Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 10–12 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.5% 25.7–29.3% 25.2–29.9% 24.8–30.3% 24.0–31.2%
Venstre 23.4% 14.3% 13.0–15.8% 12.6–16.2% 12.3–16.6% 11.7–17.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 8.9% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.5% 7.3–10.9% 6.8–11.5%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 8.7% 7.7–10.0% 7.4–10.3% 7.1–10.6% 6.7–11.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.9% 6.9–9.0% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.2% 6.2–8.3% 6.0–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.3–9.5%
Moderaterne 0.0% 6.1% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.7% 4.4–8.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 4.2% 3.5–5.2% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 2.4% 1.8–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.4% 1.8–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.7% 0.4–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 46 46–49 46–49 46–52 44–58
Venstre 43 26 25–26 23–26 21–26 21–29
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 17 17–19 16–19 14–19 13–19
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 18 16–18 15–18 14–18 12–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 14–15 14–16 13–17 11–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 11–14 11–14 11–15 10–16
Moderaterne 0 12 10–12 10–12 10–13 8–14
Liberal Alliance 4 8 8 8–10 8–12 7–12
Radikale Venstre 16 7 6–7 6–9 6–9 6–10
Nye Borgerlige 4 8 7–8 7–8 6–8 5–11
Dansk Folkeparti 16 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 4 4 4 0–5 0–7
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.5% 99.8%  
45 0.6% 99.4%  
46 78% 98.8% Median
47 0.2% 21%  
48 5% 21% Last Result
49 11% 16%  
50 2% 5%  
51 0.3% 3%  
52 0.8% 3%  
53 0.1% 2%  
54 0.6% 2%  
55 0.4% 1.3%  
56 0% 1.0%  
57 0% 1.0%  
58 0.9% 0.9%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.3% 100%  
20 0% 99.7%  
21 4% 99.7%  
22 0.3% 95%  
23 2% 95%  
24 1.3% 93%  
25 11% 92%  
26 79% 81% Median
27 0.3% 2%  
28 1.0% 2%  
29 0.3% 0.7%  
30 0% 0.4%  
31 0% 0.4%  
32 0.3% 0.3%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100% Last Result
13 2% 99.9%  
14 1.3% 98%  
15 2% 97%  
16 4% 95%  
17 80% 91% Median
18 0.8% 11%  
19 10% 10%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.7% 99.9%  
13 0.6% 99.2%  
14 2% 98.6%  
15 4% 97%  
16 3% 93%  
17 10% 90%  
18 79% 79% Median
19 0.1% 0.3%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 0.3% 99.8%  
12 0.7% 99.5%  
13 3% 98.8%  
14 10% 95% Last Result
15 80% 85% Median
16 1.3% 5%  
17 4% 4%  
18 0.2% 0.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 1.3% 99.9%  
11 12% 98.6%  
12 0.8% 87%  
13 2% 86% Last Result
14 80% 84% Median
15 4% 4%  
16 0.5% 0.7%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.2% 100%  
8 0.5% 99.8%  
9 1.3% 99.3%  
10 11% 98%  
11 4% 87%  
12 80% 83% Median
13 1.3% 3%  
14 1.2% 2%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0.2% 100%  
7 1.2% 99.8%  
8 90% 98.6% Median
9 3% 9%  
10 2% 6%  
11 0.6% 4%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 12% 99.9%  
7 80% 88% Median
8 3% 8%  
9 4% 5%  
10 0.6% 0.9%  
11 0.3% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100% Last Result
5 2% 99.8%  
6 0.8% 98%  
7 15% 97%  
8 80% 82% Median
9 1.3% 2%  
10 0.2% 1.0%  
11 0.8% 0.8%  
12 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Median
1 0% 18%  
2 0% 18%  
3 0% 18%  
4 5% 18%  
5 12% 13%  
6 0.9% 1.0%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 92% 97% Median
5 3% 5% Last Result
6 0.6% 1.5%  
7 0.8% 0.8%  
8 0% 0%  

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 86 6% 84–86 84–92 84–93 81–95
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 82 2% 80–82 80–87 80–89 79–91
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 79 0% 78–79 78–83 78–84 75–87
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 77 0% 77–81 73–81 71–81 68–84
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 75 0% 74–75 74–79 74–80 72–83
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 68 0% 68–69 68–74 68–74 66–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 59 0% 59–64 58–64 56–64 54–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti 79 59 0% 59–64 57–64 56–64 54–66
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 53 0% 53–55 53–58 53–59 52–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 51 0% 51–57 50–57 49–57 47–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 75 51 0% 51–57 50–57 49–57 47–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 51 0% 51–52 49–52 46–52 43–55
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 43 0% 42–44 37–44 37–44 35–46
Venstre 43 26 0% 25–26 23–26 21–26 21–29

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0.8% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.1%  
83 0.4% 98.9%  
84 10% 98.6%  
85 0.4% 89%  
86 79% 88% Median
87 3% 10%  
88 0.3% 7%  
89 0.4% 7%  
90 0.5% 6% Majority
91 0.1% 6%  
92 1.1% 6%  
93 3% 5%  
94 1.3% 2%  
95 0.5% 0.6%  
96 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 0.2% 99.7%  
80 10% 99.5%  
81 1.4% 90%  
82 79% 88% Median
83 0.8% 9%  
84 0.5% 8%  
85 0.9% 7%  
86 0.8% 7%  
87 0.9% 6%  
88 0.1% 5%  
89 3% 5%  
90 1.1% 2% Majority
91 0.5% 0.7% Last Result
92 0.2% 0.2%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.3% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.6%  
75 0.9% 99.5%  
76 0.2% 98.6%  
77 0.3% 98%  
78 11% 98%  
79 78% 87% Median
80 2% 9% Last Result
81 0.7% 7%  
82 0.5% 6%  
83 0.5% 5%  
84 3% 5%  
85 0.5% 2%  
86 1.0% 2%  
87 0.4% 0.8%  
88 0.4% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.5% 100%  
69 0% 99.5%  
70 1.3% 99.4%  
71 3% 98%  
72 0.1% 95%  
73 0.8% 95%  
74 2% 95%  
75 0.3% 93%  
76 2% 93%  
77 78% 90% Median
78 0.9% 13%  
79 0.5% 12% Last Result
80 0.2% 11%  
81 10% 11%  
82 0.3% 1.2%  
83 0% 0.9%  
84 0.8% 0.9%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.4% 99.6%  
73 0.6% 99.3%  
74 10% 98.7%  
75 81% 89% Last Result, Median
76 0.9% 8%  
77 0.2% 7%  
78 2% 7%  
79 0.2% 5%  
80 3% 5%  
81 0.3% 2%  
82 1.1% 2%  
83 0.8% 0.8%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.9% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 98.9%  
68 79% 98.7% Median
69 10% 19%  
70 0.6% 10%  
71 2% 9%  
72 0.4% 7%  
73 0.3% 7%  
74 4% 7%  
75 0.4% 2%  
76 0.2% 2%  
77 0.1% 2%  
78 0.7% 2% Last Result
79 1.0% 1.0%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0.4% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.5%  
55 0.5% 99.4%  
56 4% 99.0%  
57 0.4% 95%  
58 2% 95%  
59 78% 93% Median
60 2% 15%  
61 0.7% 14%  
62 1.1% 13%  
63 0.4% 12%  
64 10% 11%  
65 0.1% 2%  
66 1.0% 1.4%  
67 0.3% 0.5%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0.4% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.5%  
55 0.5% 99.4%  
56 4% 98.9%  
57 0.4% 95%  
58 2% 95%  
59 78% 93% Median
60 2% 15%  
61 0.7% 14%  
62 1.1% 13%  
63 0.4% 12%  
64 10% 11%  
65 0.1% 2%  
66 1.0% 1.4%  
67 0.3% 0.5%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0.3% 99.9%  
52 0.3% 99.6%  
53 78% 99.4% Median
54 0.9% 22%  
55 12% 21%  
56 0.6% 9%  
57 3% 8%  
58 2% 5%  
59 1.4% 3%  
60 0.2% 2%  
61 0.4% 2%  
62 0.5% 2%  
63 0.1% 1.1%  
64 0% 1.0% Last Result
65 0% 1.0%  
66 0.9% 0.9%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 0.3% 99.9%  
47 0.4% 99.5%  
48 0.2% 99.2%  
49 3% 98.9%  
50 0.7% 95%  
51 79% 95% Median
52 0.1% 16%  
53 3% 16%  
54 0.2% 13%  
55 2% 13%  
56 0.2% 11%  
57 10% 11%  
58 0.3% 1.0%  
59 0.4% 0.7%  
60 0% 0.3%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 0.3% 99.9%  
47 0.4% 99.5%  
48 0.2% 99.1%  
49 3% 98.9%  
50 0.7% 95%  
51 79% 95% Median
52 0.1% 16%  
53 3% 16%  
54 0.2% 13%  
55 2% 13%  
56 0.2% 11%  
57 10% 11%  
58 0.3% 1.0%  
59 0.4% 0.7%  
60 0% 0.3%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.3% 100%  
42 0% 99.7%  
43 0.5% 99.7%  
44 0.1% 99.2%  
45 1.0% 99.1%  
46 1.3% 98%  
47 0.5% 97%  
48 0.3% 96%  
49 5% 96%  
50 0.6% 91%  
51 79% 91% Median
52 10% 12%  
53 0.5% 2%  
54 0.3% 1.3%  
55 0.8% 1.0%  
56 0% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.2%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0.1% Last Result
60 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.3% 100%  
35 0.6% 99.7%  
36 1.3% 99.1%  
37 3% 98%  
38 0.4% 94%  
39 0.3% 94%  
40 2% 94%  
41 0.6% 91%  
42 2% 91%  
43 78% 89% Median
44 10% 11%  
45 0.6% 1.2%  
46 0.4% 0.6%  
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.3% 100%  
20 0% 99.7%  
21 4% 99.7%  
22 0.3% 95%  
23 2% 95%  
24 1.3% 93%  
25 11% 92%  
26 79% 81% Median
27 0.3% 2%  
28 1.0% 2%  
29 0.3% 0.7%  
30 0% 0.4%  
31 0% 0.4%  
32 0.3% 0.3%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations