Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 12–18 September 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 24.2% 22.5–26.0% 22.0–26.5% 21.6–26.9% 20.8–27.8%
Venstre 23.4% 13.9% 12.6–15.4% 12.2–15.8% 11.9–16.2% 11.3–16.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.6% 12.3–15.1% 11.9–15.5% 11.6–15.9% 11.0–16.6%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 9.3% 8.2–10.6% 7.9–10.9% 7.6–11.3% 7.1–11.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.8–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.9% 6.7–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.5%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.8% 4.0–5.8% 3.8–6.1% 3.6–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Moderaterne 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.8% 1.0–3.2%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1% 0.8–2.2% 0.6–2.5%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.8%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.3%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 45 40–46 40–47 39–48 37–50
Venstre 43 23 22–27 22–28 21–29 21–33
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 25 21–28 21–30 21–30 20–31
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 18 14–20 14–20 13–21 13–23
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 14–16 13–18 12–19 11–20
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 13–18 13–19 12–19 11–20
Radikale Venstre 16 12 10–14 9–14 9–15 8–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 10 7–11 6–11 6–12 6–14
Liberal Alliance 4 8 7–11 7–11 6–12 5–12
Dansk Folkeparti 16 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–7
Moderaterne 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100%  
36 0.2% 99.9%  
37 0.2% 99.7%  
38 0.5% 99.5%  
39 2% 99.0%  
40 16% 97%  
41 3% 81%  
42 7% 78%  
43 11% 71%  
44 0.8% 61%  
45 12% 60% Median
46 40% 48%  
47 5% 8%  
48 0.7% 3% Last Result
49 0.2% 2%  
50 2% 2%  
51 0.3% 0.5%  
52 0% 0.2%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0.2% 99.9%  
21 3% 99.7%  
22 12% 97%  
23 40% 86% Median
24 11% 45%  
25 6% 34%  
26 17% 28%  
27 3% 11%  
28 3% 7%  
29 2% 4%  
30 0.1% 2%  
31 0.6% 2%  
32 0% 1.2%  
33 1.2% 1.2%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 1.2% 99.9%  
21 38% 98.7%  
22 0.5% 61%  
23 5% 61%  
24 5% 56%  
25 18% 51% Median
26 4% 33%  
27 13% 30%  
28 9% 16%  
29 2% 8%  
30 3% 5%  
31 1.5% 2%  
32 0.4% 0.4%  
33 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 3% 100%  
14 8% 97%  
15 4% 90%  
16 9% 85%  
17 5% 77%  
18 28% 72% Median
19 1.2% 43%  
20 39% 42%  
21 3% 3%  
22 0.1% 0.7%  
23 0.6% 0.7%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 0.9% 99.7%  
12 3% 98.8%  
13 6% 96%  
14 3% 90% Last Result
15 39% 87% Median
16 40% 47%  
17 0.8% 8%  
18 3% 7%  
19 3% 4%  
20 1.3% 1.3%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.7% 100%  
12 2% 99.2%  
13 43% 97% Last Result
14 5% 53% Median
15 23% 48%  
16 5% 25%  
17 5% 21%  
18 6% 16%  
19 7% 10%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 2% 100%  
9 4% 98%  
10 29% 94%  
11 5% 65%  
12 12% 59% Median
13 4% 47%  
14 40% 43%  
15 3% 3%  
16 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 6% 100%  
7 7% 94%  
8 7% 88%  
9 10% 80%  
10 29% 70% Median
11 37% 41%  
12 3% 4%  
13 0% 0.5%  
14 0.5% 0.5%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.4% 100% Last Result
5 0.2% 99.6%  
6 3% 99.4%  
7 44% 97%  
8 19% 52% Median
9 8% 34%  
10 3% 26%  
11 18% 23%  
12 4% 4%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 81% 100% Median
1 0% 19%  
2 0% 19%  
3 0% 19%  
4 14% 19%  
5 3% 5%  
6 1.0% 2%  
7 0.8% 0.8%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 36% 100% Last Result
1 0% 64%  
2 0% 64%  
3 0% 64%  
4 20% 64% Median
5 43% 44%  
6 0.2% 1.2%  
7 0.3% 1.0%  
8 0.8% 0.8%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 0% 5%  
4 4% 5%  
5 0.6% 0.6%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 85 23% 82–90 82–92 82–93 79–95
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 88 12% 81–90 81–90 79–93 77–93
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 88 12% 81–90 81–90 79–93 77–93
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 74 0% 71–78 71–78 68–79 67–81
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 74 0% 71–78 71–78 68–79 67–81
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 68 0% 62–74 62–75 62–78 62–78
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 79 67 0% 62–74 62–75 62–77 62–78
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 71 0% 66–75 66–75 65–75 62–80
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 59 0% 51–65 51–66 51–66 51–70
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 75 57 0% 51–65 51–66 51–66 51–70
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 57 0% 51–63 51–66 51–66 51–66
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 55 0% 50–60 50–60 50–62 47–63
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 49 0% 44–54 44–56 44–56 44–58
Venstre 43 23 0% 22–27 22–28 21–29 21–33

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0% 99.8%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 0.3% 99.8% Last Result
80 0.3% 99.5%  
81 0.1% 99.2%  
82 41% 99.1%  
83 2% 59%  
84 0.9% 56% Median
85 8% 55%  
86 1.0% 48%  
87 12% 47%  
88 4% 34%  
89 8% 31%  
90 18% 23% Majority
91 0.2% 5%  
92 2% 5%  
93 2% 3%  
94 0.6% 1.5%  
95 0.7% 0.9%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.5% 100%  
78 2% 99.4%  
79 0.4% 98%  
80 0.7% 97%  
81 15% 97%  
82 2% 82%  
83 6% 80%  
84 1.3% 75%  
85 4% 73%  
86 8% 69% Median
87 0.5% 61%  
88 48% 60%  
89 0.2% 12%  
90 7% 12% Majority
91 0.2% 5%  
92 2% 5%  
93 2% 3%  
94 0.1% 0.4%  
95 0% 0.4%  
96 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
97 0% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.5% 100%  
78 2% 99.4%  
79 0.4% 98%  
80 0.7% 97%  
81 15% 97%  
82 2% 82%  
83 6% 80%  
84 1.3% 75%  
85 4% 73%  
86 8% 69% Median
87 0.5% 61%  
88 48% 60%  
89 0.2% 12%  
90 7% 12% Majority
91 0.2% 5% Last Result
92 2% 5%  
93 2% 3%  
94 0.1% 0.4%  
95 0% 0.4%  
96 0.2% 0.4%  
97 0% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.2% 100%  
67 0.4% 99.7%  
68 2% 99.3%  
69 0.5% 97%  
70 1.1% 96%  
71 15% 95%  
72 4% 80%  
73 4% 76%  
74 41% 71% Median
75 2% 30%  
76 5% 28%  
77 6% 22%  
78 11% 16%  
79 2% 5%  
80 2% 2% Last Result
81 0% 0.5%  
82 0% 0.5%  
83 0.1% 0.5%  
84 0.2% 0.4%  
85 0% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.2% 100%  
67 0.4% 99.7%  
68 2% 99.3%  
69 0.5% 97%  
70 1.1% 96%  
71 15% 95%  
72 4% 80%  
73 4% 76%  
74 41% 71% Median
75 2% 30% Last Result
76 5% 28%  
77 6% 22%  
78 11% 16%  
79 2% 5%  
80 2% 2%  
81 0% 0.5%  
82 0% 0.5%  
83 0.1% 0.5%  
84 0.2% 0.4%  
85 0% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 37% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 62%  
64 0.9% 62%  
65 1.4% 61%  
66 2% 60% Median
67 7% 58%  
68 2% 50%  
69 10% 48%  
70 2% 38%  
71 4% 36%  
72 15% 32%  
73 6% 17%  
74 1.3% 11%  
75 5% 9%  
76 0.9% 4%  
77 0.8% 3%  
78 2% 3%  
79 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 38% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 62%  
64 2% 62%  
65 1.4% 60%  
66 5% 58% Median
67 7% 54%  
68 0.9% 46%  
69 10% 46%  
70 0.6% 36%  
71 4% 35%  
72 15% 31%  
73 6% 16%  
74 1.5% 10%  
75 5% 9%  
76 0.6% 4%  
77 0.8% 3%  
78 2% 2%  
79 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.5% 100%  
63 0.4% 99.5%  
64 0.2% 99.1%  
65 2% 98.9%  
66 15% 97%  
67 3% 82%  
68 8% 79%  
69 2% 71%  
70 2% 69%  
71 18% 67%  
72 2% 50% Median
73 2% 47%  
74 1.0% 45%  
75 42% 44%  
76 0.4% 2%  
77 0% 2%  
78 0.3% 2% Last Result
79 0.1% 2%  
80 2% 2%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 37% 100%  
52 0.2% 63%  
53 0.1% 63%  
54 0.1% 63%  
55 0.1% 63%  
56 2% 62% Median
57 9% 61%  
58 1.1% 52%  
59 7% 51%  
60 1.3% 44%  
61 2% 43%  
62 19% 41%  
63 3% 22%  
64 4% 19%  
65 6% 15%  
66 7% 9%  
67 0.3% 2%  
68 0.4% 2%  
69 0.4% 1.3%  
70 0.8% 1.0%  
71 0.2% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 37% 100%  
52 0.2% 63%  
53 0.1% 63%  
54 0.1% 63%  
55 2% 63%  
56 2% 61% Median
57 9% 59%  
58 1.1% 50%  
59 5% 49%  
60 3% 44%  
61 2% 40%  
62 19% 39%  
63 2% 19%  
64 2% 17%  
65 6% 15%  
66 7% 9%  
67 0.2% 1.4%  
68 0.1% 1.2%  
69 0.3% 1.1%  
70 0.6% 0.8%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.2% 100%  
49 0% 99.8%  
50 0.2% 99.7%  
51 38% 99.5%  
52 0.1% 62%  
53 0.4% 62%  
54 1.1% 61%  
55 4% 60%  
56 4% 56% Median
57 9% 52%  
58 2% 42%  
59 3% 40% Last Result
60 2% 37%  
61 5% 35%  
62 20% 31%  
63 1.0% 11%  
64 0.8% 10%  
65 2% 9%  
66 7% 7%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.4% 99.9%  
47 0.1% 99.5%  
48 0.2% 99.4%  
49 2% 99.2%  
50 15% 98%  
51 1.4% 82%  
52 3% 81%  
53 3% 77%  
54 2% 75%  
55 23% 73%  
56 3% 50%  
57 3% 47% Median
58 0.3% 44%  
59 1.3% 44%  
60 38% 42%  
61 0.4% 4%  
62 4% 4%  
63 0.3% 0.5%  
64 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.2% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.8%  
42 0.2% 99.8%  
43 0.1% 99.6%  
44 38% 99.5%  
45 0.3% 62%  
46 0.2% 62%  
47 7% 61%  
48 1.5% 55% Median
49 9% 53%  
50 8% 44%  
51 19% 37%  
52 1.1% 17%  
53 3% 16%  
54 3% 13%  
55 3% 10% Last Result
56 4% 6%  
57 0.1% 2%  
58 2% 2%  
59 0.2% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0.2% 99.9%  
21 3% 99.7%  
22 12% 97%  
23 40% 86% Median
24 11% 45%  
25 6% 34%  
26 17% 28%  
27 3% 11%  
28 3% 7%  
29 2% 4%  
30 0.1% 2%  
31 0.6% 2%  
32 0% 1.2%  
33 1.2% 1.2%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

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