Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 13–20 September 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 25.4% 24.3–26.6% 23.9–27.0% 23.7–27.3% 23.1–27.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.4% 12.5–14.4% 12.3–14.6% 12.0–14.9% 11.6–15.3%
Venstre 23.4% 11.9% 11.1–12.8% 10.8–13.1% 10.6–13.3% 10.2–13.7%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 10.8% 10.0–11.7% 9.8–11.9% 9.6–12.1% 9.2–12.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.1% 7.4–8.9% 7.2–9.1% 7.0–9.3% 6.7–9.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.6% 7.0–8.4% 6.8–8.6% 6.6–8.8% 6.3–9.2%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 5.3% 4.7–5.9% 4.6–6.1% 4.4–6.3% 4.2–6.6%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 4.6% 4.1–5.2% 3.9–5.4% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.6% 4.1–5.2% 3.9–5.4% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8%
Moderaterne 0.0% 3.3% 2.9–3.8% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.1% 2.4–4.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 1.9% 1.6–2.3% 1.5–2.4% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.8%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 1.0% 0.8–1.3% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.9% 0.7–1.2% 0.6–1.3% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.2–0.6% 0.2–0.6% 0.1–0.8%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.2–0.6% 0.2–0.6% 0.1–0.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 43 43–47 43–48 42–48 42–50
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 26 24–26 23–26 23–26 22–27
Venstre 43 24 20–24 20–24 20–24 20–25
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 19 19–21 19–22 19–22 18–22
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 15–16 14–17 13–17 13–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 13–14 12–15 12–16 12–16
Liberal Alliance 4 10 9–10 9–10 8–11 8–11
Radikale Venstre 16 10 9–10 8–10 7–10 7–10
Nye Borgerlige 4 9 7–9 7–9 6–9 6–10
Moderaterne 0 6 6 6 5–8 5–8
Dansk Folkeparti 16 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–4
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.3% 100%  
42 3% 99.7%  
43 77% 97% Median
44 0.3% 20%  
45 0.5% 19%  
46 3% 19%  
47 6% 16%  
48 8% 10% Last Result
49 0.6% 1.2%  
50 0.5% 0.6%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.9% 99.9%  
23 5% 99.0%  
24 12% 94%  
25 3% 82%  
26 77% 79% Median
27 2% 2%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.3% 99.9%  
20 10% 99.6%  
21 5% 89%  
22 5% 84%  
23 0.9% 78%  
24 77% 78% Median
25 0.5% 0.5%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 2% 99.9%  
19 86% 98% Median
20 0.9% 11%  
21 5% 11%  
22 5% 5%  
23 0.2% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 4% 99.8% Last Result
14 0.6% 95%  
15 82% 95% Median
16 4% 13%  
17 9% 9%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 9% 99.8%  
13 78% 91% Median
14 4% 13% Last Result
15 6% 9%  
16 3% 3%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.2% 100%  
8 3% 99.8%  
9 13% 97%  
10 81% 84% Median
11 2% 3%  
12 0.1% 0.2%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 4% 99.8%  
8 4% 96%  
9 14% 91%  
10 77% 77% Median
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 3% 100%  
7 9% 97%  
8 3% 89%  
9 85% 85% Median
10 0.4% 0.5%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.1% 100%  
5 2% 99.9%  
6 93% 97% Median
7 0.8% 4%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0.3% 0.3%  
10 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 86% 100% Median
1 0% 14%  
2 0% 14%  
3 0% 14%  
4 13% 14%  
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 88 0.4% 83–88 83–88 83–88 81–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 81 0% 81–86 81–86 80–86 79–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 81 0% 81–86 81–86 80–86 79–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 71 0% 71–77 71–77 71–77 71–79
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 71 0% 71–77 71–77 71–77 71–79
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 66 0% 66–69 66–71 64–71 64–73
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 69 0% 64–69 63–69 62–69 62–70
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti 79 69 0% 64–69 63–69 62–69 62–70
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 60 0% 57–60 54–60 53–60 53–62
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 75 60 0% 57–60 54–60 53–60 53–62
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 60 0% 53–60 53–60 53–60 53–60
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 53 0% 53–56 53–57 50–57 50–59
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 50 0% 44–50 44–50 44–50 43–50
Venstre 43 24 0% 20–24 20–24 20–24 20–25

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100% Last Result
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.7% 99.8%  
82 0.3% 99.1%  
83 13% 98.9%  
84 0.1% 86%  
85 0.7% 86%  
86 0.3% 85%  
87 6% 85%  
88 79% 79% Median
89 0.4% 0.9%  
90 0.3% 0.4% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.3% 100%  
79 0.5% 99.7%  
80 3% 99.2%  
81 77% 96% Median
82 4% 19%  
83 0.1% 15%  
84 0.2% 15%  
85 0.8% 14%  
86 13% 14%  
87 0.3% 1.0%  
88 0.6% 0.7%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.3% 100%  
79 0.5% 99.7%  
80 3% 99.2%  
81 77% 96% Median
82 4% 19%  
83 0.1% 15%  
84 0.2% 15%  
85 0.8% 14%  
86 13% 14%  
87 0.3% 1.0%  
88 0.6% 0.7%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority
91 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.2% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.8%  
71 77% 99.7% Median
72 4% 22%  
73 0.1% 19%  
74 0.3% 19%  
75 4% 18%  
76 0.3% 15%  
77 13% 14%  
78 0.3% 1.4%  
79 0.8% 1.1%  
80 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.2% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.8%  
71 77% 99.7% Median
72 4% 22%  
73 0.1% 19%  
74 0.3% 19%  
75 4% 18% Last Result
76 0.3% 15%  
77 13% 14%  
78 0.3% 1.4%  
79 0.8% 1.1%  
80 0.2% 0.3%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 3% 100%  
65 0.4% 97%  
66 77% 96% Median
67 0.2% 19%  
68 1.3% 19%  
69 12% 18%  
70 0% 5%  
71 5% 5%  
72 0.1% 0.8%  
73 0.5% 0.7%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.8%  
62 5% 99.7%  
63 0.5% 95%  
64 9% 95%  
65 5% 85%  
66 0.5% 80%  
67 0.1% 80%  
68 0.6% 80%  
69 77% 79% Median
70 2% 2%  
71 0.2% 0.3%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.8%  
62 5% 99.7%  
63 0.5% 95%  
64 9% 95%  
65 5% 85%  
66 0.5% 80%  
67 0.1% 80%  
68 0.6% 80%  
69 77% 79% Median
70 2% 2%  
71 0.2% 0.3%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 5% 99.9%  
54 0.2% 95%  
55 0.3% 95%  
56 4% 95%  
57 9% 91%  
58 0.4% 83%  
59 3% 82%  
60 77% 79% Median
61 0.3% 2%  
62 2% 2%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 5% 99.9%  
54 0.2% 95%  
55 0.3% 95%  
56 4% 95%  
57 9% 91%  
58 0.4% 83%  
59 3% 82%  
60 77% 79% Median
61 0.3% 2%  
62 2% 2%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.8%  
53 13% 99.7%  
54 0.6% 87%  
55 3% 86%  
56 4% 84%  
57 0.5% 80%  
58 2% 79%  
59 0.4% 77% Last Result
60 77% 77% Median
61 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 3% 99.9%  
51 0.3% 97%  
52 0.6% 97%  
53 79% 96% Median
54 2% 17%  
55 1.3% 15%  
56 4% 14%  
57 9% 9%  
58 0.1% 0.8%  
59 0.5% 0.6%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.5% 99.8%  
44 13% 99.3%  
45 0.5% 87%  
46 4% 86%  
47 4% 82%  
48 0.8% 78%  
49 0.2% 77%  
50 77% 77% Median
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.3% 99.9%  
20 10% 99.6%  
21 5% 89%  
22 5% 84%  
23 0.9% 78%  
24 77% 78% Median
25 0.5% 0.5%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations