Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 26 September–2 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 25.3% 23.6–27.1% 23.1–27.6% 22.7–28.1% 21.9–29.0%
Venstre 23.4% 15.5% 14.1–17.0% 13.7–17.5% 13.4–17.9% 12.7–18.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.7% 9.2–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.8% 7.7–10.0% 7.4–10.4% 7.2–10.7% 6.7–11.3%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.8–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.5%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–5.9% 3.6–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.3–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
Moderaterne 0.0% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.4–3.3% 1.2–3.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.7–2.8%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 45 42–49 41–49 40–49 39–50
Venstre 43 29 25–30 25–31 25–33 24–34
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 18 15–21 15–21 15–23 15–24
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–20 13–20 13–20 12–20
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 15 13–17 13–17 13–18 12–20
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 13–17 12–17 12–17 11–19
Radikale Venstre 16 11 9–14 9–14 9–14 7–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 9 7–11 6–11 6–11 5–11
Liberal Alliance 4 8 7–9 6–9 6–10 5–10
Dansk Folkeparti 16 6 5–7 5–8 5–8 4–9
Moderaterne 0 0 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
Alternativet 5 4 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.3% 100%  
39 1.1% 99.7%  
40 1.5% 98.6%  
41 5% 97%  
42 4% 92%  
43 2% 89%  
44 36% 86%  
45 17% 50% Median
46 1.1% 34%  
47 13% 33%  
48 1.5% 19% Last Result
49 16% 18%  
50 0.8% 1.1%  
51 0.2% 0.3%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.1% 99.9%  
23 0.3% 99.9%  
24 1.1% 99.6%  
25 21% 98%  
26 1.1% 78%  
27 13% 77%  
28 3% 63%  
29 49% 60% Median
30 4% 11%  
31 3% 8%  
32 0.2% 4%  
33 3% 4%  
34 0.9% 0.9%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0.1% 100%  
15 17% 99.9%  
16 1.3% 83%  
17 32% 82%  
18 5% 50% Median
19 21% 45%  
20 7% 24%  
21 12% 17%  
22 2% 5%  
23 2% 3%  
24 0.4% 0.7%  
25 0.2% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.7% 99.9%  
13 9% 99.3%  
14 11% 90% Last Result
15 34% 79% Median
16 20% 45%  
17 3% 25%  
18 5% 22%  
19 1.3% 17%  
20 15% 15%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 2% 99.9%  
13 33% 98%  
14 12% 65%  
15 20% 54% Median
16 12% 34%  
17 18% 21%  
18 3% 3%  
19 0.2% 0.7%  
20 0.5% 0.5%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.1% 99.9%  
11 1.3% 99.8%  
12 4% 98.5%  
13 33% 95% Last Result
14 3% 62%  
15 5% 60%  
16 40% 54% Median
17 12% 14%  
18 1.0% 2%  
19 0.8% 0.8%  
20 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.5% 100%  
8 0.7% 99.5%  
9 22% 98.7%  
10 25% 77%  
11 7% 51% Median
12 7% 44%  
13 3% 38%  
14 34% 35%  
15 0.2% 0.8%  
16 0.7% 0.7% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.7% 100%  
6 7% 99.3%  
7 22% 93%  
8 19% 71%  
9 3% 52% Median
10 32% 49%  
11 17% 18%  
12 0.2% 0.4%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 2% 100%  
6 6% 98%  
7 38% 92%  
8 42% 55% Median
9 9% 12%  
10 3% 3%  
11 0.3% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0.7% 99.8%  
5 31% 99.1%  
6 54% 68% Median
7 8% 14%  
8 5% 6%  
9 0.5% 0.6%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 41%  
2 0% 41%  
3 0% 41%  
4 16% 41%  
5 23% 26%  
6 2% 3%  
7 0.4% 0.5%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 41% 100%  
1 0% 59%  
2 0% 59%  
3 0% 59%  
4 50% 59% Median
5 8% 8% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 91 60% 85–93 83–93 82–93 78–95
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 88 6% 84–89 83–90 82–91 78–94
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 82 2% 82–87 80–88 80–88 77–93
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 79 0% 72–82 71–83 71–83 69–83
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 75 0% 72–78 71–79 71–82 67–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 73 0% 69–75 68–75 67–75 65–77
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 69 0% 65–71 65–72 64–75 64–77
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 79 69 0% 65–71 65–72 64–75 64–77
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 59 0% 57–64 57–66 57–66 56–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 75 59 0% 57–64 57–66 57–66 56–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 53 0% 52–57 52–59 50–61 50–62
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 58 0% 54–59 52–59 52–59 48–62
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 46 0% 44–50 43–52 43–52 42–54
Venstre 43 29 0% 25–30 25–31 25–33 24–34

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.7% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.3%  
80 0.1% 99.1%  
81 0.4% 99.0%  
82 2% 98.6%  
83 4% 96%  
84 2% 92%  
85 6% 90%  
86 0.7% 84%  
87 3% 83%  
88 19% 80%  
89 1.4% 61%  
90 0.2% 60% Majority
91 19% 60% Median
92 0.2% 40%  
93 39% 40%  
94 0.7% 1.4%  
95 0.7% 0.7%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.3% 100%  
75 0% 99.7%  
76 0% 99.7%  
77 0% 99.7%  
78 0.5% 99.7%  
79 0.2% 99.2%  
80 0.2% 99.0%  
81 0.4% 98.8%  
82 2% 98%  
83 6% 96%  
84 4% 90%  
85 6% 87%  
86 0.6% 80%  
87 18% 80% Median
88 24% 62%  
89 33% 38%  
90 0.8% 6% Majority
91 4% 5% Last Result
92 0.2% 1.1%  
93 0.1% 0.9%  
94 0.6% 0.8%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.5% 99.9%  
78 0.3% 99.5%  
79 0.1% 99.2% Last Result
80 4% 99.1%  
81 0.9% 95%  
82 56% 94%  
83 3% 38%  
84 16% 34%  
85 0.4% 18% Median
86 6% 18%  
87 7% 12%  
88 3% 5%  
89 0.1% 2%  
90 0.1% 2% Majority
91 0.2% 2%  
92 0.5% 2%  
93 0.8% 1.2%  
94 0.3% 0.4%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.5% 99.8%  
70 0.7% 99.4%  
71 5% 98.6%  
72 5% 94%  
73 5% 89%  
74 1.3% 84%  
75 0.4% 83%  
76 3% 83%  
77 2% 79%  
78 17% 78%  
79 32% 61%  
80 0.3% 28% Last Result, Median
81 0.8% 28%  
82 19% 27%  
83 8% 8%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.3% 100%  
66 0% 99.7%  
67 0.7% 99.7%  
68 0.2% 99.0%  
69 0.2% 98.8%  
70 0.7% 98.6%  
71 5% 98%  
72 5% 93%  
73 5% 88%  
74 2% 83%  
75 32% 81% Last Result
76 3% 49% Median
77 1.1% 46%  
78 40% 45%  
79 0.3% 5%  
80 0.3% 5%  
81 0.6% 5%  
82 4% 4%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0.2% 0.2%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.9%  
64 0% 99.6%  
65 0.5% 99.6%  
66 0.6% 99.1%  
67 2% 98%  
68 4% 96%  
69 7% 92%  
70 2% 85%  
71 10% 83% Median
72 2% 73%  
73 32% 71%  
74 20% 38%  
75 17% 18%  
76 0.7% 1.3%  
77 0.1% 0.6%  
78 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 4% 99.8%  
65 18% 96%  
66 1.0% 78%  
67 2% 77%  
68 9% 75%  
69 48% 66%  
70 6% 19% Median
71 5% 13%  
72 4% 8%  
73 0.8% 4%  
74 0.3% 3%  
75 1.1% 3%  
76 0.6% 2%  
77 0.8% 1.1%  
78 0% 0.3%  
79 0% 0.2% Last Result
80 0% 0.2%  
81 0.2% 0.2%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 4% 99.8%  
65 18% 96%  
66 1.0% 78%  
67 2% 77%  
68 9% 75%  
69 48% 66%  
70 6% 19% Median
71 5% 13%  
72 4% 8%  
73 0.8% 4%  
74 0.3% 3%  
75 1.1% 3%  
76 0.6% 2%  
77 0.8% 1.1%  
78 0% 0.3%  
79 0% 0.2% Last Result
80 0% 0.2%  
81 0.2% 0.2%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.2% 99.9%  
56 0.2% 99.6%  
57 20% 99.5%  
58 17% 79%  
59 33% 63%  
60 3% 30%  
61 9% 27% Median
62 0.6% 18%  
63 4% 18%  
64 8% 14%  
65 0.1% 5%  
66 4% 5%  
67 0.5% 2%  
68 1.0% 1.3%  
69 0.1% 0.4%  
70 0.2% 0.3%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.2% 99.8%  
56 0.2% 99.6%  
57 20% 99.5%  
58 17% 79%  
59 33% 63%  
60 3% 30%  
61 9% 27% Median
62 0.6% 18%  
63 4% 18%  
64 8% 14%  
65 0.1% 5%  
66 4% 5%  
67 0.5% 2%  
68 1.0% 1.3%  
69 0.1% 0.4%  
70 0.2% 0.3%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 99.9%  
49 0.3% 99.9%  
50 4% 99.6%  
51 0.5% 96%  
52 32% 95%  
53 33% 63%  
54 3% 30%  
55 2% 27% Median
56 11% 25%  
57 6% 15%  
58 2% 9%  
59 2% 7% Last Result
60 0.7% 5%  
61 3% 4%  
62 0.4% 0.8%  
63 0.1% 0.4%  
64 0.3% 0.3%  
65 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.8% 100%  
49 0.2% 99.2%  
50 0.6% 99.1%  
51 0.9% 98%  
52 5% 98%  
53 2% 93%  
54 16% 91%  
55 4% 75%  
56 10% 71% Median
57 7% 61%  
58 34% 53%  
59 18% 20%  
60 1.0% 2%  
61 0.2% 0.9%  
62 0.6% 0.8%  
63 0% 0.2%  
64 0% 0.2% Last Result
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0.4% 99.9%  
43 4% 99.5%  
44 32% 95%  
45 0.6% 63%  
46 33% 62%  
47 3% 29% Median
48 15% 26%  
49 0.8% 12%  
50 3% 11%  
51 1.3% 7%  
52 4% 6%  
53 0.5% 2%  
54 1.3% 2%  
55 0% 0.3% Last Result
56 0% 0.2%  
57 0.2% 0.2%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.1% 99.9%  
23 0.3% 99.9%  
24 1.1% 99.6%  
25 21% 98%  
26 1.1% 78%  
27 13% 77%  
28 3% 63%  
29 49% 60% Median
30 4% 11%  
31 3% 8%  
32 0.2% 4%  
33 3% 4%  
34 0.9% 0.9%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations