Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 20 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 24.3% 23.1–25.5% 22.8–25.8% 22.5–26.1% 22.0–26.7%
Venstre 23.4% 12.7% 11.8–13.7% 11.6–13.9% 11.4–14.2% 10.9–14.6%
Moderaterne 0.0% 9.8% 9.0–10.7% 8.8–10.9% 8.6–11.1% 8.3–11.6%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 8.6% 7.9–9.4% 7.7–9.7% 7.5–9.9% 7.2–10.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.0% 7.3–8.8% 7.1–9.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.6–9.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.1% 6.4–7.9% 6.2–8.1% 6.1–8.3% 5.8–8.6%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 7.0% 6.3–7.8% 6.2–8.0% 6.0–8.2% 5.7–8.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.0% 6.3–7.8% 6.2–8.0% 6.0–8.2% 5.7–8.5%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.9% 4.3–5.5% 4.2–5.7% 4.1–5.9% 3.8–6.2%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 4.3% 3.8–4.9% 3.6–5.1% 3.5–5.2% 3.3–5.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 2.4% 2.0–2.9% 1.9–3.0% 1.8–3.1% 1.6–3.4%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.2% 1.8–2.7% 1.7–2.8% 1.7–2.9% 1.5–3.1%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.8% 0.6–1.1% 0.5–1.2% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.4%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 43 42–46 40–46 40–46 40–47
Venstre 43 24 21–25 21–25 21–25 20–25
Moderaterne 0 18 17–19 17–19 16–19 15–20
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 15 13–16 13–17 13–17 13–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 13–17 13–17 13–17 12–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 12 12–13 11–15 11–15 11–15
Liberal Alliance 4 12 12–13 12–14 11–14 11–15
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 12 12–13 12–14 12–15 11–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 10 7–10 7–10 7–10 6–11
Radikale Venstre 16 8 6–9 6–9 6–9 6–10
Dansk Folkeparti 16 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 0–5
Alternativet 5 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–5
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.4% 100%  
40 8% 99.6%  
41 0.8% 92%  
42 36% 91%  
43 12% 55% Median
44 3% 42%  
45 2% 39%  
46 36% 37%  
47 0.3% 0.8%  
48 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 1.5% 99.9%  
21 9% 98%  
22 1.1% 89%  
23 22% 88%  
24 36% 66% Median
25 30% 30%  
26 0.1% 0.5%  
27 0.4% 0.4%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0.1% 100%  
15 1.3% 99.9%  
16 3% 98.6%  
17 26% 96%  
18 51% 70% Median
19 17% 18%  
20 1.3% 1.4%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 12% 100%  
14 8% 88%  
15 38% 80% Median
16 35% 41%  
17 6% 6%  
18 0.1% 0.2%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.6% 100%  
13 61% 99.3% Median
14 3% 39% Last Result
15 19% 35%  
16 5% 16%  
17 11% 11%  
18 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 5% 99.9%  
12 78% 95% Median
13 7% 17% Last Result
14 1.4% 10%  
15 8% 8%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.2% 100%  
11 3% 99.8%  
12 69% 97% Median
13 24% 29%  
14 4% 5%  
15 1.1% 1.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 0.8% 99.7%  
12 87% 98.9% Last Result, Median
13 3% 12%  
14 5% 8%  
15 3% 3%  
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0.6% 100%  
7 13% 99.4%  
8 2% 86%  
9 32% 84%  
10 51% 53% Median
11 2% 2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 17% 100%  
7 21% 83%  
8 50% 62% Median
9 11% 12%  
10 0.4% 0.7%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.3% 100%  
1 0% 98.7%  
2 0% 98.7%  
3 0% 98.7%  
4 46% 98.7%  
5 53% 53% Median
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 44% 100%  
1 0% 56%  
2 0% 56%  
3 0% 56%  
4 23% 56% Median
5 33% 33% Last Result
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 79 0% 79–84 77–84 77–84 76–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 79 0% 74–80 74–80 74–80 74–83
Venstre – Danmarksdemokraterne – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 78 0% 72–78 72–79 72–80 72–83
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 72 0% 71–76 70–76 68–76 68–79
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 71 0% 67–72 67–72 67–72 67–76
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 66 0% 62–68 62–68 62–69 62–70
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 62 0% 59–63 59–63 59–63 56–67
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti 79 62 0% 59–63 59–63 59–63 56–67
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 53 0% 52–53 51–54 51–54 47–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti 75 53 0% 52–53 51–54 51–54 47–56
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 51 0% 48–54 48–54 48–54 48–55
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 48 0% 47–49 46–50 46–52 44–53
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 36 0% 35–37 33–37 33–38 32–41
Venstre 43 24 0% 21–25 21–25 21–25 20–25

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 2% 99.9%  
77 4% 98%  
78 0.9% 94%  
79 47% 93%  
80 22% 46% Median
81 9% 24%  
82 1.5% 16%  
83 1.4% 14%  
84 12% 13%  
85 0.3% 0.9%  
86 0.1% 0.6%  
87 0.2% 0.6%  
88 0% 0.3%  
89 0.3% 0.3%  
90 0% 0% Majority
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 12% 100%  
75 20% 88%  
76 2% 68% Median
77 13% 65%  
78 1.3% 53%  
79 36% 51%  
80 13% 15%  
81 0.2% 2%  
82 1.0% 2%  
83 0.3% 0.8%  
84 0.2% 0.4%  
85 0.3% 0.3%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Majority
91 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Danmarksdemokraterne – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.2% 100%  
70 0.2% 99.8%  
71 0.1% 99.6%  
72 11% 99.5%  
73 0.6% 88%  
74 0.6% 88%  
75 3% 87%  
76 0.4% 84%  
77 12% 83%  
78 64% 71% Median
79 5% 7% Last Result
80 0.5% 3%  
81 0.3% 2%  
82 0% 2%  
83 2% 2%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 2% 99.8%  
69 0.2% 97%  
70 4% 97%  
71 35% 93%  
72 21% 58% Median
73 5% 37%  
74 18% 31%  
75 0.2% 14%  
76 12% 13%  
77 0.5% 1.3%  
78 0.3% 0.8%  
79 0% 0.5%  
80 0.3% 0.5% Last Result
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.3% 100%  
65 0% 99.7%  
66 0.1% 99.6%  
67 13% 99.6%  
68 14% 87% Median
69 17% 74%  
70 5% 56%  
71 35% 51%  
72 14% 16%  
73 1.1% 2%  
74 0.1% 0.9%  
75 0.2% 0.8% Last Result
76 0.3% 0.5%  
77 0.1% 0.3%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 23% 100%  
63 17% 77%  
64 0.6% 60% Median
65 8% 59%  
66 2% 51%  
67 36% 50%  
68 11% 14%  
69 2% 3%  
70 0.4% 0.7%  
71 0% 0.3%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.2% 99.8%  
56 0.1% 99.6%  
57 0.3% 99.5%  
58 0.4% 99.2%  
59 12% 98.8%  
60 4% 87%  
61 5% 83%  
62 33% 78%  
63 43% 46% Median
64 0.3% 2%  
65 0% 2%  
66 0.2% 2%  
67 2% 2%  
68 0.2% 0.2%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.2% 99.8%  
56 0.1% 99.6%  
57 0.3% 99.5%  
58 0.4% 99.2%  
59 12% 98.8%  
60 4% 87%  
61 5% 83%  
62 33% 78%  
63 43% 46% Median
64 0.3% 2%  
65 0% 2%  
66 0.2% 2%  
67 2% 2%  
68 0.2% 0.2%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.2% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.8%  
47 0.3% 99.7%  
48 0.1% 99.4%  
49 0.7% 99.4%  
50 0.7% 98.7%  
51 6% 98%  
52 16% 92%  
53 70% 76% Median
54 3% 6%  
55 0.2% 2%  
56 2% 2%  
57 0.2% 0.4%  
58 0% 0.2%  
59 0.2% 0.2%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.2% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.8%  
47 0.3% 99.7%  
48 0.1% 99.4%  
49 0.7% 99.4%  
50 0.7% 98.7%  
51 6% 98%  
52 16% 92%  
53 70% 76% Median
54 3% 6%  
55 0.2% 2%  
56 2% 2%  
57 0.2% 0.4%  
58 0% 0.2%  
59 0.2% 0.2%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 17% 99.9%  
49 27% 83%  
50 1.5% 56%  
51 12% 55% Median
52 4% 43%  
53 2% 39%  
54 37% 37%  
55 0.5% 0.7%  
56 0% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.2%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.7% 99.9%  
45 0.4% 99.2%  
46 5% 98.9%  
47 6% 94%  
48 54% 88% Median
49 29% 34%  
50 3% 6%  
51 0.1% 3%  
52 2% 3%  
53 0.2% 0.6%  
54 0.2% 0.4%  
55 0.2% 0.2%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.8% 99.9%  
33 5% 99.1%  
34 0.6% 94%  
35 25% 94%  
36 36% 69% Median
37 29% 33%  
38 3% 4%  
39 0.7% 1.2%  
40 0% 0.6%  
41 0.5% 0.5%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 1.5% 99.9%  
21 9% 98%  
22 1.1% 89%  
23 22% 88%  
24 36% 66% Median
25 30% 30%  
26 0.1% 0.5%  
27 0.4% 0.4%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations