Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 3–6 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.5% 25.8–29.3% 25.3–29.8% 25.0–30.2% 24.2–31.1%
Venstre 23.4% 14.6% 13.3–16.1% 13.0–16.5% 12.7–16.9% 12.1–17.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 11.4% 10.3–12.8% 10.0–13.1% 9.7–13.5% 9.1–14.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.1–9.8% 6.8–10.1% 6.4–10.7%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 8.0% 7.0–9.1% 6.7–9.4% 6.5–9.7% 6.1–10.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.1% 6.2–8.2% 6.0–8.5% 5.7–8.8% 5.3–9.4%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.6–6.9% 4.4–7.1% 4.0–7.6%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.4–6.7% 4.2–6.9% 3.9–7.4%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.7% 3.9–5.6% 3.7–5.9% 3.6–6.1% 3.2–6.6%
Moderaterne 0.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.4–4.5% 2.1–4.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 1.7% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.0%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.3%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.8% 0.6–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.8%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–1.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 48 46–54 44–54 44–54 43–59
Venstre 43 26 23–28 22–31 22–31 21–32
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 22 18–23 18–23 17–23 16–25
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 13–18 12–18 12–18 12–18
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 14 13–17 13–17 13–18 11–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 12 10–15 10–15 10–16 9–16
Liberal Alliance 4 11 9–11 9–11 8–12 8–13
Radikale Venstre 16 9 9–11 8–11 8–11 7–13
Nye Borgerlige 4 7 6–10 6–10 6–11 6–11
Moderaterne 0 6 4–8 4–8 4–8 4–8
Dansk Folkeparti 16 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–3
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.4% 100%  
41 0% 99.6%  
42 0% 99.5%  
43 0.1% 99.5%  
44 5% 99.4%  
45 0.3% 94%  
46 4% 94%  
47 37% 90%  
48 9% 53% Last Result, Median
49 16% 43%  
50 4% 27%  
51 5% 23%  
52 1.5% 18%  
53 0.7% 17%  
54 15% 16%  
55 0.1% 1.0%  
56 0.1% 0.9%  
57 0.1% 0.8%  
58 0% 0.7%  
59 0.7% 0.7%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.7% 99.9%  
22 8% 99.2%  
23 13% 91%  
24 7% 78%  
25 5% 71%  
26 39% 67% Median
27 16% 28%  
28 2% 12%  
29 4% 10%  
30 0.2% 6%  
31 5% 6%  
32 0.8% 0.8%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 1.2% 100%  
17 1.5% 98.8%  
18 16% 97%  
19 2% 82%  
20 3% 79%  
21 23% 76%  
22 25% 53% Median
23 26% 27%  
24 0.3% 1.0%  
25 0.6% 0.7%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 8% 100%  
13 8% 92%  
14 16% 85% Last Result
15 2% 69%  
16 20% 66% Median
17 29% 46%  
18 17% 17%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.3% 100%  
11 0.4% 99.7%  
12 1.0% 99.3%  
13 30% 98%  
14 24% 68% Median
15 8% 43%  
16 15% 36%  
17 16% 20%  
18 4% 4%  
19 0.7% 0.7%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.9% 100%  
10 19% 99.1%  
11 6% 80%  
12 25% 74% Median
13 15% 49% Last Result
14 3% 34%  
15 27% 31%  
16 3% 4%  
17 0.1% 0.5%  
18 0.3% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.2% 100%  
8 3% 99.7%  
9 11% 97%  
10 19% 86%  
11 65% 68% Median
12 2% 3%  
13 0.8% 1.3%  
14 0.4% 0.5%  
15 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 2% 100%  
8 6% 98%  
9 74% 92% Median
10 7% 19%  
11 10% 12%  
12 0.5% 1.4%  
13 0.8% 1.0%  
14 0.1% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 15% 100%  
7 39% 85% Median
8 9% 46%  
9 13% 37%  
10 20% 24%  
11 3% 3%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 23% 100%  
5 3% 77%  
6 36% 74% Median
7 20% 38%  
8 18% 18%  
9 0.1% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 81% 100% Median
1 0% 19%  
2 0% 19%  
3 0% 19%  
4 10% 19%  
5 8% 9%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 61% 100% Median
1 0% 39%  
2 0% 39%  
3 0% 39%  
4 39% 39%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.1%  
2 0% 1.1%  
3 1.0% 1.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 89 33% 84–92 83–92 82–92 80–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 85 17% 84–92 83–92 82–92 80–96
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 80 0.2% 75–84 75–86 75–87 73–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 80 0% 75–83 74–83 72–83 70–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 76 0% 75–83 74–83 72–83 70–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 73 0% 70–79 68–79 67–79 66–84
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 67 0% 58–70 58–71 58–72 58–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti 79 67 0% 58–70 58–71 58–72 58–74
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 58 0% 56–63 53–63 53–63 52–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 60 0% 51–62 51–63 51–63 51–65
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 75 60 0% 51–62 51–63 51–63 51–65
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 58 0% 51–60 51–63 51–63 51–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 47 0% 41–49 41–52 41–52 40–53
Venstre 43 26 0% 23–28 22–31 22–31 21–32

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.2% 100%  
79 0% 99.8%  
80 0.7% 99.8%  
81 0.7% 99.1%  
82 2% 98%  
83 3% 97%  
84 14% 94%  
85 11% 79% Median
86 0.7% 68%  
87 5% 67%  
88 6% 62%  
89 23% 56%  
90 2% 33% Majority
91 15% 31%  
92 14% 16%  
93 0.2% 1.3%  
94 0.1% 1.1%  
95 0% 1.0%  
96 1.0% 1.0% Last Result
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.2% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.8%  
80 0.7% 99.6%  
81 0.7% 98.8%  
82 2% 98%  
83 3% 96%  
84 15% 94%  
85 33% 79% Median
86 0.7% 46%  
87 20% 45%  
88 8% 25%  
89 0.9% 18%  
90 2% 17% Majority
91 0.5% 14% Last Result
92 13% 14%  
93 0.1% 1.1%  
94 0.1% 1.1%  
95 0% 1.0%  
96 1.0% 1.0%  
97 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.7% 100%  
74 0.3% 99.3%  
75 12% 99.0%  
76 0.1% 87%  
77 1.4% 86%  
78 1.1% 85%  
79 1.4% 84% Last Result
80 38% 83% Median
81 5% 45%  
82 7% 40%  
83 6% 33%  
84 18% 27%  
85 0.2% 9%  
86 5% 8%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0.6% 1.0%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.3% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.7%  
70 0.1% 99.6%  
71 0.6% 99.5%  
72 2% 98.9%  
73 0.1% 97%  
74 5% 97%  
75 15% 92%  
76 9% 78% Median
77 8% 68%  
78 4% 60%  
79 1.4% 56%  
80 22% 55% Last Result
81 2% 32%  
82 16% 30%  
83 12% 14%  
84 0.2% 1.4%  
85 0.6% 1.2%  
86 0% 0.7%  
87 0.6% 0.7%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.3% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.6%  
70 0.3% 99.5%  
71 0.6% 99.3%  
72 2% 98.6%  
73 0.2% 97%  
74 4% 96%  
75 15% 92% Last Result
76 31% 77% Median
77 9% 46%  
78 20% 37%  
79 1.4% 18%  
80 0.6% 16%  
81 1.3% 16%  
82 0.9% 14%  
83 12% 14%  
84 0.1% 1.3%  
85 0.5% 1.1%  
86 0% 0.7%  
87 0.6% 0.6%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.4% 100%  
65 0% 99.6%  
66 0.2% 99.6%  
67 3% 99.4%  
68 2% 96%  
69 0.2% 94%  
70 7% 94%  
71 0.3% 87%  
72 20% 87%  
73 22% 67% Median
74 15% 44%  
75 5% 30%  
76 2% 25%  
77 7% 23%  
78 2% 15% Last Result
79 12% 13%  
80 0.2% 1.0%  
81 0% 0.8%  
82 0.1% 0.8%  
83 0% 0.7%  
84 0.7% 0.7%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 12% 100%  
59 0% 88%  
60 0.7% 88%  
61 0.4% 87%  
62 1.1% 87%  
63 4% 86%  
64 1.2% 82%  
65 0.9% 80%  
66 20% 79% Median
67 23% 60%  
68 19% 37%  
69 7% 19%  
70 2% 12%  
71 7% 10%  
72 0.9% 3%  
73 0.7% 2%  
74 0.9% 1.0%  
75 0% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 12% 100%  
59 0% 88%  
60 0.7% 88%  
61 0.4% 87%  
62 1.1% 87%  
63 5% 86%  
64 1.2% 81%  
65 0.9% 79%  
66 18% 78% Median
67 23% 60%  
68 19% 37%  
69 7% 18%  
70 2% 12%  
71 7% 10%  
72 0.9% 3%  
73 0.6% 2%  
74 0.9% 1.0%  
75 0% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.4% 100%  
50 0% 99.6%  
51 0% 99.6%  
52 0.1% 99.5%  
53 5% 99.4%  
54 0.5% 95%  
55 3% 94%  
56 39% 91%  
57 0.3% 52% Median
58 18% 52%  
59 9% 35%  
60 3% 26%  
61 5% 22%  
62 4% 18%  
63 13% 14%  
64 0.2% 1.1% Last Result
65 0.1% 0.9%  
66 0.1% 0.8%  
67 0% 0.7%  
68 0.7% 0.7%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 12% 100%  
52 2% 88%  
53 0.1% 86%  
54 4% 86%  
55 3% 82%  
56 1.2% 79%  
57 0.8% 78%  
58 19% 77%  
59 3% 58% Median
60 42% 55%  
61 2% 13%  
62 3% 11%  
63 6% 8%  
64 1.1% 2%  
65 0.4% 0.7%  
66 0.1% 0.3%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 12% 100%  
52 2% 88%  
53 0.1% 86%  
54 4% 86%  
55 3% 82%  
56 2% 79%  
57 0.8% 77%  
58 19% 76%  
59 2% 57% Median
60 42% 55%  
61 2% 13%  
62 3% 11%  
63 6% 8%  
64 1.1% 2%  
65 0.3% 0.7%  
66 0.1% 0.3%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.4% 99.9%  
51 13% 99.5%  
52 3% 87%  
53 5% 84%  
54 4% 79%  
55 6% 75%  
56 3% 69%  
57 0.8% 66%  
58 17% 65%  
59 3% 48% Last Result, Median
60 37% 45%  
61 2% 8%  
62 0.2% 6%  
63 5% 6%  
64 0.6% 0.9%  
65 0.3% 0.4%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.7% 100%  
41 13% 99.3%  
42 0.8% 86%  
43 2% 85%  
44 8% 83%  
45 3% 75%  
46 4% 72%  
47 21% 68%  
48 1.1% 47% Median
49 38% 46%  
50 0.2% 8%  
51 2% 8%  
52 5% 6%  
53 0.6% 1.0%  
54 0.3% 0.4%  
55 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.7% 99.9%  
22 8% 99.2%  
23 13% 91%  
24 7% 78%  
25 5% 71%  
26 39% 67% Median
27 16% 28%  
28 2% 12%  
29 4% 10%  
30 0.2% 6%  
31 5% 6%  
32 0.8% 0.8%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations