Opinion Poll by Gallup for Berlingske, 2 September 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 23.1% 21.4–24.9% 21.0–25.4% 20.6–25.8% 19.8–26.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 14.1% 12.8–15.6% 12.4–16.0% 12.1–16.4% 11.5–17.1%
Venstre 23.4% 12.2% 11.0–13.6% 10.6–14.0% 10.3–14.4% 9.7–15.1%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 10.2% 9.1–11.5% 8.7–11.9% 8.5–12.2% 8.0–12.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.8% 7.7–10.1% 7.4–10.4% 7.2–10.7% 6.7–11.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.9% 6.7–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.0–8.1% 4.6–8.7%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.3%
Moderaterne 0.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.7–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.7%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.2% 0.2–1.4%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 40 39–45 39–45 38–45 36–45
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 29 24–30 24–30 23–30 20–30
Venstre 43 22 21–24 20–24 19–24 18–26
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 18 17–20 16–21 16–21 15–22
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 15–20 13–20 11–20 11–20
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 13–19 13–19 13–19 11–19
Radikale Venstre 16 10 10–14 10–14 10–15 9–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 7 7–9 6–9 6–9 6–10
Liberal Alliance 4 6 5–6 5–7 5–7 5–9
Moderaterne 0 6 4–7 4–8 0–8 0–8
Dansk Folkeparti 16 5 0–7 0–7 0–7 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 1.5% 99.9%  
37 0.6% 98%  
38 0.4% 98%  
39 12% 97%  
40 43% 85% Median
41 22% 42%  
42 0.3% 20%  
43 2% 20%  
44 0.9% 18%  
45 17% 17%  
46 0.2% 0.3%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0.1% Last Result
49 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0.5% 99.9%  
21 0.5% 99.4%  
22 1.0% 99.0%  
23 0.9% 98%  
24 22% 97%  
25 1.1% 75%  
26 5% 74%  
27 10% 69%  
28 8% 59%  
29 12% 51% Median
30 39% 40%  
31 0.2% 0.3%  
32 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.2% 100%  
18 0.6% 99.8%  
19 2% 99.2%  
20 5% 97%  
21 39% 93%  
22 10% 53% Median
23 12% 44%  
24 29% 32%  
25 1.0% 2%  
26 1.0% 1.2%  
27 0% 0.2%  
28 0% 0.2%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0.3% 100%  
15 0.8% 99.7%  
16 8% 99.0%  
17 37% 91%  
18 39% 54% Median
19 1.3% 15%  
20 5% 14%  
21 8% 9%  
22 0.7% 1.0%  
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 4% 100%  
12 0.1% 96%  
13 0.5% 95%  
14 5% 95% Last Result
15 21% 90%  
16 39% 70% Median
17 8% 31%  
18 1.4% 23%  
19 0.5% 22%  
20 21% 21%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.7% 100%  
12 0.1% 99.3%  
13 10% 99.2% Last Result
14 44% 89% Median
15 22% 45%  
16 1.3% 23%  
17 0.5% 22%  
18 0.5% 22%  
19 21% 21%  
20 0% 0.2%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 2% 99.8%  
10 65% 98% Median
11 6% 33%  
12 10% 27%  
13 0.5% 17%  
14 12% 16%  
15 4% 4%  
16 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.1% 100%  
6 9% 99.9%  
7 50% 91% Median
8 19% 41%  
9 21% 23%  
10 0.9% 1.2%  
11 0.2% 0.3%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
5 35% 99.9%  
6 56% 65% Median
7 6% 9%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.7% 0.9%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 12% 95%  
5 2% 84%  
6 62% 82% Median
7 15% 21%  
8 5% 6%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100%  
1 0% 78%  
2 0% 78%  
3 0% 78%  
4 10% 78%  
5 24% 68% Median
6 5% 44%  
7 39% 39%  
8 0.3% 0.4%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 1.2% 2%  
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 83 21% 80–90 80–90 80–90 77–90
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 83 21% 80–90 80–90 80–90 77–90
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Danmarksdemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 88 2% 79–89 79–89 79–89 79–92
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 70 0% 69–80 69–80 68–80 66–80
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 70 0% 69–80 69–80 68–80 66–80
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 68 0% 66–72 66–73 66–73 64–73
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 71 0% 62–71 62–71 62–71 61–71
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 79 71 0% 62–71 62–71 62–71 60–71
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 63 0% 53–64 53–64 53–64 53–64
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 75 63 0% 53–64 53–64 53–64 52–64
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 57 0% 53–58 53–58 51–58 48–58
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 51 0% 50–56 50–57 49–57 47–58
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 51 0% 48–52 47–52 45–52 41–52
Venstre 43 22 0% 21–24 20–24 19–24 18–26

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 2% 100%  
78 0% 98%  
79 0.8% 98%  
80 44% 98% Median
81 0.2% 54%  
82 0.3% 54%  
83 12% 53%  
84 5% 41%  
85 9% 37%  
86 0.8% 27%  
87 0.6% 27%  
88 5% 26%  
89 0.1% 21%  
90 21% 21% Majority
91 0.2% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 2% 100%  
78 0% 98%  
79 0.8% 98%  
80 44% 98% Median
81 0.2% 54%  
82 0.3% 54%  
83 12% 53%  
84 5% 41%  
85 9% 37%  
86 0.8% 27%  
87 0.6% 27%  
88 5% 26%  
89 0.1% 21%  
90 21% 21% Majority
91 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Danmarksdemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 21% 99.8% Last Result
80 0% 79%  
81 0.4% 79%  
82 1.3% 78%  
83 13% 77%  
84 0.1% 64%  
85 0.8% 64%  
86 1.0% 63%  
87 5% 62% Median
88 17% 58%  
89 39% 41%  
90 0.4% 2% Majority
91 1.3% 2%  
92 0.5% 0.6%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 1.1% 99.9%  
67 1.2% 98.8%  
68 0.2% 98%  
69 16% 97%  
70 43% 82% Median
71 0.4% 38%  
72 0.2% 38%  
73 10% 38%  
74 1.3% 28%  
75 0.2% 27%  
76 0.9% 27%  
77 4% 26%  
78 0.4% 21%  
79 0% 21%  
80 21% 21% Last Result
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 1.1% 99.9%  
67 1.2% 98.8%  
68 0.2% 98%  
69 16% 97%  
70 43% 82% Median
71 0.4% 38%  
72 0.2% 38%  
73 10% 38%  
74 1.3% 28%  
75 0.2% 27% Last Result
76 0.9% 27%  
77 4% 26%  
78 0.4% 21%  
79 0% 21%  
80 21% 21%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 2% 99.8%  
65 0.7% 98%  
66 44% 98% Median
67 0.7% 54%  
68 12% 53%  
69 6% 41%  
70 0.6% 35%  
71 21% 35%  
72 8% 14%  
73 5% 6%  
74 0.2% 0.5%  
75 0% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.7%  
61 0.7% 99.7%  
62 21% 99.0%  
63 0.7% 78%  
64 0.5% 77%  
65 1.4% 77%  
66 5% 75%  
67 17% 71%  
68 1.0% 54%  
69 0.5% 53% Median
70 2% 52%  
71 50% 50%  
72 0% 0.3%  
73 0% 0.3%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.2%  
76 0.2% 0.2%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.8%  
60 0.5% 99.6%  
61 0.8% 99.1%  
62 21% 98%  
63 0.7% 78%  
64 0.6% 77%  
65 1.5% 76%  
66 5% 75%  
67 17% 70%  
68 0.5% 53%  
69 0.4% 53% Median
70 2% 52%  
71 50% 50%  
72 0% 0.3%  
73 0% 0.2%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.2%  
76 0.2% 0.2%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0.2% 99.9%  
53 22% 99.6%  
54 0% 78%  
55 0.6% 78%  
56 0.6% 77%  
57 0.4% 77%  
58 6% 76%  
59 0.5% 71%  
60 10% 70%  
61 9% 61%  
62 1.4% 52% Median
63 12% 51%  
64 38% 39%  
65 0% 0.2%  
66 0% 0.2%  
67 0% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.2%  
69 0.2% 0.2%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0.8% 99.9%  
53 22% 99.1%  
54 0.1% 78%  
55 0.7% 77%  
56 0.6% 77%  
57 0.5% 76%  
58 6% 76%  
59 0.5% 70%  
60 9% 69%  
61 9% 61%  
62 1.4% 52% Median
63 12% 51%  
64 38% 39%  
65 0% 0.2%  
66 0% 0.2%  
67 0% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.2%  
69 0.2% 0.2%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0.6% 99.9%  
49 0.7% 99.3%  
50 0.7% 98.6%  
51 1.0% 98%  
52 0.3% 97%  
53 27% 97%  
54 5% 70%  
55 5% 65%  
56 0.2% 60%  
57 48% 60% Median
58 12% 12%  
59 0% 0.4% Last Result
60 0% 0.4%  
61 0.1% 0.4%  
62 0% 0.3%  
63 0% 0.3%  
64 0.2% 0.2%  
65 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.2% 100%  
47 1.1% 99.8%  
48 0.5% 98.8%  
49 0.8% 98%  
50 39% 97% Median
51 22% 58%  
52 1.4% 36%  
53 12% 35%  
54 0.3% 23%  
55 9% 23%  
56 5% 13%  
57 8% 8%  
58 0.2% 0.5%  
59 0.1% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0.6% 99.9%  
42 0% 99.3%  
43 0.7% 99.3%  
44 0.8% 98.6%  
45 1.0% 98%  
46 0.7% 97%  
47 5% 96%  
48 26% 91%  
49 6% 65%  
50 0.1% 59%  
51 39% 59% Median
52 19% 20%  
53 0.2% 0.4%  
54 0% 0.3%  
55 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.2% 100%  
18 0.6% 99.8%  
19 2% 99.2%  
20 5% 97%  
21 39% 93%  
22 10% 53% Median
23 12% 44%  
24 29% 32%  
25 1.0% 2%  
26 1.0% 1.2%  
27 0% 0.2%  
28 0% 0.2%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations