Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 19–21 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 25.7% 23.9–27.6% 23.4–28.1% 23.0–28.6% 22.2–29.5%
Venstre 23.4% 14.2% 12.8–15.8% 12.5–16.2% 12.1–16.6% 11.5–17.4%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 9.1% 8.0–10.4% 7.7–10.8% 7.5–11.1% 7.0–11.8%
Moderaterne 0.0% 8.8% 7.7–10.1% 7.4–10.5% 7.2–10.8% 6.7–11.4%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 7.5% 6.5–8.8% 6.2–9.1% 6.0–9.4% 5.6–10.0%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.8% 5.8–8.0% 5.6–8.3% 5.3–8.6% 4.9–9.2%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 6.8% 5.8–8.0% 5.6–8.3% 5.3–8.6% 4.9–9.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.7% 5.7–7.8% 5.5–8.2% 5.3–8.5% 4.8–9.1%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–6.0% 3.5–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 3.8% 3.1–4.8% 2.9–5.0% 2.8–5.3% 2.5–5.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–4.1%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.2% 1.7–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.4% 1.2–3.8%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.5% 0.3–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.2% 0.2–1.5%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.2% 0.2–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 42 42–43 42–45 42–48 40–50
Venstre 43 26 26 25–26 25–28 22–29
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 16 15–16 15–17 13–20
Moderaterne 0 16 16–18 16–20 15–20 13–20
Liberal Alliance 4 12 12–14 12–14 12–15 10–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 13–14 13–14 11–14 9–15
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 11 11–12 11–12 10–12 9–14
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 11 11–13 11–14 11–14 9–14
Radikale Venstre 16 9 8–9 8–9 8–9 6–11
Nye Borgerlige 4 9 6–9 5–9 5–9 4–11
Dansk Folkeparti 16 5 5 4–6 0–6 0–6
Alternativet 5 4 4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0% 99.9%  
39 0.3% 99.9%  
40 0.1% 99.5%  
41 0.3% 99.5%  
42 85% 99.2% Median
43 7% 14%  
44 2% 8%  
45 0.8% 6%  
46 0.5% 5%  
47 0.6% 4%  
48 3% 4% Last Result
49 0.3% 1.2%  
50 0.4% 0.9%  
51 0.1% 0.5%  
52 0.3% 0.4%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.2% 100%  
20 0.1% 99.8%  
21 0.1% 99.7%  
22 0.2% 99.7%  
23 0.6% 99.5%  
24 0.6% 98.9%  
25 8% 98%  
26 87% 90% Median
27 0.6% 3%  
28 1.0% 3%  
29 1.1% 1.5%  
30 0% 0.4%  
31 0.3% 0.4%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.1% 99.9%  
13 1.4% 99.7%  
14 0.6% 98% Last Result
15 8% 98%  
16 87% 90% Median
17 0.8% 3%  
18 0.9% 2%  
19 0.5% 1.4%  
20 0.8% 0.9%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.2% 100%  
13 0.6% 99.8%  
14 0.9% 99.2%  
15 2% 98%  
16 86% 97% Median
17 1.1% 11%  
18 2% 10%  
19 0.2% 8%  
20 8% 8%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.5% 99.9%  
11 0.3% 99.5%  
12 85% 99.1% Median
13 3% 14%  
14 8% 11%  
15 2% 3%  
16 0.2% 0.8%  
17 0.5% 0.6%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 2% 100%  
10 0.6% 98%  
11 2% 98%  
12 0.9% 96%  
13 9% 95% Last Result
14 85% 86% Median
15 0.8% 1.1%  
16 0.1% 0.3%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 2% 100%  
10 1.1% 98%  
11 87% 97% Median
12 9% 10%  
13 0.6% 1.3%  
14 0.3% 0.8%  
15 0.1% 0.5%  
16 0.1% 0.4%  
17 0.3% 0.3%  
18 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 0.4% 99.7%  
10 0.8% 99.4%  
11 86% 98.6% Median
12 0.8% 12% Last Result
13 2% 12%  
14 9% 10%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.4% 100%  
6 0.8% 99.6%  
7 0.9% 98.8%  
8 9% 98%  
9 87% 89% Median
10 1.1% 2%  
11 0.6% 0.8%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 2% 100% Last Result
5 7% 98%  
6 1.1% 91%  
7 2% 90%  
8 0.8% 88%  
9 86% 87% Median
10 0.6% 1.1%  
11 0.5% 0.5%  
12 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 3% 96%  
5 86% 94% Median
6 8% 8%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100%  
1 0% 90%  
2 0% 90%  
3 0% 90%  
4 88% 90% Median
5 2% 2% Last Result
6 0.2% 0.3%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 85 2% 85 79–86 79–87 79–91
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 81 0% 81 79–82 79–85 77–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 76 0% 76 71–77 71–80 71–82
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Danmarksdemokraterne – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 74 0% 74 73–76 71–76 65–79
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 72 0% 72 71–73 71–76 69–79
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 67 0% 67 66–71 66–73 65–75
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 63 0% 63 62–64 60–64 55–68
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti 79 63 0% 63 62–64 60–64 55–68
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 54 0% 54–57 54–59 52–59 49–61
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti 75 54 0% 54–57 54–59 52–59 49–61
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 51 0% 51 51–55 51–57 48–59
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 59 49 0% 49–53 49–53 49–54 47–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 37 0% 37–39 37–39 37–40 34–41
Venstre 43 26 0% 26 25–26 25–28 22–29

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 7% 99.9%  
80 0.4% 93%  
81 0.5% 92%  
82 0.8% 92%  
83 0.9% 91%  
84 0.1% 90%  
85 85% 90% Median
86 2% 5%  
87 1.2% 3%  
88 0.5% 2%  
89 0.1% 2%  
90 1.1% 2% Majority
91 0.3% 0.6%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.8%  
77 0.2% 99.7%  
78 0.5% 99.4%  
79 7% 99.0%  
80 0.6% 92%  
81 85% 91% Median
82 2% 6%  
83 1.1% 4%  
84 0.3% 3%  
85 1.4% 3%  
86 0.4% 1.3%  
87 0.5% 1.0%  
88 0.2% 0.5%  
89 0.2% 0.2%  
90 0% 0% Majority
91 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.8%  
71 7% 99.6%  
72 0.7% 93%  
73 0.2% 92%  
74 1.1% 92%  
75 0.2% 91%  
76 85% 91% Median
77 2% 5%  
78 0.2% 4%  
79 0.5% 3%  
80 1.1% 3% Last Result
81 0.6% 2%  
82 0.8% 1.1%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Danmarksdemokraterne – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.7% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.2%  
67 0% 99.2%  
68 0.2% 99.2%  
69 0.1% 99.0%  
70 0.8% 98.9%  
71 2% 98%  
72 0.2% 96%  
73 1.0% 96%  
74 85% 95% Median
75 0.6% 10%  
76 7% 9%  
77 0.6% 2%  
78 0.6% 2%  
79 0.7% 1.0% Last Result
80 0.2% 0.3%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.7%  
69 0.5% 99.6%  
70 0.7% 99.0%  
71 7% 98%  
72 85% 91% Median
73 1.3% 6%  
74 0.3% 5%  
75 0.3% 4% Last Result
76 2% 4%  
77 2% 2%  
78 0.2% 0.9%  
79 0.3% 0.7%  
80 0.2% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.7%  
65 0.2% 99.6%  
66 8% 99.4%  
67 85% 92% Median
68 0.9% 7%  
69 0.3% 6%  
70 0.6% 6%  
71 0.8% 5%  
72 1.5% 4%  
73 1.5% 3%  
74 0.9% 1.5%  
75 0.2% 0.6%  
76 0.4% 0.4%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.8% 99.9%  
56 0.1% 99.2%  
57 0% 99.0%  
58 0.5% 99.0%  
59 0.7% 98.5%  
60 0.5% 98%  
61 1.3% 97%  
62 1.4% 96%  
63 85% 95% Median
64 7% 9%  
65 0.5% 2%  
66 0.3% 2%  
67 0.4% 1.4%  
68 0.8% 1.0%  
69 0% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.8% 99.9%  
56 0.1% 99.2%  
57 0% 99.0%  
58 0.5% 99.0%  
59 0.7% 98.5%  
60 0.5% 98%  
61 1.3% 97%  
62 1.4% 96%  
63 85% 95% Median
64 7% 9%  
65 0.5% 2%  
66 0.3% 2%  
67 0.4% 1.4%  
68 0.8% 1.0%  
69 0% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.5% 99.8%  
50 0.3% 99.3%  
51 1.3% 99.0%  
52 0.5% 98%  
53 0.4% 97%  
54 85% 97% Median
55 1.4% 12%  
56 0.4% 11%  
57 0.9% 10%  
58 0.4% 9%  
59 8% 9%  
60 0.2% 0.7%  
61 0.3% 0.5%  
62 0.2% 0.2%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.5% 99.8%  
50 0.3% 99.3%  
51 1.3% 99.0%  
52 0.5% 98%  
53 0.4% 97%  
54 85% 97% Median
55 1.4% 12%  
56 0.4% 11%  
57 0.9% 10%  
58 0.4% 9%  
59 8% 9%  
60 0.2% 0.7%  
61 0.3% 0.5%  
62 0.2% 0.2%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.3% 99.7%  
49 0.1% 99.4%  
50 0.2% 99.3%  
51 91% 99.1% Median
52 1.3% 8%  
53 1.0% 6%  
54 0.3% 5%  
55 2% 5%  
56 0.7% 3%  
57 2% 3%  
58 0.3% 1.1%  
59 0.4% 0.7%  
60 0.2% 0.3%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 0.4% 99.8%  
48 0.6% 99.5%  
49 85% 98.8% Median
50 0.5% 14%  
51 2% 13%  
52 0.2% 12%  
53 9% 11%  
54 0.5% 3%  
55 2% 2%  
56 0.3% 0.6%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.3% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.7%  
34 0.7% 99.6%  
35 0.1% 98.9%  
36 0.5% 98.8%  
37 85% 98% Median
38 1.1% 13%  
39 8% 12%  
40 4% 4%  
41 0.3% 0.7%  
42 0.1% 0.4%  
43 0.1% 0.3%  
44 0.2% 0.2%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.2% 100%  
20 0.1% 99.8%  
21 0.1% 99.7%  
22 0.2% 99.7%  
23 0.6% 99.5%  
24 0.6% 98.9%  
25 8% 98%  
26 87% 90% Median
27 0.6% 3%  
28 1.0% 3%  
29 1.1% 1.5%  
30 0% 0.4%  
31 0.3% 0.4%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations