Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 29 August–4 September 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 24.7% 23.0–26.5% 22.5–27.0% 22.1–27.4% 21.3–28.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 16.2% 14.8–17.7% 14.4–18.2% 14.0–18.6% 13.4–19.4%
Venstre 23.4% 12.5% 11.2–13.9% 10.9–14.3% 10.6–14.7% 10.0–15.4%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 9.3% 8.2–10.6% 7.9–10.9% 7.6–11.2% 7.1–11.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.2% 6.2–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.7–9.0% 5.3–9.5%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.2–7.8% 5.0–8.1% 4.6–8.6%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.3–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
Moderaterne 0.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.1%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.8–2.9%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.1% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.6% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 44 41–47 41–47 41–47 40–47
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 32 27–32 27–32 27–32 27–35
Venstre 43 25 21–25 21–25 21–25 19–26
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 19 16–19 16–19 16–19 13–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 13–18 13–18 13–18 13–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 11 11–14 11–15 11–15 9–15
Radikale Venstre 16 11 9–12 9–15 9–15 9–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 9 8–11 7–11 7–11 7–11
Liberal Alliance 4 6 6–8 6–8 5–8 4–8
Dansk Folkeparti 16 5 5–8 5–8 5–8 4–9
Moderaterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.8% 100%  
41 23% 99.1%  
42 0.3% 76%  
43 0.3% 76%  
44 59% 76% Median
45 2% 17%  
46 0.7% 15%  
47 14% 15%  
48 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
49 0% 0.2%  
50 0% 0.2%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 0.2% 99.8%  
26 0.1% 99.6%  
27 15% 99.5%  
28 0.3% 85%  
29 18% 85%  
30 1.1% 66%  
31 0% 65%  
32 64% 65% Median
33 0.2% 0.8%  
34 0% 0.6%  
35 0.5% 0.5%  
36 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.4% 99.9%  
20 2% 99.4%  
21 15% 98%  
22 23% 83%  
23 0.6% 60%  
24 0.2% 59%  
25 57% 59% Median
26 1.4% 1.4%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.5% 100%  
14 0.1% 99.4%  
15 0.5% 99.4%  
16 20% 98.9%  
17 18% 79%  
18 1.1% 60%  
19 58% 59% Median
20 0.6% 1.5%  
21 0.8% 0.8%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 0% 99.8%  
12 0.1% 99.8%  
13 58% 99.7% Median
14 18% 41% Last Result
15 2% 23%  
16 6% 21%  
17 0.9% 15%  
18 14% 14%  
19 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.8% 100%  
10 0.3% 99.2%  
11 73% 98.9% Median
12 0.4% 26%  
13 2% 26% Last Result
14 18% 24%  
15 5% 6%  
16 0.3% 0.4%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.1% 99.9%  
9 15% 99.8%  
10 0.4% 85%  
11 58% 84% Median
12 19% 26%  
13 0.6% 7%  
14 1.2% 7%  
15 5% 6%  
16 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0.5% 100%  
7 8% 99.5%  
8 15% 91%  
9 59% 76% Median
10 0.3% 17%  
11 17% 17%  
12 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.6% 100% Last Result
5 2% 99.4%  
6 63% 97% Median
7 20% 34%  
8 15% 15%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.6% 100%  
5 65% 99.4% Median
6 16% 35%  
7 1.0% 19%  
8 17% 18%  
9 0.7% 0.7%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 83% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 17%  
2 0% 17%  
3 0% 17%  
4 16% 17%  
5 0.8% 0.9%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.0% 100% Median
1 0% 1.0%  
2 0% 1.0%  
3 0% 1.0%  
4 0.7% 1.0%  
5 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Danmarksdemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 96 77% 86–96 86–96 86–96 84–97
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 79 0.2% 79–85 79–87 79–87 78–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 79 0.1% 79–85 79–87 79–87 78–87
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 77 0% 70–77 70–77 70–77 68–79
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 79 77 0% 70–77 70–77 70–77 68–79
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 68 0% 68–76 68–76 68–76 66–77
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 68 0% 68–76 68–76 68–76 66–76
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 68 0% 67–74 67–74 67–74 67–74
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 68 0% 62–68 62–68 62–68 60–70
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 75 68 0% 62–68 62–68 62–68 60–70
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 63 0% 56–63 56–63 56–63 54–65
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 55 0% 53–56 53–56 53–57 52–59
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 57 0% 48–57 48–57 48–57 47–58
Venstre 43 25 0% 21–25 21–25 21–25 19–26

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Danmarksdemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0% 99.9% Last Result
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.3% 99.9%  
84 0.2% 99.5%  
85 0% 99.3%  
86 14% 99.3%  
87 0.5% 85%  
88 6% 84%  
89 0.6% 78%  
90 0.6% 77% Majority
91 0.3% 77%  
92 1.2% 76%  
93 0% 75%  
94 17% 75%  
95 0% 58%  
96 57% 58% Median
97 0.8% 0.9%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.8% 99.9%  
79 57% 99.1% Median
80 0.1% 42%  
81 17% 42%  
82 0.2% 25%  
83 2% 24%  
84 0.3% 22%  
85 15% 22%  
86 0.6% 7%  
87 6% 6%  
88 0.3% 0.6%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.8% 99.9%  
79 57% 99.1% Median
80 0.1% 42%  
81 18% 42%  
82 0.3% 24%  
83 2% 24%  
84 0.3% 21%  
85 14% 21%  
86 0.6% 7%  
87 6% 6%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0.1% Last Result
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.7%  
66 0.1% 99.7%  
67 0% 99.6%  
68 0.4% 99.5%  
69 0.4% 99.1%  
70 15% 98.7%  
71 2% 84%  
72 5% 82%  
73 0.3% 77%  
74 0.3% 76%  
75 0% 76%  
76 0.2% 76%  
77 75% 76% Median
78 0% 1.0%  
79 0.8% 0.9% Last Result
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.7%  
66 0.1% 99.7%  
67 0% 99.6%  
68 0.4% 99.5%  
69 0.4% 99.1%  
70 15% 98.7%  
71 2% 84%  
72 5% 82%  
73 0.3% 77%  
74 0.3% 76%  
75 0.1% 76%  
76 0.2% 76%  
77 75% 76% Median
78 0% 0.9%  
79 0.8% 0.9% Last Result
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 1.0% 100%  
67 0% 99.0%  
68 57% 98.9% Median
69 18% 42%  
70 0.4% 24%  
71 0.7% 23%  
72 6% 23%  
73 1.2% 17%  
74 0.8% 16%  
75 0% 15%  
76 15% 15%  
77 0% 0.5%  
78 0.2% 0.5%  
79 0.1% 0.3%  
80 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
81 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 1.0% 100%  
67 0% 98.9%  
68 57% 98.9% Median
69 18% 42%  
70 0.4% 23%  
71 0.8% 23%  
72 6% 22%  
73 0.6% 16%  
74 0.8% 16%  
75 0% 15% Last Result
76 15% 15%  
77 0% 0.3%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.8%  
67 17% 99.8%  
68 58% 83% Median
69 2% 25%  
70 0.6% 23%  
71 0.4% 22%  
72 6% 22%  
73 0.6% 16%  
74 15% 15%  
75 0.1% 0.4%  
76 0.2% 0.3%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1% Last Result
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.7%  
60 0.6% 99.6%  
61 0.1% 99.0%  
62 15% 98.9%  
63 0.9% 84%  
64 2% 83%  
65 5% 82%  
66 17% 76%  
67 0.5% 59%  
68 57% 59% Median
69 0% 1.5%  
70 1.4% 1.5%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.6%  
60 0.5% 99.6%  
61 0.1% 99.0%  
62 15% 98.9%  
63 0.9% 84%  
64 2% 83%  
65 5% 82%  
66 17% 76%  
67 0.5% 59%  
68 57% 59% Median
69 0% 1.5%  
70 1.4% 1.4%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0.3% 99.9%  
52 0% 99.5%  
53 0% 99.5%  
54 0.5% 99.5%  
55 0.6% 99.0%  
56 15% 98%  
57 0.3% 84%  
58 17% 83%  
59 2% 66% Last Result
60 5% 64%  
61 0.2% 59%  
62 0.1% 59%  
63 58% 59% Median
64 0.1% 0.6%  
65 0.5% 0.5%  
66 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0.9% 99.8%  
53 18% 98.9%  
54 1.1% 81%  
55 57% 80% Median
56 20% 23%  
57 1.0% 3%  
58 2% 2%  
59 0.1% 0.5%  
60 0.1% 0.4%  
61 0% 0.3%  
62 0.2% 0.3%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
65 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 0.4% 99.9%  
47 0.1% 99.5%  
48 15% 99.5%  
49 0.8% 85%  
50 0.2% 84%  
51 17% 84%  
52 0.8% 67%  
53 0.5% 66%  
54 6% 65%  
55 0.5% 59% Last Result
56 0.9% 59%  
57 57% 58% Median
58 0.5% 0.5%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.4% 99.9%  
20 2% 99.4%  
21 15% 98%  
22 23% 83%  
23 0.6% 60%  
24 0.2% 59%  
25 57% 59% Median
26 1.4% 1.4%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations