Opinion Poll by Gallup for Berlingske, 6 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.7% 25.4–28.1% 25.0–28.5% 24.7–28.9% 24.0–29.5%
Venstre 23.4% 13.2% 12.2–14.3% 11.9–14.6% 11.7–14.9% 11.2–15.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 11.2% 10.3–12.2% 10.0–12.5% 9.8–12.8% 9.3–13.3%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 10.7% 9.8–11.7% 9.6–12.0% 9.3–12.3% 8.9–12.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.9% 8.1–9.9% 7.9–10.1% 7.7–10.4% 7.3–10.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.6% 5.9–7.4% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–7.9% 5.2–8.3%
Moderaterne 0.0% 6.1% 5.4–6.9% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.3% 4.7–7.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 4.4% 3.8–5.1% 3.7–5.3% 3.5–5.5% 3.3–5.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 3.8% 3.3–4.5% 3.1–4.7% 3.0–4.8% 2.8–5.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 3.6% 3.1–4.2% 2.9–4.4% 2.8–4.6% 2.6–4.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 2.1% 1.7–2.6% 1.6–2.7% 1.5–2.9% 1.3–3.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.6% 1.3–2.1% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.3% 1.0–2.6%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.5% 0.4–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.0% 0.2–1.2%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.5% 0.4–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.0% 0.2–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 49 46–49 46–49 45–49 44–54
Venstre 43 22 22–24 22–25 22–25 21–26
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 19 19–21 19–22 19–22 18–24
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 21 20–21 17–21 17–22 15–22
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 13–16 13–17 13–20 13–20
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 11 10–11 10–12 10–13 9–14
Moderaterne 0 10 10–12 10–13 10–13 9–13
Liberal Alliance 4 9 8–9 8–9 7–9 6–10
Radikale Venstre 16 8 7–8 7–8 6–8 5–9
Nye Borgerlige 4 6 6 5–7 5–8 5–9
Dansk Folkeparti 16 4 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 0.3% 99.9%  
44 2% 99.7%  
45 0.4% 98%  
46 12% 97%  
47 11% 85%  
48 2% 74% Last Result
49 70% 72% Median
50 0.7% 2%  
51 0.1% 1.2%  
52 0.3% 1.1%  
53 0% 0.8%  
54 0.3% 0.7%  
55 0.4% 0.4%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.4% 100%  
21 0.2% 99.6%  
22 71% 99.3% Median
23 16% 29%  
24 3% 12%  
25 7% 9%  
26 2% 2%  
27 0.2% 0.4%  
28 0% 0.2%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.3% 99.9%  
18 1.3% 99.6%  
19 82% 98% Median
20 2% 17%  
21 8% 15%  
22 6% 7%  
23 0.3% 0.9%  
24 0.2% 0.6%  
25 0.4% 0.4%  
26 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 2% 100%  
16 0.3% 98%  
17 4% 98%  
18 2% 94%  
19 2% 92%  
20 1.5% 90%  
21 86% 89% Median
22 2% 3%  
23 0.1% 0.2%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 12% 99.9%  
14 9% 88% Last Result
15 3% 79%  
16 70% 76% Median
17 2% 7%  
18 1.5% 5%  
19 0.4% 3%  
20 3% 3%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.7% 100%  
10 12% 99.3%  
11 81% 87% Median
12 1.3% 6%  
13 3% 4% Last Result
14 1.3% 2%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.2% 100%  
9 0.7% 99.8%  
10 73% 99.1% Median
11 3% 26%  
12 16% 23%  
13 7% 7%  
14 0.1% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0.9% 100%  
7 2% 99.0%  
8 8% 97%  
9 88% 89% Median
10 1.3% 2%  
11 0.4% 0.4%  
12 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.8% 100%  
6 4% 99.1%  
7 9% 95%  
8 85% 86% Median
9 1.0% 1.1%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.4% 100% Last Result
5 5% 99.6%  
6 85% 94% Median
7 7% 9%  
8 1.3% 3%  
9 1.2% 1.3%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100%  
1 0% 89%  
2 0% 89%  
3 0% 89%  
4 88% 89% Median
5 1.3% 2%  
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Median
1 0% 16%  
2 0% 16%  
3 0% 16%  
4 16% 16%  
5 0.4% 0.5% Last Result
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 84 0.4% 81–84 79–84 79–86 78–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 84 0.1% 77–84 77–84 77–86 77–88
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 81 0% 81–82 79–83 78–83 74–86
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 76 0% 73–76 72–78 72–80 70–81
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 76 0% 69–76 69–77 69–79 69–81
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 73 0% 67–73 67–73 67–73 66–77
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 60 0% 60–62 60–62 57–65 57–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti 79 60 0% 60–62 60–62 57–65 57–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 54 0% 54–55 53–57 52–58 50–60
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 75 54 0% 54–55 53–57 52–58 50–60
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 57 0% 54–57 53–57 52–57 50–61
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 50 0% 50–53 50–55 50–55 48–57
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 41 0% 41–45 41–46 41–47 40–48
Venstre 43 22 0% 22–24 22–25 22–25 21–26

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.3% 99.9%  
78 0.8% 99.6%  
79 5% 98.8%  
80 0.6% 94%  
81 12% 93%  
82 2% 81%  
83 2% 80%  
84 74% 78% Median
85 0.5% 5%  
86 3% 4%  
87 0.5% 2%  
88 0.5% 1.1%  
89 0.2% 0.6%  
90 0.1% 0.4% Majority
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 12% 99.9%  
78 2% 88%  
79 6% 87%  
80 3% 81%  
81 0.7% 78%  
82 1.2% 77%  
83 1.4% 76%  
84 71% 75% Median
85 0.4% 4%  
86 2% 3%  
87 0.4% 1.2%  
88 0.5% 0.8%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.6% 99.8%  
75 0.3% 99.3%  
76 0.2% 99.0%  
77 1.0% 98.8%  
78 0.7% 98%  
79 4% 97% Last Result
80 2% 93%  
81 72% 91% Median
82 12% 19%  
83 5% 8%  
84 1.0% 2%  
85 0.9% 1.4%  
86 0.2% 0.5%  
87 0.3% 0.3%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.6% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.3%  
72 5% 99.1%  
73 12% 94%  
74 0.9% 82%  
75 3% 81%  
76 73% 79% Median
77 1.1% 6%  
78 2% 5%  
79 0.5% 4%  
80 2% 3% Last Result
81 1.0% 1.4%  
82 0% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.3%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 11% 100%  
70 0.7% 89%  
71 1.0% 88%  
72 8% 87%  
73 0.5% 79%  
74 0.9% 78%  
75 2% 77% Last Result
76 70% 75% Median
77 1.3% 6%  
78 2% 4%  
79 0.4% 3%  
80 2% 2%  
81 0.6% 0.8%  
82 0% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.3% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.7%  
66 0.4% 99.6%  
67 13% 99.2%  
68 6% 86%  
69 4% 80%  
70 0.9% 77%  
71 0.8% 76%  
72 0.4% 75%  
73 72% 75% Median
74 0.7% 2%  
75 0.9% 2%  
76 0.2% 0.8%  
77 0.5% 0.6%  
78 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
79 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.2% 100%  
56 0.3% 99.8%  
57 2% 99.5%  
58 0.9% 97%  
59 0.2% 96%  
60 70% 96% Median
61 12% 26%  
62 9% 14%  
63 2% 5%  
64 0.1% 3%  
65 0.6% 3%  
66 2% 2%  
67 0.3% 0.4%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.2% 100%  
56 0.3% 99.8%  
57 2% 99.5%  
58 0.9% 97%  
59 0.2% 96%  
60 70% 96% Median
61 12% 26%  
62 9% 14%  
63 2% 5%  
64 0.1% 3%  
65 0.6% 3%  
66 2% 2%  
67 0.3% 0.4%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.9% 99.9%  
51 1.0% 99.0%  
52 2% 98%  
53 1.4% 96%  
54 70% 95% Median
55 17% 25%  
56 0.4% 8%  
57 5% 8%  
58 0.8% 3%  
59 0.4% 2%  
60 2% 2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.9% 99.9%  
51 1.0% 99.0%  
52 2% 98%  
53 1.4% 96%  
54 70% 95% Median
55 17% 25%  
56 0.4% 8%  
57 5% 8%  
58 0.8% 3%  
59 0.4% 2%  
60 2% 2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.5% 100%  
50 0.3% 99.5%  
51 1.0% 99.2%  
52 0.9% 98%  
53 4% 97%  
54 17% 93%  
55 4% 77%  
56 2% 73%  
57 70% 72% Median
58 0.3% 1.3%  
59 0% 1.0%  
60 0.2% 0.9%  
61 0.3% 0.8%  
62 0.4% 0.4%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.3% 99.8%  
49 0.6% 99.5%  
50 70% 98.9% Median
51 12% 28%  
52 2% 16%  
53 6% 15%  
54 0.8% 9%  
55 6% 8%  
56 2% 2%  
57 0.5% 0.5%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0.1% Last Result
60 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.3% 99.9%  
40 0.4% 99.6%  
41 70% 99.3% Median
42 12% 29%  
43 0.9% 17%  
44 3% 16%  
45 5% 13%  
46 6% 8%  
47 0.4% 3%  
48 2% 2%  
49 0.1% 0.5%  
50 0.3% 0.3%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.4% 100%  
21 0.2% 99.6%  
22 71% 99.3% Median
23 16% 29%  
24 3% 12%  
25 7% 9%  
26 2% 2%  
27 0.2% 0.4%  
28 0% 0.2%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations