Opinion Poll by Yougov, 15–18 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 30.3% 28.7–32.0% 28.3–32.4% 27.9–32.8% 27.2–33.6%
Venstre 23.4% 10.6% 9.6–11.7% 9.3–12.1% 9.0–12.3% 8.6–12.9%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 8.3% 7.4–9.3% 7.1–9.6% 6.9–9.9% 6.5–10.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 8.0% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.3% 6.6–9.5% 6.2–10.1%
Moderaterne 0.0% 7.9% 7.0–8.9% 6.8–9.2% 6.6–9.5% 6.2–10.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.2% 6.4–8.2% 6.2–8.5% 5.9–8.7% 5.6–9.2%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 6.8% 6.0–7.7% 5.7–8.0% 5.5–8.3% 5.2–8.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 5.3% 4.6–6.2% 4.4–6.4% 4.2–6.6% 3.9–7.1%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.1% 4.4–5.9% 4.2–6.2% 4.0–6.4% 3.7–6.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 3.1% 2.6–3.8% 2.4–4.0% 2.3–4.2% 2.1–4.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 2.8% 2.3–3.5% 2.2–3.7% 2.1–3.9% 1.8–4.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.3% 1.9–2.9% 1.7–3.1% 1.6–3.3% 1.4–3.6%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.1% 1.1–2.3% 1.0–2.4% 0.9–2.7%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.2–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 55 51–57 49–58 49–58 49–59
Venstre 43 21 18–21 17–21 17–21 16–23
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 17 14–17 13–17 13–17 12–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 13 13–16 13–16 12–16 11–18
Moderaterne 0 15 13–16 13–16 12–17 10–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 11 11–13 11–15 11–17 10–17
Liberal Alliance 4 10 10–13 10–13 10–14 9–16
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 8 8–11 7–12 7–12 7–13
Nye Borgerlige 4 9 8–10 7–11 6–12 6–12
Radikale Venstre 16 6 4–6 0–7 0–7 0–7
Dansk Folkeparti 16 6 4–7 4–7 0–7 0–7
Alternativet 5 4 4 0–5 0–6 0–6
Frie Grønne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.3% 99.8% Last Result
49 7% 99.5%  
50 2% 92%  
51 3% 90%  
52 2% 87%  
53 1.3% 85%  
54 0.2% 84%  
55 61% 84% Median
56 9% 22%  
57 4% 13%  
58 9% 9%  
59 0.5% 0.8%  
60 0% 0.2%  
61 0.2% 0.2%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.4% 100%  
16 1.3% 99.6%  
17 6% 98%  
18 7% 92%  
19 21% 86%  
20 7% 65%  
21 57% 59% Median
22 1.5% 2%  
23 0.6% 0.6%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.5% 99.9%  
13 5% 99.5%  
14 4% 94%  
15 17% 90%  
16 14% 73%  
17 57% 58% Median
18 1.1% 2%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.4% 100%  
11 1.4% 99.6%  
12 2% 98% Last Result
13 68% 96% Median
14 3% 28%  
15 12% 25%  
16 10% 13%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.7% 0.8%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 1.4% 100%  
11 0.9% 98.6%  
12 2% 98%  
13 8% 96%  
14 13% 88%  
15 63% 76% Median
16 10% 13%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.6% 0.7%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 2% 99.9%  
11 63% 98% Median
12 22% 35%  
13 6% 13%  
14 2% 7% Last Result
15 1.0% 5%  
16 0.4% 4%  
17 4% 4%  
18 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.9% 100%  
10 57% 99.1% Median
11 10% 42%  
12 19% 31%  
13 8% 12%  
14 3% 4%  
15 1.1% 2%  
16 0.6% 0.6%  
17 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 5% 100%  
8 58% 95% Median
9 11% 37%  
10 13% 26%  
11 4% 12%  
12 7% 8%  
13 0.8% 0.9% Last Result
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 4% 100%  
7 2% 96%  
8 9% 94%  
9 66% 85% Median
10 12% 19%  
11 2% 7%  
12 5% 5%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0.1% 94%  
4 10% 94%  
5 14% 84%  
6 60% 69% Median
7 9% 9%  
8 0.3% 0.5%  
9 0.1% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 9% 96%  
5 7% 87%  
6 66% 81% Median
7 14% 15%  
8 0.3% 0.3%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 0% 91%  
2 0% 91%  
3 0% 91%  
4 85% 91% Median
5 3% 7% Last Result
6 4% 4%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 13%  
2 0% 13%  
3 0% 13%  
4 12% 13%  
5 1.0% 1.0%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 84 1.1% 82–86 81–88 81–89 79–92
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 80 0.2% 78–82 77–87 77–89 75–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 78 0% 77–83 77–84 77–84 74–86
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 74 0% 73–80 73–80 73–84 69–84
Venstre – Danmarksdemokraterne – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 76 0% 73–76 72–77 72–80 68–81
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 72 0% 69–73 65–76 65–80 65–80
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 59 0% 57–61 57–62 57–64 54–67
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti 79 59 0% 57–61 57–62 57–64 54–67
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 61 0% 56–62 53–63 53–63 53–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 50 0% 50–51 48–53 45–55 45–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 75 50 0% 50–51 48–53 45–55 45–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 44 0% 43–47 43–48 42–49 41–50
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 34 0% 32–35 31–36 31–37 29–37
Venstre 43 21 0% 18–21 17–21 17–21 16–23

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.3% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.7%  
79 0.3% 99.6%  
80 0.2% 99.3%  
81 7% 99.1%  
82 3% 92%  
83 1.2% 89%  
84 65% 87% Median
85 5% 22%  
86 8% 17%  
87 4% 9%  
88 1.2% 5%  
89 3% 4%  
90 0.2% 1.1% Majority
91 0.2% 0.9%  
92 0.3% 0.7%  
93 0.3% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.7%  
75 0.2% 99.6%  
76 0.1% 99.4%  
77 7% 99.2%  
78 3% 93%  
79 2% 90%  
80 65% 88% Median
81 5% 23%  
82 9% 17%  
83 0.5% 9%  
84 0.9% 8%  
85 0.7% 7%  
86 0.1% 6%  
87 3% 6%  
88 0.4% 3%  
89 2% 3%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0.1% Last Result
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.2% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.7%  
74 0.1% 99.5%  
75 0.3% 99.4%  
76 1.4% 99.1%  
77 9% 98%  
78 57% 89% Median
79 11% 33%  
80 7% 22% Last Result
81 3% 15%  
82 1.1% 12%  
83 1.2% 11%  
84 9% 10%  
85 0.2% 0.9%  
86 0.2% 0.7%  
87 0.2% 0.5%  
88 0.3% 0.3%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.3% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.6%  
70 0.1% 99.5%  
71 0.3% 99.4%  
72 1.5% 99.1%  
73 9% 98%  
74 55% 89% Median
75 12% 34% Last Result
76 4% 22%  
77 3% 18%  
78 2% 16%  
79 0.3% 13%  
80 9% 13%  
81 0.5% 4%  
82 0.4% 3%  
83 0.1% 3%  
84 2% 3%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Danmarksdemokraterne – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.2% 100%  
67 0% 99.8%  
68 0.4% 99.7%  
69 0.4% 99.4%  
70 0.1% 99.0%  
71 1.2% 98.8%  
72 4% 98%  
73 7% 94%  
74 2% 87%  
75 20% 84%  
76 57% 65% Median
77 3% 8%  
78 0.4% 5%  
79 0.2% 4% Last Result
80 4% 4%  
81 0.1% 0.6%  
82 0.4% 0.5%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 7% 99.9%  
66 0.4% 93%  
67 0.2% 93%  
68 3% 93%  
69 1.2% 90%  
70 9% 89%  
71 3% 80%  
72 57% 77% Median
73 10% 20%  
74 2% 10%  
75 0.5% 8%  
76 4% 7%  
77 0.4% 3%  
78 0.2% 3% Last Result
79 0.1% 3%  
80 3% 3%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.2% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.8%  
54 0.6% 99.7%  
55 0.3% 99.1%  
56 1.2% 98.8%  
57 8% 98%  
58 2% 90%  
59 64% 88% Median
60 14% 24%  
61 3% 10%  
62 3% 7%  
63 0.7% 5%  
64 2% 4%  
65 0.1% 2%  
66 0.1% 2%  
67 2% 2%  
68 0.3% 0.3%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.2% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.8%  
54 0.6% 99.7%  
55 0.3% 99.1%  
56 1.2% 98.8%  
57 8% 98%  
58 2% 90%  
59 64% 88% Median
60 14% 24%  
61 3% 10%  
62 3% 7%  
63 0.7% 5%  
64 2% 4%  
65 0.1% 2%  
66 0.1% 2%  
67 2% 2%  
68 0.3% 0.3%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 7% 99.8%  
54 0.4% 93%  
55 1.2% 93%  
56 5% 92%  
57 2% 87%  
58 7% 85%  
59 2% 78%  
60 1.4% 77%  
61 61% 75% Median
62 7% 14%  
63 6% 8%  
64 0.5% 1.1% Last Result
65 0% 0.6%  
66 0.5% 0.5%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.9%  
45 4% 99.8%  
46 0.5% 96%  
47 0.4% 96%  
48 2% 95%  
49 2% 93%  
50 65% 91% Median
51 17% 26%  
52 1.4% 9%  
53 4% 8%  
54 0.4% 4%  
55 2% 4%  
56 1.4% 2%  
57 0.3% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.9%  
45 4% 99.8%  
46 0.5% 96%  
47 0.4% 96%  
48 2% 95%  
49 2% 93%  
50 65% 91% Median
51 17% 26%  
52 1.4% 9%  
53 4% 8%  
54 0.4% 4%  
55 2% 4%  
56 1.4% 2%  
57 0.3% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.3% 99.9%  
41 0.7% 99.6%  
42 2% 98.9%  
43 7% 97%  
44 61% 90% Median
45 12% 29%  
46 2% 16%  
47 8% 14%  
48 2% 6%  
49 3% 4%  
50 0.4% 0.8%  
51 0.3% 0.4%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 1.0% 99.8%  
30 1.2% 98.8%  
31 4% 98%  
32 17% 93%  
33 5% 77%  
34 55% 71% Median
35 10% 17%  
36 3% 6%  
37 3% 4%  
38 0.4% 0.5%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.4% 100%  
16 1.3% 99.6%  
17 6% 98%  
18 7% 92%  
19 21% 86%  
20 7% 65%  
21 57% 59% Median
22 1.5% 2%  
23 0.6% 0.6%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations