Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 5 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.3% 26.0–28.7% 25.7–29.0% 25.4–29.4% 24.8–30.0%
Venstre 23.4% 12.7% 11.8–13.7% 11.5–14.0% 11.3–14.3% 10.9–14.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 11.2% 10.3–12.2% 10.1–12.5% 9.9–12.7% 9.4–13.2%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 10.3% 9.5–11.3% 9.2–11.5% 9.0–11.8% 8.6–12.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.1% 7.4–9.0% 7.1–9.2% 7.0–9.4% 6.6–9.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.7% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.7% 5.7–7.9% 5.3–8.3%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.3% 5.6–7.1% 5.4–7.3% 5.3–7.5% 5.0–7.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 4.9% 4.3–5.6% 4.2–5.8% 4.0–6.0% 3.8–6.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 4.1% 3.6–4.7% 3.4–4.9% 3.3–5.1% 3.0–5.4%
Moderaterne 0.0% 3.7% 3.2–4.3% 3.1–4.5% 3.0–4.7% 2.7–5.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 1.8% 1.4–2.2% 1.3–2.4% 1.3–2.5% 1.1–2.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.3% 1.0–1.7% 0.9–1.8% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.0% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.3%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.4% 0.3–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–1.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 49 48–52 47–52 46–53 44–55
Venstre 43 24 20–25 20–25 19–26 19–26
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 21 19–22 19–23 18–24 16–25
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 19 18–21 17–21 16–21 16–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–17 13–17 12–17 12–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 11–14 11–14 10–14 10–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 12 10–14 10–14 10–14 9–14
Radikale Venstre 16 9 8–10 8–11 8–11 7–12
Liberal Alliance 4 7 6–9 6–9 6–9 5–10
Moderaterne 0 6 5–8 5–8 5–8 5–9
Dansk Folkeparti 16 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0–4
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.5% 100%  
45 0.9% 99.4%  
46 2% 98.5%  
47 6% 97%  
48 16% 91% Last Result
49 40% 75% Median
50 18% 35%  
51 1.0% 18%  
52 13% 16%  
53 3% 4%  
54 0.2% 1.0%  
55 0.6% 0.7%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 3% 99.9%  
20 16% 97%  
21 6% 81%  
22 4% 74%  
23 8% 71%  
24 45% 62% Median
25 13% 17%  
26 4% 4%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.9% 100%  
17 0.4% 99.1%  
18 3% 98.7%  
19 26% 96%  
20 18% 70%  
21 18% 52% Median
22 29% 34%  
23 2% 5%  
24 1.4% 4%  
25 2% 2%  
26 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.1% 100%  
16 4% 99.8%  
17 3% 96%  
18 31% 93%  
19 27% 62% Median
20 14% 34%  
21 20% 20%  
22 0.3% 0.4%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 4% 99.9%  
13 13% 96%  
14 24% 83% Last Result
15 27% 58% Median
16 18% 31%  
17 13% 13%  
18 0.1% 0.4%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 4% 99.8%  
11 32% 96%  
12 13% 63%  
13 27% 50% Last Result, Median
14 22% 23%  
15 0.6% 0.7%  
16 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 100%  
9 1.2% 99.9%  
10 11% 98.7%  
11 9% 88%  
12 29% 79% Median
13 30% 50%  
14 19% 19%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 2% 99.9%  
8 43% 98%  
9 17% 54% Median
10 32% 38%  
11 4% 6%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.6% 100%  
6 19% 99.4%  
7 42% 81% Median
8 29% 39%  
9 9% 10%  
10 1.1% 1.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 13% 100%  
6 40% 87% Median
7 31% 47%  
8 14% 16%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Median
1 0% 13%  
2 0% 13%  
3 0% 13%  
4 12% 13%  
5 0.4% 1.1%  
6 0.6% 0.6%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 86 2% 82–89 82–89 81–89 79–91
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 86 2% 82–89 82–89 81–89 79–91
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 83 0.2% 80–87 80–87 79–87 78–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 77 0% 74–79 74–79 72–80 71–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 77 0% 74–79 74–79 72–80 71–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 73 0% 71–75 70–76 68–78 66–78
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 63 0% 61–68 61–68 59–68 58–70
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 79 63 0% 61–68 61–68 59–68 58–70
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 57 0% 56–61 56–63 55–63 53–63
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 51 0% 48–55 48–55 48–56 47–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 75 51 0% 48–55 48–55 48–56 47–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 50 0% 48–55 47–55 47–55 46–55
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 43 0% 41–47 41–47 38–48 38–49
Venstre 43 24 0% 20–25 20–25 19–26 19–26

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.6% 99.8%  
80 0.7% 99.2%  
81 2% 98.5%  
82 22% 96%  
83 2% 74%  
84 0.5% 72%  
85 14% 72%  
86 19% 57% Median
87 16% 38%  
88 2% 22%  
89 18% 20%  
90 0.2% 2% Majority
91 2% 2%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.6% 99.8%  
80 0.7% 99.2%  
81 2% 98%  
82 22% 96%  
83 4% 74%  
84 0.5% 70%  
85 14% 70%  
86 19% 56% Median
87 14% 37%  
88 2% 22%  
89 18% 20%  
90 0.2% 2% Majority
91 2% 2% Last Result
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.3% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.7%  
78 0.1% 99.6%  
79 4% 99.5% Last Result
80 17% 95%  
81 6% 78%  
82 21% 72%  
83 21% 51% Median
84 5% 30%  
85 3% 25%  
86 2% 22%  
87 18% 19%  
88 0.7% 1.5%  
89 0.6% 0.8%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 0.9% 99.8%  
72 3% 98.9%  
73 0.4% 96%  
74 24% 96%  
75 3% 72%  
76 10% 69%  
77 18% 58% Median
78 18% 40%  
79 18% 22%  
80 2% 4% Last Result
81 0.4% 1.3%  
82 0.9% 1.0%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 0.9% 99.8%  
72 3% 98.8%  
73 0.8% 96%  
74 24% 95%  
75 5% 72% Last Result
76 10% 67%  
77 18% 57% Median
78 18% 39%  
79 17% 20%  
80 2% 4%  
81 0.3% 1.2%  
82 0.8% 0.9%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.6% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.3%  
68 2% 99.2%  
69 0.4% 97%  
70 4% 96%  
71 21% 92%  
72 6% 71%  
73 18% 64% Median
74 12% 46%  
75 26% 34%  
76 4% 8%  
77 0.8% 4%  
78 3% 3% Last Result
79 0.1% 0.3%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 2% 99.9%  
59 0.6% 98%  
60 2% 97%  
61 18% 95%  
62 17% 77%  
63 12% 60%  
64 7% 48% Median
65 13% 41%  
66 3% 27%  
67 5% 24%  
68 18% 19%  
69 0.3% 1.3%  
70 0.9% 1.0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 2% 99.9%  
59 0.6% 98%  
60 2% 97%  
61 18% 95%  
62 17% 77%  
63 12% 60%  
64 7% 48% Median
65 13% 41%  
66 3% 27%  
67 5% 24%  
68 18% 19%  
69 0.3% 1.3%  
70 0.9% 1.0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0.6% 99.8%  
54 0.5% 99.2%  
55 2% 98.8%  
56 7% 97%  
57 41% 90%  
58 11% 48% Median
59 3% 37%  
60 18% 34%  
61 10% 17%  
62 1.0% 6%  
63 5% 5%  
64 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.2% 100%  
47 2% 99.8%  
48 16% 98%  
49 3% 82%  
50 27% 79%  
51 6% 53%  
52 4% 46% Median
53 7% 42%  
54 21% 35%  
55 12% 14%  
56 1.1% 3%  
57 0.3% 1.5%  
58 0.5% 1.1%  
59 0.6% 0.6%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.2% 100%  
47 2% 99.8%  
48 16% 98%  
49 3% 82%  
50 27% 79%  
51 6% 53%  
52 4% 46% Median
53 7% 42%  
54 21% 35%  
55 12% 14%  
56 1.1% 3%  
57 0.3% 1.5%  
58 0.5% 1.1%  
59 0.6% 0.6%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.5% 99.9%  
47 6% 99.4%  
48 16% 94%  
49 5% 77%  
50 30% 72%  
51 4% 42%  
52 4% 38% Median
53 5% 35%  
54 18% 30%  
55 11% 12%  
56 0.3% 0.4%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 3% 100%  
39 0.2% 97%  
40 0.8% 97%  
41 21% 96%  
42 4% 75%  
43 22% 71%  
44 13% 49%  
45 3% 36% Median
46 20% 33%  
47 10% 13%  
48 3% 3%  
49 0.6% 0.6%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 3% 99.9%  
20 16% 97%  
21 6% 81%  
22 4% 74%  
23 8% 71%  
24 45% 62% Median
25 13% 17%  
26 4% 4%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations