99.2%  
28 9% 98%  
29 12% 89%  
30 25% 77%  
31 49% 52% Median
32 2% 3%  
33 1.4% 2%  
34 0.1% 0.3%  
35 0.1% 0.2%  
36 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100%  
17 2% 99.9%  
18 1.2% 98%  
19 0.5% 97%  
20 49% 97% Median
21 11% 48%  
22 25% 37%  
23 0.4% 12%  
24 0.5% 12%  
25 11% 12%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.3% 100%  
12 0.3% 99.7%  
13 1.0% 99.4%  
14 14% 98%  
15 25% 85%  
16 58% 60% Median
17 0.3% 2%  
18 1.4% 2%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0% 0.2%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.4% 99.8%  
13 3% 99.5% Last Result
14 2% 96%  
15 20% 94%  
16 24% 74% Median
17 0.4% 49%  
18 0.2% 49%  
19 48% 49%  
20 0.4% 0.4%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 2% 100%  
12 61% 98% Median
13 9% 38%  
14 0.3% 29% Last Result
15 2% 29%  
16 26% 27%  
17 0.1% 2%  
18 0.5% 2%  
19 1.1% 1.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.3% 100%  
8 26% 99.7%  
9 49% 73% Median
10 22% 24%  
11 1.1% 2%  
12 0.3% 1.4%  
13 0.9% 1.1%  
14 0.1% 0.2%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100% Last Result
5 0.4% 99.9%  
6 26% 99.5%  
7 49% 73% Median
8 22% 24%  
9 0.2% 2%  
10 0.8% 2%  
11 1.0% 1.0%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.9% 100% Last Result
5 25% 99.1%  
6 2% 74%  
7 10% 73%  
8 61% 62% Median
9 1.0% 1.0%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 12% 100%  
5 2% 88%  
6 10% 87%  
7 76% 77% Median
8 0.4% 0.6%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100% Last Result
1 0% 51%  
2 0% 51%  
3 0% 51%  
4 13% 51% Median
5 11% 37%  
6 26% 26%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Median
1 0% 10%  
2 0% 10%  
3 0% 10%  
4 9% 10%  
5 1.1% 1.2% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 89 2% 85–89 85–89 83–89 81–92
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 86 0.9% 83–86 83–86 82–87 79–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 86 0.6% 81–86 80–86 80–86 79–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 77 0% 73–77 73–77 72–78 68–82
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 76 0% 71–77 70–77 70–77 68–79
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 73 0% 70–74 70–74 69–74 65–75
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti 79 73 0% 70–74 70–74 69–74 65–75
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 67 0% 66–68 65–69 65–72 64–76
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 65 0% 63–66 63–66 63–66 60–67
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 75 65 0% 63–66 63–66 63–66 60–67
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 58 0% 57–62 57–62 56–62 55–62
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 55 0% 52–56 52–56 52–56 50–59
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 51 0% 49–54 49–54 49–54 47–54
Venstre 43 20 0% 20–25 20–25 18–25 17–25

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.3% 100% Last Result
80 0.1% 99.7%  
81 0.5% 99.6%  
82 0.3% 99.1%  
83 2% 98.9%  
84 0.7% 97%  
85 25% 96%  
86 9% 72%  
87 0.2% 63%  
88 11% 62%  
89 48% 51% Median
90 0.8% 2% Majority
91 1.1% 2%  
92 0.1% 0.6%  
93 0.4% 0.5%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.2% 100%  
79 0.9% 99.8%  
80 0.1% 98.8%  
81 1.0% 98.7%  
82 0.7% 98%  
83 11% 97% Median
84 32% 86%  
85 2% 53%  
86 49% 52%  
87 1.1% 3%  
88 0.4% 1.4%  
89 0.1% 1.1%  
90 0.5% 0.9% Majority
91 0.4% 0.4%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.9% 99.7%  
80 8% 98.7%  
81 1.0% 91%  
82 2% 90%  
83 11% 88% Median
84 24% 76%  
85 2% 52%  
86 49% 50%  
87 0.1% 1.1%  
88 0.3% 1.0%  
89 0.1% 0.6%  
90 0.2% 0.6% Majority
91 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.6% 99.9%  
69 1.0% 99.3%  
70 0.1% 98%  
71 0.3% 98%  
72 0.6% 98%  
73 12% 97%  
74 9% 86% Median
75 2% 77%  
76 24% 75%  
77 48% 51%  
78 0.8% 3%  
79 1.2% 2%  
80 0% 0.8% Last Result
81 0.1% 0.8%  
82 0.6% 0.7%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.6% 99.8%  
69 0.9% 99.2%  
70 8% 98%  
71 0.3% 90%  
72 0.6% 90%  
73 12% 89%  
74 2% 77% Median
75 2% 75% Last Result
76 24% 74%  
77 48% 50%  
78 1.0% 2%  
79 0.1% 0.5%  
80 0% 0.5%  
81 0.1% 0.4%  
82 0.3% 0.3%  
83 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.3% 99.8%  
66 0.2% 99.4%  
67 0.1% 99.2%  
68 0.5% 99.1%  
69 2% 98.6%  
70 33% 97%  
71 0.5% 64%  
72 0.7% 63%  
73 50% 62% Median
74 11% 13%  
75 1.3% 2%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1% Last Result
80 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.3% 99.8%  
66 0.2% 99.4%  
67 0.1% 99.2%  
68 0.5% 99.1%  
69 2% 98.6%  
70 33% 97%  
71 0.5% 64%  
72 0.7% 63%  
73 50% 62% Median
74 11% 13%  
75 1.3% 2%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1% Last Result
80 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.4% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.6%  
64 0.3% 99.5%  
65 9% 99.2%  
66 0.3% 90%  
67 49% 90% Median
68 36% 41%  
69 2% 5%  
70 0.1% 4%  
71 1.1% 4%  
72 2% 3%  
73 0.1% 0.8%  
74 0.1% 0.7%  
75 0% 0.5%  
76 0.3% 0.5%  
77 0% 0.2%  
78 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
79 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.2% 99.8%  
60 0.1% 99.5%  
61 0.8% 99.4%  
62 0.1% 98.6%  
63 11% 98%  
64 0.4% 88%  
65 74% 88% Median
66 12% 14%  
67 1.2% 1.4%  
68 0% 0.3%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.2% 99.8%  
60 0.1% 99.5%  
61 0.8% 99.4%  
62 0.1% 98.6%  
63 11% 98%  
64 0.4% 88%  
65 74% 88% Median
66 12% 14%  
67 1.2% 1.4%  
68 0% 0.3%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.2% 99.9%  
53 0% 99.7%  
54 0.1% 99.7%  
55 0.3% 99.5%  
56 3% 99.2%  
57 8% 97%  
58 74% 88% Median
59 0.7% 14% Last Result
60 0.8% 14%  
61 1.1% 13%  
62 11% 12%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.2% 99.9%  
49 0% 99.7%  
50 0.3% 99.7%  
51 0.4% 99.4%  
52 32% 99.0%  
53 0.8% 67%  
54 3% 66%  
55 49% 63% Median
56 12% 14%  
57 1.0% 2%  
58 0.1% 0.9%  
59 0.5% 0.9%  
60 0.1% 0.4%  
61 0.2% 0.3%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1% Last Result
65 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.9%  
45 0.1% 99.8%  
46 0% 99.7%  
47 0.4% 99.7%  
48 0.9% 99.2%  
49 9% 98%  
50 4% 90%  
51 49% 86% Median
52 25% 37%  
53 0.3% 12%  
54 11% 12%  
55 0.3% 0.5% Last Result
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100%  
17 2% 99.9%  
18 1.2% 98%  
19 0.5% 97%  
20 49% 97% Median
21 11% 48%  
22 25% 37%  
23 0.4% 12%  
24 0.5% 12%  
25 11% 12%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations