Opinion Poll by Yougov, 11 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 30.6% 29.0–32.3% 28.5–32.8% 28.1–33.2% 27.4–34.0%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 10.6% 9.6–11.8% 9.3–12.1% 9.0–12.4% 8.6–13.0%
Venstre 23.4% 10.5% 9.4–11.6% 9.1–12.0% 8.9–12.3% 8.4–12.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 10.4% 9.4–11.6% 9.1–11.9% 8.8–12.2% 8.4–12.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.1% 7.2–9.2% 6.9–9.5% 6.7–9.7% 6.3–10.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 5.5% 4.8–6.4% 4.6–6.7% 4.4–6.9% 4.0–7.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 5.1% 4.4–6.0% 4.2–6.2% 4.0–6.5% 3.7–6.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.4% 3.7–5.2% 3.6–5.5% 3.4–5.7% 3.1–6.1%
Moderaterne 0.0% 4.4% 3.7–5.2% 3.6–5.5% 3.4–5.7% 3.1–6.1%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 4.3% 3.7–5.2% 3.5–5.4% 3.3–5.6% 3.0–6.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 3.4% 2.8–4.1% 2.7–4.3% 2.5–4.5% 2.3–4.9%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.6% 1.0–2.9%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.5%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.1% 0.0–0.3% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 54 54 54 54 54–55
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 18 18 18 18 18–19
Venstre 43 19 19 19 19 19–20
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 17 17 17 17 17–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 15 15 15 15–17
Liberal Alliance 4 12 12 12 12 9–12
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 10 10 10 10 9–10
Nye Borgerlige 4 8 8 8 8 7–8
Moderaterne 0 8 8 8 8 6–8
Radikale Venstre 16 8 8 8 8 7–8
Dansk Folkeparti 16 6 6 6 6 6–7
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0% 99.8%  
54 98.8% 99.8% Median
55 0.9% 1.0%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0.1% 99.9%  
18 98.8% 99.9% Median
19 0.9% 1.0%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0.4% 99.9%  
19 98.7% 99.5% Median
20 0.7% 0.8%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.1% 100%  
17 99.0% 99.9% Median
18 0.1% 1.0%  
19 0.7% 0.9%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
15 98.9% 99.8% Median
16 0.1% 0.8%  
17 0.7% 0.7%  
18 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.7% 99.9%  
10 0.2% 99.2%  
11 0.1% 99.1%  
12 99.0% 99.0% Median
13 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.1% 99.9%  
9 0.9% 99.9%  
10 98.8% 98.9% Median
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
14 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.8% 99.9%  
8 98.8% 99.1% Median
9 0.1% 0.3%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.9% 100%  
7 0.2% 99.1%  
8 98.9% 98.9% Median
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.8% 100%  
8 98.8% 99.1% Median
9 0.3% 0.3%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.3% 100%  
6 99.0% 99.7% Median
7 0.8% 0.8%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.1% 0.2%  
5 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 87 0.2% 87 87 87 87–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 87 0% 87 87 87 87–88
Danmarksdemokraterne – Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 80 0% 80 80 80 80–81
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 79 0% 79 79 79 79–81
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 79 0% 79 79 79 79–81
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 77 0% 77 77 77 77–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 62 0% 62 62 62 62
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti 79 62 0% 62 62 62 62
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 62 0% 62 62 62 62
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 54 0% 54 54 54 54–55
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 75 54 0% 54 54 54 54–55
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 48 0% 48 48 48 48
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 36 0% 36 36 36 36–39
Venstre 43 19 0% 19 19 19 19–20

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.1% 100%  
87 98.8% 99.8% Median
88 0.9% 1.1%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.8%  
87 98.8% 99.8% Median
88 0.9% 1.0%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority
91 0% 0% Last Result

Danmarksdemokraterne – Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.8% Last Result
80 98.8% 99.8% Median
81 0.9% 1.0%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 99.0% 99.9% Median
80 0% 0.9% Last Result
81 0.7% 0.9%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 99.0% 99.8% Median
80 0% 0.8%  
81 0.7% 0.8%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.8%  
77 98.8% 99.8% Median
78 0.1% 1.0% Last Result
79 0.9% 1.0%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 99.6% 99.8% Median
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 99.6% 99.8% Median
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 99.4% 99.8% Median
63 0% 0.3%  
64 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.4% 100%  
53 0% 99.6%  
54 98.7% 99.6% Median
55 0.7% 0.8%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.4% 100%  
53 0% 99.6%  
54 98.7% 99.6% Median
55 0.7% 0.8%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 0.2% 99.8%  
48 99.4% 99.6% Median
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.2% 99.9%  
36 98.8% 99.7% Median
37 0.1% 0.9%  
38 0% 0.8%  
39 0.8% 0.8%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0.4% 99.9%  
19 98.7% 99.5% Median
20 0.7% 0.8%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations