Opinion Poll by Yougov, 21–25 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 28.6% 27.0–30.3% 26.6–30.8% 26.2–31.2% 25.4–32.0%
Venstre 23.4% 10.4% 9.4–11.6% 9.1–11.9% 8.8–12.2% 8.4–12.8%
Moderaterne 0.0% 9.6% 8.6–10.7% 8.3–11.1% 8.1–11.4% 7.6–11.9%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 8.5% 7.5–9.6% 7.3–9.9% 7.1–10.2% 6.6–10.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.3% 7.4–9.4% 7.1–9.7% 6.9–10.0% 6.5–10.5%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 7.1% 6.3–8.2% 6.0–8.4% 5.8–8.7% 5.5–9.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.7% 5.8–7.7% 5.6–7.9% 5.4–8.2% 5.0–8.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.5% 5.7–7.5% 5.5–7.8% 5.3–8.0% 4.9–8.5%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.3% 3.6–5.1% 3.4–5.3% 3.3–5.5% 3.0–6.0%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 3.6% 3.0–4.3% 2.8–4.6% 2.7–4.8% 2.4–5.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 2.6% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.5% 1.9–3.7% 1.6–4.0%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.3% 1.8–2.9% 1.7–3.1% 1.6–3.3% 1.4–3.6%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.6%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.5% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 48 47–53 47–53 47–54 46–58
Venstre 43 19 18–21 17–22 17–22 15–23
Moderaterne 0 18 16–19 16–19 15–20 14–21
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 13 12–17 12–18 12–18 11–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 15–17 14–17 13–18 11–18
Liberal Alliance 4 13 12–15 12–15 11–16 10–16
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 12 11–14 10–14 9–15 9–15
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 11 10–13 10–13 8–14 8–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 7 6–8 6–9 6–9 5–10
Radikale Venstre 16 7 6–7 6–8 5–8 4–8
Dansk Folkeparti 16 5 4–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Alternativet 5 5 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–7
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 0.3% 99.9%  
46 0.3% 99.6%  
47 21% 99.3%  
48 50% 78% Last Result, Median
49 3% 29%  
50 2% 26%  
51 4% 24%  
52 6% 20%  
53 11% 14%  
54 1.5% 3%  
55 0.3% 1.2%  
56 0.1% 0.9%  
57 0.1% 0.8%  
58 0.7% 0.7%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.2% 100%  
15 0.7% 99.8%  
16 2% 99.1%  
17 4% 98%  
18 17% 94%  
19 44% 77% Median
20 6% 33%  
21 22% 27%  
22 4% 6%  
23 1.4% 1.5%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.2% 99.9%  
14 1.4% 99.7%  
15 2% 98%  
16 16% 97%  
17 7% 80%  
18 45% 74% Median
19 25% 29%  
20 3% 4%  
21 0.5% 1.0%  
22 0% 0.5%  
23 0.3% 0.5%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.5% 99.9%  
12 21% 99.4%  
13 40% 78% Median
14 16% 38%  
15 5% 22%  
16 5% 17%  
17 7% 12%  
18 5% 5%  
19 0.1% 0.3%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.5% 100%  
12 0.8% 99.4%  
13 2% 98.6%  
14 5% 97% Last Result
15 40% 92%  
16 8% 52% Median
17 41% 44%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 1.0% 100%  
11 3% 99.0%  
12 13% 96%  
13 35% 82% Median
14 4% 47%  
15 40% 43%  
16 3% 3%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 3% 100%  
10 3% 97%  
11 26% 94%  
12 41% 67% Median
13 13% 27% Last Result
14 11% 14%  
15 3% 3%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 4% 100%  
9 0.6% 96%  
10 41% 95%  
11 35% 54% Median
12 7% 19% Last Result
13 7% 12%  
14 3% 5%  
15 1.2% 2%  
16 0.9% 0.9%  
17 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.9% 100%  
6 42% 99.1%  
7 27% 57% Median
8 23% 30%  
9 6% 7%  
10 1.0% 1.3%  
11 0.2% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 1.2% 100%  
5 3% 98.8%  
6 18% 95%  
7 72% 78% Median
8 5% 5%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 15% 93%  
5 53% 78% Median
6 23% 25%  
7 1.0% 2%  
8 0.4% 0.5%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 14% 100%  
1 0% 86%  
2 0% 86%  
3 0% 86%  
4 11% 86%  
5 70% 75% Last Result, Median
6 4% 5%  
7 0.7% 0.7%  
8 0% 0%  

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 89 15% 84–93 84–93 84–93 81–93
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 84 0.9% 80–88 80–88 80–88 79–90
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 82 0% 78–87 77–87 77–87 75–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 77 0% 73–82 73–82 73–82 73–84
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 72 0% 69–74 69–74 69–75 67–78
Venstre – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 68 0% 66–73 66–74 66–74 64–76
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 55 0% 54–59 54–59 54–60 52–64
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 55 0% 52–59 52–59 52–59 50–60
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti 79 55 0% 52–59 52–59 52–59 50–60
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 49 0% 45–51 45–51 45–51 43–53
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti 75 49 0% 45–51 45–51 45–51 43–53
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 59 44 0% 41–45 41–47 40–47 38–49
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 29 0% 29–32 28–34 28–34 25–37
Venstre 43 19 0% 18–21 17–22 17–22 15–23

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0.2% 99.9%  
81 0.2% 99.7%  
82 0.4% 99.5%  
83 1.3% 99.1%  
84 9% 98%  
85 21% 89%  
86 2% 68%  
87 6% 66%  
88 5% 60% Median
89 40% 55%  
90 3% 15% Majority
91 1.3% 12%  
92 0.3% 11%  
93 10% 11%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1% Last Result
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 0.5% 99.7%  
80 25% 99.1%  
81 0.9% 75%  
82 5% 74%  
83 2% 69% Median
84 42% 67%  
85 4% 24%  
86 3% 21%  
87 6% 17%  
88 10% 12%  
89 0.6% 2%  
90 0.7% 0.9% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.3% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.7%  
76 0.4% 99.4%  
77 6% 99.0%  
78 24% 93%  
79 1.0% 68%  
80 10% 67% Last Result
81 1.4% 58% Median
82 38% 56%  
83 2% 18%  
84 5% 16%  
85 0.3% 11%  
86 0.3% 11%  
87 10% 10%  
88 0.4% 0.5%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 22% 99.6%  
74 8% 78%  
75 0.5% 70% Last Result
76 0.9% 70% Median
77 44% 69%  
78 2% 25%  
79 3% 24%  
80 9% 21%  
81 0.7% 12%  
82 10% 11%  
83 0% 1.3%  
84 1.1% 1.3%  
85 0% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.7%  
67 0.2% 99.6%  
68 0.8% 99.4%  
69 22% 98.6%  
70 4% 77%  
71 13% 73% Median
72 38% 61%  
73 5% 23%  
74 15% 18%  
75 2% 4%  
76 0.5% 2%  
77 0.3% 1.4%  
78 1.0% 1.1% Last Result
79 0% 0.2%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.3% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.6%  
65 0.5% 99.4%  
66 10% 98.9%  
67 0.4% 89%  
68 42% 88% Median
69 2% 46%  
70 9% 44%  
71 23% 35%  
72 2% 13%  
73 4% 11%  
74 6% 6%  
75 0.4% 0.9%  
76 0.2% 0.5%  
77 0.2% 0.3%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1% Last Result
80 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.8%  
52 0.3% 99.7%  
53 0.4% 99.4%  
54 24% 98.9%  
55 46% 75% Median
56 7% 29%  
57 3% 23%  
58 1.4% 20%  
59 15% 19%  
60 2% 4%  
61 1.2% 2%  
62 0.2% 1.0%  
63 0.1% 0.8%  
64 0.7% 0.8% Last Result
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 99.9%  
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 0.4% 99.7%  
51 0.3% 99.3%  
52 16% 99.0%  
53 1.4% 83%  
54 6% 82%  
55 39% 76% Median
56 1.2% 37%  
57 11% 36%  
58 3% 25%  
59 21% 22%  
60 0.6% 0.8%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 99.9%  
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 0.4% 99.7%  
51 0.3% 99.3%  
52 16% 99.0%  
53 1.4% 83%  
54 6% 82%  
55 39% 76% Median
56 1.2% 37%  
57 11% 36%  
58 3% 25%  
59 21% 22%  
60 0.6% 0.8%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0.2% 99.9%  
42 0.1% 99.8%  
43 0.8% 99.6%  
44 0.3% 98.8%  
45 11% 98.5%  
46 9% 87%  
47 5% 78%  
48 1.5% 73% Median
49 39% 72%  
50 10% 33%  
51 21% 23%  
52 1.0% 2%  
53 0.5% 0.5%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0.2% 99.9%  
42 0.1% 99.8%  
43 0.8% 99.6%  
44 0.3% 98.8%  
45 11% 98.5%  
46 9% 87%  
47 5% 78%  
48 1.5% 73% Median
49 39% 72%  
50 10% 33%  
51 21% 23%  
52 1.0% 2%  
53 0.5% 0.5%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0.1% 99.9%  
38 0.4% 99.8%  
39 1.3% 99.4%  
40 1.0% 98%  
41 15% 97%  
42 3% 82%  
43 1.2% 78% Median
44 39% 77%  
45 29% 38%  
46 2% 8%  
47 5% 7%  
48 0.4% 2%  
49 1.4% 1.4%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.4% 99.9%  
26 0.1% 99.5%  
27 0.7% 99.4%  
28 8% 98.7%  
29 52% 91%  
30 1.1% 38% Median
31 2% 37%  
32 28% 36%  
33 2% 8%  
34 4% 5%  
35 0.1% 2%  
36 0.1% 1.4%  
37 1.3% 1.4%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.2% 100%  
15 0.7% 99.8%  
16 2% 99.1%  
17 4% 98%  
18 17% 94%  
19 44% 77% Median
20 6% 33%  
21 22% 27%  
22 4% 6%  
23 1.4% 1.5%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

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