Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 16–18 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 25.0% 23.3–26.8% 22.8–27.3% 22.4–27.8% 21.6–28.7%
Venstre 23.4% 14.7% 13.3–16.2% 13.0–16.6% 12.6–17.0% 12.0–17.8%
Moderaterne 0.0% 9.2% 8.2–10.5% 7.8–10.9% 7.6–11.2% 7.1–11.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 9.1% 8.0–10.4% 7.8–10.8% 7.5–11.1% 7.0–11.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.7% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.3% 6.2–9.6% 5.8–10.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.4% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 6.0–9.2% 5.5–9.8%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 7.4% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 6.0–9.2% 5.5–9.8%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 5.7% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.0–7.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.2–6.6% 4.0–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.3% 2.5–5.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.8% 0.9–3.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.8–2.9%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.6%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.2% 0.2–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 46 43–48 43–48 41–48 40–50
Venstre 43 26 25–30 24–30 23–30 23–33
Moderaterne 0 17 15–19 15–19 14–19 13–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 17 15–20 15–22 15–22 14–22
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 14 12–15 12–16 11–16 11–16
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 11–15 11–16 11–16 11–18
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 13 10–15 10–15 10–16 10–18
Liberal Alliance 4 9 8–12 8–13 8–13 7–13
Radikale Venstre 16 10 8–11 8–12 8–12 8–12
Nye Borgerlige 4 6 5–7 5–8 5–8 4–10
Dansk Folkeparti 16 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0.3% 99.9%  
40 1.3% 99.6%  
41 0.9% 98%  
42 0.9% 97%  
43 16% 96%  
44 3% 80%  
45 4% 78%  
46 43% 74% Median
47 4% 31%  
48 26% 28% Last Result
49 0.2% 1.2%  
50 0.9% 0.9%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.4% 99.9%  
23 2% 99.5%  
24 6% 97%  
25 16% 91%  
26 39% 75% Median
27 16% 36%  
28 4% 19%  
29 0.7% 15%  
30 13% 15%  
31 0.3% 1.2%  
32 0.3% 0.9%  
33 0.5% 0.6%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 1.3% 99.9%  
14 3% 98.7%  
15 9% 96%  
16 13% 87%  
17 30% 74% Median
18 16% 44%  
19 27% 28%  
20 0.1% 1.5%  
21 1.3% 1.4%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.1% 99.9%  
14 1.3% 99.7% Last Result
15 14% 98%  
16 7% 84%  
17 34% 77% Median
18 20% 43%  
19 2% 23%  
20 12% 21%  
21 2% 8%  
22 6% 6%  
23 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 3% 99.9%  
12 24% 97% Last Result
13 22% 73%  
14 31% 51% Median
15 14% 20%  
16 6% 6%  
17 0.2% 0.3%  
18 0.1% 0.2%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 0.2% 99.8%  
11 17% 99.6%  
12 10% 82%  
13 44% 72% Last Result, Median
14 9% 28%  
15 13% 20%  
16 5% 6%  
17 0% 1.3%  
18 1.2% 1.2%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.1% 100%  
10 26% 99.9%  
11 6% 74%  
12 0.8% 68%  
13 41% 67% Median
14 9% 26%  
15 14% 17%  
16 1.2% 3%  
17 1.0% 2%  
18 0.5% 0.5%  
19 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 1.4% 100%  
8 40% 98.5%  
9 14% 58% Median
10 18% 45%  
11 4% 27%  
12 15% 23%  
13 8% 8%  
14 0.4% 0.4%  
15 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.3% 99.9%  
8 10% 99.6%  
9 34% 90%  
10 32% 56% Median
11 17% 24%  
12 6% 7%  
13 0.1% 0.3%  
14 0.1% 0.2%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 1.1% 100% Last Result
5 18% 98.9%  
6 44% 81% Median
7 32% 37%  
8 4% 6%  
9 0.8% 2%  
10 1.0% 1.1%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 43% 100%  
1 0% 57%  
2 0% 57%  
3 0% 57%  
4 43% 57% Median
5 13% 13%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 86% 100% Median
1 0% 14%  
2 0% 14%  
3 0% 14%  
4 14% 14%  
5 0.7% 0.7% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 86 12% 84–92 84–94 81–95 79–95
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 86 9% 84–89 83–90 81–91 79–91
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 77 0% 74–82 73–86 72–86 69–86
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 77 0% 73–80 73–82 71–82 69–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 75 0% 70–75 70–76 67–76 63–77
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 71 0% 68–75 66–75 63–75 63–80
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 58 0% 53–61 52–62 52–62 52–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti 79 58 0% 53–61 52–62 52–62 52–68
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 55 0% 54–58 52–58 51–58 48–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 52 0% 48–55 45–55 45–55 45–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 75 52 0% 48–55 45–55 45–55 45–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 48 0% 47–54 45–55 45–55 45–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 40 0% 38–42 37–46 37–46 36–46
Venstre 43 26 0% 25–30 24–30 23–30 23–33

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 2% 99.9%  
80 0.4% 98%  
81 0.3% 98%  
82 0.3% 97%  
83 0.2% 97%  
84 7% 97%  
85 32% 90%  
86 14% 58% Median
87 1.3% 44%  
88 28% 43%  
89 3% 15%  
90 2% 12% Majority
91 0.1% 10%  
92 0.4% 10%  
93 1.1% 10%  
94 6% 9%  
95 3% 3%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 2% 99.8%  
80 0.4% 98%  
81 0.9% 98%  
82 2% 97%  
83 0.7% 95%  
84 7% 95%  
85 32% 87%  
86 14% 55% Median
87 0.5% 41%  
88 28% 41%  
89 4% 13%  
90 6% 9% Majority
91 3% 3% Last Result
92 0% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0.4% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.5%  
71 1.5% 99.3%  
72 0.6% 98%  
73 5% 97%  
74 14% 92%  
75 8% 78%  
76 14% 69% Median
77 13% 55%  
78 29% 42%  
79 0.2% 13%  
80 0.3% 13% Last Result
81 0.9% 12%  
82 2% 11%  
83 0% 9%  
84 1.0% 9%  
85 3% 9%  
86 6% 6%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.5% 99.8%  
70 0.2% 99.4%  
71 2% 99.1%  
72 2% 97%  
73 6% 95%  
74 14% 90%  
75 8% 75% Last Result
76 13% 67% Median
77 12% 54%  
78 31% 42%  
79 0% 10%  
80 1.2% 10%  
81 3% 9%  
82 6% 6%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 1.3% 100%  
64 0% 98.7%  
65 0.4% 98.7%  
66 0.3% 98%  
67 0.8% 98%  
68 0.2% 97%  
69 1.4% 97%  
70 12% 96%  
71 3% 83%  
72 23% 80%  
73 2% 57% Median
74 5% 55%  
75 42% 50%  
76 6% 8%  
77 2% 2%  
78 0% 0.1% Last Result
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 3% 100%  
64 0% 97%  
65 0% 97%  
66 7% 97%  
67 0.3% 91%  
68 29% 90%  
69 1.2% 62%  
70 0.3% 60%  
71 16% 60%  
72 0.2% 45% Median
73 27% 44%  
74 6% 17%  
75 9% 12%  
76 0.6% 2%  
77 0.6% 2%  
78 0.2% 1.0%  
79 0.1% 0.8% Last Result
80 0.5% 0.7%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 9% 100%  
53 1.2% 91%  
54 0.3% 89%  
55 0.5% 89%  
56 2% 89%  
57 3% 87%  
58 51% 84%  
59 2% 33% Median
60 15% 31%  
61 7% 16%  
62 7% 9%  
63 0.4% 1.5%  
64 0.2% 1.0%  
65 0.1% 0.9%  
66 0% 0.8%  
67 0.1% 0.8%  
68 0.5% 0.7%  
69 0% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 9% 100%  
53 1.2% 91%  
54 0.3% 89%  
55 0.5% 89%  
56 2% 89%  
57 3% 87%  
58 51% 84%  
59 2% 33% Median
60 15% 31%  
61 7% 16%  
62 7% 9%  
63 0.4% 1.4%  
64 0.1% 1.0%  
65 0.1% 0.9%  
66 0% 0.8%  
67 0.1% 0.8%  
68 0.5% 0.7%  
69 0% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 1.4% 99.9%  
49 0.1% 98.6%  
50 0.2% 98%  
51 0.9% 98%  
52 3% 97%  
53 2% 94%  
54 21% 93%  
55 33% 72%  
56 3% 40% Median
57 4% 37%  
58 32% 32%  
59 0% 0.3%  
60 0% 0.3%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 6% 100%  
46 4% 94%  
47 0.2% 91%  
48 0.9% 90%  
49 4% 89%  
50 0.7% 86%  
51 14% 85%  
52 39% 71%  
53 2% 32% Median
54 7% 30%  
55 22% 23%  
56 0.5% 2%  
57 0.3% 1.2%  
58 0.3% 0.9%  
59 0.1% 0.5%  
60 0% 0.5%  
61 0.2% 0.5%  
62 0.2% 0.2%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 6% 100%  
46 4% 94%  
47 0.2% 91%  
48 0.9% 90%  
49 4% 89%  
50 0.7% 86%  
51 14% 85%  
52 39% 71%  
53 2% 32% Median
54 7% 30%  
55 22% 23%  
56 0.5% 2%  
57 0.3% 1.2%  
58 0.3% 0.9%  
59 0.1% 0.5%  
60 0% 0.5%  
61 0.2% 0.5%  
62 0.2% 0.2%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 6% 99.8%  
46 4% 94%  
47 14% 90%  
48 27% 77%  
49 5% 50% Median
50 0.8% 45%  
51 27% 44%  
52 1.0% 17%  
53 2% 16%  
54 6% 14%  
55 7% 8%  
56 0.5% 1.1%  
57 0% 0.5%  
58 0.4% 0.5%  
59 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
60 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0.1% 99.9%  
35 0.2% 99.8%  
36 0.2% 99.6%  
37 8% 99.4%  
38 16% 91%  
39 18% 75%  
40 27% 57% Median
41 13% 30%  
42 9% 17%  
43 0.2% 8%  
44 2% 8%  
45 0% 6%  
46 5% 6%  
47 0% 0.5%  
48 0.3% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.4% 99.9%  
23 2% 99.5%  
24 6% 97%  
25 16% 91%  
26 39% 75% Median
27 16% 36%  
28 4% 19%  
29 0.7% 15%  
30 13% 15%  
31 0.3% 1.2%  
32 0.3% 0.9%  
33 0.5% 0.6%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations