Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 7–9 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.1% 25.4–28.9% 24.9–29.5% 24.4–29.9% 23.6–30.8%
Venstre 23.4% 13.8% 12.5–15.3% 12.1–15.7% 11.8–16.1% 11.2–16.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 9.8% 8.6–11.1% 8.3–11.4% 8.1–11.7% 7.6–12.4%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.7% 7.6–9.9% 7.3–10.3% 7.1–10.6% 6.6–11.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.1% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–9.0%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.7–7.4%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–7.0%
Moderaterne 0.0% 4.1% 3.4–5.1% 3.2–5.3% 3.1–5.5% 2.8–6.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.4% 1.3–3.8%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 44 44–50 44–52 44–52 44–54
Venstre 43 24 24–26 23–27 23–29 20–29
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 20 18–20 16–20 16–20 15–22
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 17 16–17 14–17 13–18 13–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 15–16 14–17 12–17 12–20
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 12 11–12 11–12 10–13 9–15
Liberal Alliance 4 9 9 8–10 8–11 7–13
Radikale Venstre 16 9 9 8–9 7–10 6–13
Nye Borgerlige 4 8 8–9 8–12 8–12 7–12
Moderaterne 0 7 7–9 7–9 6–11 5–11
Dansk Folkeparti 16 4 4 4–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 5 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.2% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.7%  
44 79% 99.7% Median
45 0.6% 20%  
46 6% 20%  
47 2% 14%  
48 1.0% 12% Last Result
49 0.9% 11%  
50 2% 10%  
51 3% 8%  
52 4% 5%  
53 0.2% 1.1%  
54 0.5% 0.9%  
55 0.3% 0.4%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 1.1% 99.9%  
21 0.3% 98.8%  
22 0.3% 98%  
23 6% 98%  
24 79% 93% Median
25 3% 14%  
26 1.2% 11%  
27 5% 10%  
28 0.4% 5%  
29 4% 4%  
30 0.4% 0.4%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0.2% 100%  
14 0.2% 99.8%  
15 1.0% 99.6%  
16 4% 98.6%  
17 2% 95%  
18 9% 93%  
19 3% 84%  
20 80% 81% Median
21 0.2% 1.1%  
22 0.8% 0.9%  
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.3% 100%  
12 0.1% 99.7%  
13 4% 99.6%  
14 0.6% 95%  
15 4% 95%  
16 10% 91%  
17 79% 81% Median
18 1.4% 3%  
19 0.3% 1.2%  
20 0.8% 0.9%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 4% 100%  
13 0.4% 96%  
14 2% 95% Last Result
15 4% 93%  
16 80% 90% Median
17 7% 9%  
18 0.4% 2%  
19 0.8% 2%  
20 0.7% 0.8%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.4% 100%  
9 2% 99.6%  
10 2% 98%  
11 8% 95%  
12 83% 87% Median
13 3% 4% Last Result
14 1.3% 2%  
15 0.2% 0.5%  
16 0.3% 0.3%  
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.6% 100%  
8 9% 99.4%  
9 82% 91% Median
10 5% 8%  
11 3% 4%  
12 0.5% 1.1%  
13 0.3% 0.5%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 2% 100%  
7 2% 98%  
8 4% 97%  
9 89% 93% Median
10 3% 4%  
11 0.3% 1.0%  
12 0.2% 0.7%  
13 0.6% 0.6%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0.1% 100%  
7 2% 99.9%  
8 85% 98% Median
9 3% 13%  
10 1.5% 10%  
11 2% 8%  
12 6% 6%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 2% 100%  
6 2% 98%  
7 81% 96% Median
8 4% 15%  
9 7% 12%  
10 0.1% 5%  
11 4% 5%  
12 0.3% 0.3%  
13 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 90% 96% Median
5 5% 6%  
6 0.7% 0.9%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 0% 84%  
2 0% 84%  
3 0% 84%  
4 5% 84%  
5 79% 79% Last Result, Median
6 0.1% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 86 5% 85–86 83–89 81–91 80–93
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 81 0.8% 81–85 81–87 81–88 78–91
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 82 0% 81–82 79–84 76–86 76–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 77 0% 76–77 74–80 73–81 71–85
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 72 0% 72–76 72–77 72–79 70–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 69 0% 69–73 69–74 69–78 66–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 65 0% 65 63–68 63–71 59–71
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti 79 65 0% 65 63–68 63–71 59–71
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 53 0% 53–58 53–61 53–61 51–63
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 57 0% 55–57 53–59 53–60 50–61
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 75 57 0% 55–57 53–59 53–60 50–61
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 53 0% 53 49–55 49–55 47–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 44 0% 44–45 41–45 40–46 38–48
Venstre 43 24 0% 24–26 23–27 23–29 20–29

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.4% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.6%  
80 1.3% 99.6%  
81 1.5% 98%  
82 0.5% 97%  
83 5% 96%  
84 2% 92%  
85 4% 90%  
86 79% 86% Median
87 0.8% 7%  
88 0.6% 6%  
89 0.7% 5%  
90 0.3% 5% Majority
91 3% 4%  
92 0.1% 1.2%  
93 0.7% 1.0%  
94 0.3% 0.3%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.2% 100%  
77 0% 99.8%  
78 0.5% 99.8%  
79 0.2% 99.3%  
80 1.4% 99.1%  
81 80% 98% Median
82 1.4% 18%  
83 5% 17%  
84 1.3% 12%  
85 4% 10%  
86 1.0% 7%  
87 3% 6%  
88 0.4% 3%  
89 2% 2%  
90 0.2% 0.8% Majority
91 0.5% 0.5% Last Result
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 3% 99.8%  
77 0.8% 97%  
78 0.5% 96%  
79 1.1% 96% Last Result
80 0.9% 94%  
81 9% 93%  
82 79% 85% Median
83 0.7% 6%  
84 0.5% 5%  
85 1.3% 5%  
86 2% 3%  
87 0.4% 0.9%  
88 0.1% 0.5%  
89 0.3% 0.4%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.5% 100%  
71 0.3% 99.5%  
72 0.1% 99.2%  
73 2% 99.1%  
74 5% 97%  
75 2% 92%  
76 4% 90%  
77 79% 86% Median
78 0.5% 7%  
79 0.9% 7%  
80 2% 6% Last Result
81 2% 4%  
82 0.5% 2%  
83 0.5% 2%  
84 0.1% 1.1%  
85 1.0% 1.0%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.7% 99.8%  
71 0.4% 99.1%  
72 78% 98.7% Median
73 3% 21%  
74 5% 18%  
75 2% 13% Last Result
76 5% 11%  
77 3% 6%  
78 0.4% 3%  
79 0.6% 3%  
80 0.6% 2%  
81 0.8% 1.3%  
82 0.1% 0.5%  
83 0.4% 0.4%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.3% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.7%  
66 0.2% 99.6%  
67 1.2% 99.5%  
68 0.5% 98%  
69 79% 98% Median
70 1.5% 19%  
71 1.4% 18%  
72 5% 16%  
73 4% 11%  
74 2% 7%  
75 0.4% 5%  
76 0.1% 4%  
77 0.4% 4%  
78 3% 4% Last Result
79 0.7% 0.7%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.4% 100%  
59 0.3% 99.6%  
60 0.4% 99.3%  
61 0.3% 98.9%  
62 0.7% 98.6%  
63 3% 98%  
64 0.2% 95%  
65 87% 94% Median
66 0.7% 8%  
67 2% 7%  
68 0.3% 5%  
69 2% 5%  
70 0.1% 3%  
71 3% 3%  
72 0.4% 0.5%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.4% 100%  
59 0.3% 99.6%  
60 0.4% 99.3%  
61 0.3% 98.9%  
62 0.7% 98.6%  
63 3% 98%  
64 0.2% 95%  
65 87% 94% Median
66 0.7% 8%  
67 2% 7%  
68 0.3% 5%  
69 2% 5%  
70 0.1% 3%  
71 3% 3%  
72 0.4% 0.5%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 1.3% 99.8%  
52 0.5% 98.6%  
53 78% 98% Median
54 0.5% 20%  
55 6% 19%  
56 1.0% 13%  
57 1.4% 12%  
58 1.4% 11%  
59 2% 9%  
60 0.5% 8%  
61 6% 7%  
62 0.5% 1.1%  
63 0.3% 0.6%  
64 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.2% 100%  
50 0.3% 99.8%  
51 0.8% 99.5%  
52 0.1% 98.7%  
53 5% 98.6%  
54 0.8% 93%  
55 3% 92%  
56 0.3% 90%  
57 82% 89% Median
58 1.1% 7%  
59 3% 6%  
60 3% 3%  
61 0.3% 0.7%  
62 0.2% 0.4%  
63 0.2% 0.2%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.2% 100%  
50 0.3% 99.8%  
51 0.8% 99.5%  
52 0.1% 98.7%  
53 5% 98.6%  
54 0.8% 93%  
55 3% 92%  
56 0.3% 90%  
57 82% 89% Median
58 1.1% 7%  
59 3% 6%  
60 3% 3%  
61 0.3% 0.7%  
62 0.2% 0.4%  
63 0.2% 0.2%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0% 100%  
46 0.3% 99.9%  
47 0.3% 99.6%  
48 0.5% 99.4%  
49 5% 98.8%  
50 1.1% 94%  
51 0.8% 93%  
52 0.5% 92%  
53 82% 92% Median
54 2% 10%  
55 6% 8%  
56 0.6% 2%  
57 0.3% 1.2%  
58 0.8% 1.0%  
59 0% 0.1% Last Result
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0% 100%  
37 0.4% 99.9%  
38 0.6% 99.6%  
39 0.8% 98.9%  
40 1.2% 98%  
41 5% 97%  
42 0.4% 92%  
43 0.7% 92%  
44 80% 91% Median
45 8% 11%  
46 1.3% 3%  
47 0.7% 2%  
48 0.5% 1.0%  
49 0.3% 0.4%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 1.1% 99.9%  
21 0.3% 98.8%  
22 0.3% 98%  
23 6% 98%  
24 79% 93% Median
25 3% 14%  
26 1.2% 11%  
27 5% 10%  
28 0.4% 5%  
29 4% 4%  
30 0.4% 0.4%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations