Opinion Poll by Gallup for Berlingske, 24 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 24.4% 23.2–25.7% 22.8–26.0% 22.5–26.4% 21.9–27.0%
Venstre 23.4% 13.8% 12.8–14.9% 12.6–15.2% 12.3–15.4% 11.9–15.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 9.2% 8.4–10.1% 8.2–10.3% 8.0–10.6% 7.6–11.0%
Moderaterne 0.0% 8.8% 8.0–9.7% 7.8–10.0% 7.6–10.2% 7.3–10.6%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 8.3% 7.5–9.2% 7.3–9.4% 7.1–9.6% 6.8–10.0%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 8.1% 7.3–8.9% 7.1–9.2% 7.0–9.4% 6.6–9.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.0% 7.2–8.8% 7.0–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.5–9.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.2% 5.6–7.0% 5.4–7.2% 5.2–7.4% 4.9–7.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 3.8% 3.3–4.4% 3.1–4.6% 3.0–4.7% 2.8–5.1%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 3.7% 3.2–4.3% 3.0–4.5% 2.9–4.6% 2.7–4.9%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.5% 2.1–3.0% 2.0–3.2% 1.9–3.3% 1.7–3.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 2.3% 1.9–2.8% 1.8–2.9% 1.7–3.1% 1.5–3.3%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.4% 0.3–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–1.0%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.4% 0.3–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–1.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 44 41–46 40–46 39–46 38–48
Venstre 43 24 21–27 21–27 21–28 21–28
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 15–18 14–20 14–20 13–20
Moderaterne 0 16 14–17 14–18 13–18 12–18
Liberal Alliance 4 14 13–16 13–17 13–17 12–18
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 13 12–15 12–16 12–16 12–16
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 13–17 13–17 11–17 11–19
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 12 10–14 10–14 9–14 9–14
Nye Borgerlige 4 7 6–8 5–9 5–9 5–10
Radikale Venstre 16 7 5–8 5–8 5–8 5–9
Alternativet 5 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–6
Dansk Folkeparti 16 4 4–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.8% 99.9%  
39 3% 99.1%  
40 2% 96%  
41 12% 93%  
42 11% 82%  
43 17% 71%  
44 30% 54% Median
45 13% 24%  
46 8% 11%  
47 2% 2%  
48 0.6% 0.8% Last Result
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0.2% 0.2%  
51 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 14% 100%  
22 28% 86%  
23 5% 58%  
24 13% 53% Median
25 23% 41%  
26 6% 17%  
27 9% 11%  
28 2% 3%  
29 0.3% 0.3%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 2% 99.9%  
14 6% 98% Last Result
15 31% 92%  
16 30% 61% Median
17 19% 32%  
18 3% 12%  
19 3% 9%  
20 6% 6%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.8% 99.9%  
13 3% 99.2%  
14 14% 96%  
15 14% 82%  
16 21% 68% Median
17 43% 48%  
18 5% 5%  
19 0.4% 0.4%  
20 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.2% 100%  
12 2% 99.8%  
13 13% 98%  
14 40% 85% Median
15 17% 45%  
16 22% 28%  
17 5% 6%  
18 0.2% 0.6%  
19 0.3% 0.5%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.3% 100%  
12 25% 99.7%  
13 28% 75% Median
14 24% 47%  
15 17% 23%  
16 6% 6%  
17 0.2% 0.4%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 3% 100%  
12 1.0% 97%  
13 21% 96% Last Result
14 9% 75%  
15 37% 66% Median
16 17% 29%  
17 12% 12%  
18 0% 0.5%  
19 0.5% 0.5%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.1% 99.9%  
9 2% 99.8%  
10 22% 97%  
11 23% 76%  
12 14% 53% Last Result, Median
13 27% 39%  
14 11% 11%  
15 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100% Last Result
5 7% 99.8%  
6 23% 93%  
7 60% 70% Median
8 3% 10%  
9 7% 7%  
10 0.5% 0.5%  
11 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 10% 99.9%  
6 38% 89%  
7 31% 51% Median
8 19% 20%  
9 1.5% 1.5%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100%  
1 0% 85%  
2 0% 85%  
3 0% 85%  
4 62% 85% Median
5 17% 24% Last Result
6 6% 7%  
7 0.2% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 0% 91%  
2 0% 91%  
3 0.4% 91%  
4 49% 90% Median
5 37% 41%  
6 4% 4%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 85 0.6% 82–87 80–87 80–88 76–90
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 81 0% 77–83 77–84 77–84 76–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 79 0% 74–81 73–81 73–81 70–83
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Danmarksdemokraterne – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 74 0% 72–78 72–79 71–79 69–81
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 75 0% 71–76 70–77 69–77 68–80
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 66 0% 63–69 63–69 62–71 61–74
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 61 0% 59–64 58–66 57–66 54–66
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti 79 61 0% 59–64 58–66 57–66 54–66
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 54 0% 52–58 50–59 50–59 46–60
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti 75 54 0% 52–58 50–59 50–59 46–60
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 59 49 0% 48–54 46–54 46–55 45–56
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 50 0% 48–52 47–52 47–53 45–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 35 0% 32–39 32–39 31–39 31–40
Venstre 43 24 0% 21–27 21–27 21–28 21–28

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.7% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.3%  
78 0.1% 99.2%  
79 0.5% 99.2%  
80 4% 98.7%  
81 2% 95%  
82 6% 92%  
83 17% 86%  
84 9% 69%  
85 32% 60%  
86 10% 28% Median
87 14% 18%  
88 1.3% 4%  
89 2% 2%  
90 0.3% 0.6% Majority
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.2% 0.2%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.3% 100%  
76 2% 99.7%  
77 10% 98%  
78 1.5% 88%  
79 12% 87%  
80 8% 75%  
81 41% 67%  
82 3% 26% Median
83 15% 23%  
84 7% 9%  
85 0.4% 2%  
86 0.4% 2%  
87 0.1% 1.2%  
88 0.6% 1.1%  
89 0.4% 0.4%  
90 0% 0% Majority
91 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.7% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.3%  
72 0.4% 99.2%  
73 5% 98.8%  
74 5% 94%  
75 2% 89%  
76 14% 86%  
77 10% 72%  
78 7% 63%  
79 39% 55% Median
80 3% 16% Last Result
81 11% 13%  
82 0.7% 2%  
83 0.5% 0.8%  
84 0% 0.3%  
85 0% 0.2%  
86 0.2% 0.2%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Danmarksdemokraterne – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.2% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 0.8% 99.8%  
70 0.8% 99.0%  
71 3% 98%  
72 15% 95%  
73 30% 80%  
74 10% 50% Median
75 9% 40%  
76 1.4% 31%  
77 14% 29%  
78 6% 15%  
79 8% 9% Last Result
80 0.2% 1.0%  
81 0.6% 0.8%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.8% 99.9%  
69 4% 99.2%  
70 5% 95%  
71 2% 90%  
72 11% 88%  
73 8% 77%  
74 7% 69%  
75 40% 62% Last Result, Median
76 14% 22%  
77 6% 8%  
78 0.3% 2%  
79 0.3% 2%  
80 1.0% 1.4%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 1.4% 99.9%  
62 2% 98.5%  
63 11% 96%  
64 4% 86%  
65 10% 81%  
66 40% 71%  
67 11% 31% Median
68 10% 21%  
69 7% 11%  
70 0.8% 3%  
71 1.4% 3%  
72 0.1% 1.1%  
73 0.5% 1.1%  
74 0.5% 0.6%  
75 0.2% 0.2%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.3% 100%  
54 0.2% 99.7%  
55 0.7% 99.4%  
56 1.1% 98.8%  
57 0.7% 98%  
58 3% 97%  
59 18% 94%  
60 21% 76%  
61 28% 55% Median
62 2% 27%  
63 11% 25%  
64 5% 14%  
65 4% 9%  
66 5% 5%  
67 0.1% 0.4%  
68 0.3% 0.3%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.3% 100%  
54 0.2% 99.7%  
55 0.7% 99.4%  
56 1.1% 98.8%  
57 0.7% 98%  
58 3% 97%  
59 18% 94%  
60 21% 76%  
61 28% 55% Median
62 2% 27%  
63 11% 25%  
64 5% 14%  
65 4% 9%  
66 5% 5%  
67 0.1% 0.4%  
68 0.3% 0.3%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.2% 100%  
45 0.2% 99.8%  
46 0.2% 99.7%  
47 0.1% 99.5%  
48 0.5% 99.3%  
49 1.1% 98.8%  
50 3% 98%  
51 3% 95%  
52 12% 92%  
53 11% 80%  
54 39% 69% Median
55 5% 30%  
56 12% 25%  
57 2% 12%  
58 4% 11%  
59 7% 7%  
60 0.7% 0.7%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.2% 100%  
45 0.2% 99.8%  
46 0.2% 99.7%  
47 0.1% 99.5%  
48 0.5% 99.3%  
49 1.1% 98.8%  
50 3% 98%  
51 3% 95%  
52 12% 92%  
53 11% 80%  
54 39% 69% Median
55 5% 30%  
56 12% 25%  
57 2% 12%  
58 4% 11%  
59 7% 7%  
60 0.7% 0.7%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.2% 100%  
45 0.4% 99.8%  
46 5% 99.4%  
47 1.5% 95%  
48 12% 93%  
49 41% 81%  
50 6% 39% Median
51 3% 33%  
52 11% 30%  
53 6% 19%  
54 9% 13%  
55 4% 5%  
56 0.6% 0.6%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.2% 100%  
45 0.5% 99.8%  
46 2% 99.3%  
47 5% 98%  
48 12% 92%  
49 12% 81%  
50 32% 68%  
51 24% 37% Median
52 10% 13%  
53 0.9% 3%  
54 0.4% 2%  
55 0.8% 1.5%  
56 0.7% 0.7%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 3% 99.9%  
32 13% 97%  
33 2% 84%  
34 7% 82%  
35 42% 75%  
36 2% 33% Median
37 6% 32%  
38 11% 26%  
39 13% 15%  
40 1.0% 1.4%  
41 0.4% 0.4%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 14% 100%  
22 28% 86%  
23 5% 58%  
24 13% 53% Median
25 23% 41%  
26 6% 17%  
27 9% 11%  
28 2% 3%  
29 0.3% 0.3%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations