Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 19–25 September 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 25.1% 23.4–26.9% 22.9–27.4% 22.5–27.9% 21.7–28.8%
Venstre 23.4% 14.1% 12.8–15.7% 12.4–16.1% 12.1–16.4% 11.5–17.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 11.6% 10.3–13.0% 10.0–13.3% 9.7–13.7% 9.2–14.4%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 9.1% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.7% 7.4–11.0% 7.0–11.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.3% 7.2–9.5% 7.0–9.8% 6.7–10.1% 6.2–10.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.3% 6.3–8.4% 6.1–8.8% 5.8–9.1% 5.4–9.6%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.2% 4.7–8.7%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 4.6% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.1% 3.1–6.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
Moderaterne 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.7–3.4% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.5–2.4%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0% 0.5–2.3%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.6%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 47 41–48 41–50 40–50 39–52
Venstre 43 27 24–28 22–30 21–31 21–32
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 20 19–23 19–25 18–26 16–26
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 15 14–18 14–18 13–19 11–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 13–18 13–18 11–19 11–21
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 12–17 12–17 11–17 9–17
Radikale Venstre 16 11 10–13 8–15 7–16 7–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 9 7–11 7–11 7–11 6–12
Liberal Alliance 4 8 7–11 6–11 6–11 6–12
Dansk Folkeparti 16 5 0–7 0–7 0–7 0–8
Moderaterne 0 4 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0–4 0–5
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.4% 100%  
38 0% 99.6%  
39 0.8% 99.5%  
40 2% 98.7%  
41 13% 97%  
42 0.8% 84%  
43 13% 83%  
44 3% 70%  
45 1.1% 67%  
46 10% 66%  
47 21% 56% Median
48 25% 35% Last Result
49 3% 10%  
50 5% 6%  
51 0.5% 1.1%  
52 0.3% 0.6%  
53 0.2% 0.2%  
54 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 4% 99.9%  
22 4% 96%  
23 2% 92%  
24 2% 90%  
25 8% 88%  
26 21% 80%  
27 12% 59% Median
28 41% 47%  
29 1.0% 6%  
30 1.0% 5%  
31 3% 4%  
32 0.5% 0.8%  
33 0.3% 0.3%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.3% 100%  
16 0.3% 99.7%  
17 1.2% 99.4%  
18 0.9% 98%  
19 13% 97%  
20 53% 84% Median
21 5% 32%  
22 9% 27%  
23 11% 18%  
24 1.0% 7%  
25 2% 6%  
26 4% 4%  
27 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.7% 100%  
12 0.1% 99.3%  
13 3% 99.2%  
14 20% 96%  
15 33% 76% Median
16 5% 43%  
17 7% 39%  
18 26% 31%  
19 4% 5%  
20 0.9% 1.3%  
21 0.1% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.2%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.3% 100%  
10 0% 99.7%  
11 2% 99.7%  
12 0.5% 97%  
13 16% 97%  
14 21% 81% Last Result
15 3% 61%  
16 41% 58% Median
17 6% 17%  
18 8% 12%  
19 2% 4%  
20 0.4% 2%  
21 1.4% 1.4%  
22 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 2% 99.9%  
10 0.3% 98%  
11 1.1% 98%  
12 20% 96%  
13 16% 77% Last Result
14 8% 60%  
15 27% 53% Median
16 7% 25%  
17 18% 18%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 3% 100%  
8 5% 97%  
9 0.8% 92%  
10 16% 91%  
11 46% 75% Median
12 9% 29%  
13 13% 19%  
14 0.9% 6%  
15 2% 6%  
16 3% 3% Last Result
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 2% 100%  
7 35% 98%  
8 9% 63%  
9 23% 54% Median
10 9% 31%  
11 21% 22%  
12 0.3% 0.7%  
13 0.3% 0.4%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.1% 100%  
6 5% 99.9%  
7 13% 95%  
8 38% 82% Median
9 9% 44%  
10 19% 34%  
11 15% 16%  
12 0.9% 1.0%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100%  
1 0% 77%  
2 0% 77%  
3 0% 77%  
4 22% 77%  
5 19% 55% Median
6 12% 36%  
7 24% 25%  
8 0.7% 0.8%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 36% 100% Last Result
1 0% 64%  
2 0% 64%  
3 0% 64%  
4 33% 64% Median
5 20% 31%  
6 9% 11%  
7 1.0% 1.4%  
8 0.4% 0.4%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 11%  
2 0% 11%  
3 0% 11%  
4 11% 11%  
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 1.1% 3%  
5 2% 2% Last Result
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 89 36% 78–91 78–91 78–95 77–95
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 89 33% 78–90 78–91 78–95 77–95
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 85 17% 80–93 79–93 76–94 76–94
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 78 0% 68–79 68–79 68–80 67–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 78 0% 68–79 68–79 68–79 66–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 72 0% 66–77 66–77 65–78 64–80
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 70 0% 65–75 64–75 63–76 61–76
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 79 70 0% 65–71 64–72 63–76 60–76
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 60 0% 58–64 55–65 54–68 53–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 75 60 0% 58–63 55–64 54–68 53–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 56 0% 53–59 52–60 48–63 47–63
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 58 0% 52–59 51–62 51–62 50–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 48 0% 46–50 43–51 41–53 40–53
Venstre 43 27 0% 24–28 22–30 21–31 21–32

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.6% 99.9%  
78 11% 99.3%  
79 0.6% 89%  
80 2% 88%  
81 3% 86%  
82 11% 83%  
83 1.3% 71%  
84 1.3% 70%  
85 1.3% 69%  
86 3% 67%  
87 5% 65%  
88 5% 59%  
89 18% 54% Median
90 25% 36% Majority
91 7% 11%  
92 0.1% 4%  
93 0.1% 4%  
94 0.5% 4%  
95 3% 3%  
96 0% 0.1% Last Result
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.6% 99.9%  
78 11% 99.3%  
79 0.6% 89%  
80 2% 88%  
81 3% 86%  
82 12% 83%  
83 1.2% 71%  
84 1.3% 69%  
85 1.2% 68%  
86 4% 67%  
87 6% 63%  
88 5% 57%  
89 18% 52% Median
90 25% 33% Majority
91 5% 9% Last Result
92 0.1% 4%  
93 0.1% 4%  
94 0.5% 4%  
95 3% 3%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 3% 100%  
77 0.3% 97%  
78 1.2% 96%  
79 3% 95% Last Result
80 4% 93%  
81 3% 89%  
82 19% 85%  
83 1.1% 66%  
84 2% 65% Median
85 25% 63%  
86 2% 38%  
87 6% 37%  
88 12% 31%  
89 2% 19%  
90 2% 17% Majority
91 1.0% 15%  
92 0.3% 14%  
93 11% 14%  
94 3% 3%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.2% 100%  
66 0.3% 99.8%  
67 0.1% 99.6%  
68 11% 99.4%  
69 10% 88%  
70 3% 78%  
71 3% 74%  
72 1.0% 71%  
73 0.9% 70%  
74 1.3% 69%  
75 3% 68%  
76 5% 65%  
77 2% 60%  
78 18% 58% Median
79 37% 40%  
80 2% 3% Last Result
81 0.3% 0.8%  
82 0.3% 0.6%  
83 0% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.2% 100%  
66 0.3% 99.8%  
67 0.1% 99.5%  
68 11% 99.4%  
69 10% 88%  
70 4% 77%  
71 3% 74%  
72 1.0% 71%  
73 3% 70%  
74 1.3% 67%  
75 4% 66% Last Result
76 5% 62%  
77 2% 57%  
78 16% 55% Median
79 37% 39%  
80 2% 2%  
81 0.2% 0.8%  
82 0.3% 0.6%  
83 0% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.3% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.7%  
64 0.2% 99.6%  
65 4% 99.4%  
66 11% 96%  
67 0.2% 85%  
68 3% 85%  
69 3% 82%  
70 8% 79%  
71 3% 70%  
72 21% 68%  
73 4% 47%  
74 5% 43% Median
75 23% 37%  
76 4% 14%  
77 5% 10%  
78 3% 5% Last Result
79 0.5% 1.5%  
80 0.6% 0.9%  
81 0.1% 0.4%  
82 0.2% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.8%  
61 0.8% 99.7%  
62 0.3% 99.0%  
63 3% 98.7%  
64 3% 96%  
65 3% 93%  
66 4% 89%  
67 7% 85%  
68 17% 79%  
69 5% 62% Median
70 33% 57%  
71 5% 24%  
72 4% 19%  
73 0.2% 15%  
74 0.9% 15%  
75 11% 14%  
76 3% 3%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.3% 99.8%  
61 0.7% 99.5%  
62 0.3% 98.7%  
63 3% 98%  
64 3% 95%  
65 3% 92%  
66 4% 89%  
67 7% 85%  
68 17% 79%  
69 5% 62% Median
70 33% 57%  
71 16% 24%  
72 4% 8%  
73 0.2% 4%  
74 0.9% 4%  
75 0.1% 3%  
76 3% 3%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0.1% 99.8%  
52 0.1% 99.7%  
53 0.7% 99.6%  
54 3% 98.9%  
55 0.8% 95%  
56 2% 95%  
57 2% 93%  
58 6% 91%  
59 25% 85%  
60 10% 60% Median
61 6% 50%  
62 4% 43%  
63 23% 39%  
64 11% 16%  
65 1.4% 5%  
66 0.4% 4%  
67 0.1% 3%  
68 3% 3%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.8%  
51 0.1% 99.8%  
52 0.1% 99.6%  
53 0.9% 99.5%  
54 3% 98.6%  
55 0.8% 95%  
56 2% 94%  
57 2% 92%  
58 5% 90%  
59 25% 85%  
60 21% 60% Median
61 6% 39%  
62 4% 33%  
63 23% 28%  
64 0.7% 6%  
65 1.4% 5%  
66 0.4% 4%  
67 0.1% 3%  
68 3% 3%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.2% 100%  
47 0.3% 99.7%  
48 3% 99.5%  
49 0.1% 96%  
50 0.4% 96%  
51 0.3% 96%  
52 3% 95%  
53 4% 92%  
54 12% 88%  
55 2% 76% Median
56 44% 74%  
57 3% 30%  
58 3% 27%  
59 18% 24% Last Result
60 2% 6%  
61 0.4% 4%  
62 0.3% 4%  
63 3% 3%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.3% 100%  
49 0% 99.6%  
50 0.6% 99.6%  
51 4% 99.0%  
52 5% 95%  
53 13% 90%  
54 9% 77%  
55 0.5% 68%  
56 0.6% 67%  
57 0.8% 67%  
58 25% 66% Median
59 32% 41%  
60 2% 9%  
61 0.1% 7%  
62 6% 7%  
63 0.5% 1.2%  
64 0.2% 0.7% Last Result
65 0.4% 0.5%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.3% 99.9%  
40 0.2% 99.6%  
41 3% 99.4%  
42 0.4% 96%  
43 1.1% 96%  
44 0.6% 95%  
45 4% 94%  
46 23% 90%  
47 7% 67% Median
48 44% 60%  
49 4% 16%  
50 7% 12%  
51 1.3% 5%  
52 0.6% 4%  
53 3% 4%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 4% 99.9%  
22 4% 96%  
23 2% 92%  
24 2% 90%  
25 8% 88%  
26 21% 80%  
27 12% 59% Median
28 41% 47%  
29 1.0% 6%  
30 1.0% 5%  
31 3% 4%  
32 0.5% 0.8%  
33 0.3% 0.3%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations