Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 27 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 24.4% 22.7–26.2% 22.2–26.7% 21.8–27.1% 21.0–28.0%
Venstre 23.4% 13.3% 12.0–14.8% 11.7–15.2% 11.4–15.5% 10.8–16.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.7% 7.6–9.9% 7.3–10.3% 7.1–10.6% 6.6–11.2%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 8.6% 7.5–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.0–10.5% 6.5–11.1%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 8.6% 7.5–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.0–10.5% 6.5–11.1%
Moderaterne 0.0% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.8% 6.7–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 5.8% 5.0–6.9% 4.7–7.2% 4.5–7.4% 4.2–8.0%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 4.7% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.4% 1.3–3.8%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 41 40–42 40–42 40–45 39–54
Venstre 43 23 22–23 21–24 20–25 20–27
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 17 16–17 16–18 15–18 13–19
Liberal Alliance 4 15 14–16 14–17 14–17 13–19
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 16 15–17 15–17 14–17 13–17
Moderaterne 0 15 14–15 14–17 14–18 13–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 12 9–12 9–12 9–13 9–15
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 10 10–11 9–12 9–13 8–14
Nye Borgerlige 4 9 9–11 7–12 7–12 7–12
Radikale Venstre 16 8 8–9 7–10 7–10 6–11
Dansk Folkeparti 16 5 4–5 4–6 0–6 0–6
Alternativet 5 4 4–5 0–6 0–6 0–6
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0% 99.9%  
39 0.7% 99.9%  
40 13% 99.1%  
41 75% 86% Median
42 7% 11%  
43 0.3% 4%  
44 0.5% 3%  
45 0.7% 3%  
46 0.4% 2%  
47 0.4% 2%  
48 0.3% 1.2% Last Result
49 0% 0.9%  
50 0% 0.9%  
51 0.2% 0.9%  
52 0% 0.7%  
53 0% 0.6%  
54 0.6% 0.6%  
55 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.3% 100%  
19 0.2% 99.7%  
20 2% 99.5%  
21 7% 97%  
22 0.5% 90%  
23 82% 90% Median
24 5% 8%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.6% 1.3%  
27 0.4% 0.7%  
28 0.2% 0.3%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 0.1% 99.8%  
13 0.6% 99.7%  
14 0.4% 99.1% Last Result
15 3% 98.6%  
16 7% 96%  
17 83% 88% Median
18 5% 6%  
19 0.7% 0.8%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.2% 100%  
13 2% 99.8%  
14 14% 98%  
15 68% 84% Median
16 7% 16%  
17 7% 9%  
18 0.5% 1.4%  
19 0.6% 1.0%  
20 0.1% 0.3%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.2% 99.9%  
13 1.0% 99.8%  
14 1.2% 98.7%  
15 10% 97%  
16 69% 88% Median
17 19% 19%  
18 0.2% 0.5%  
19 0.2% 0.3%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.3% 99.9%  
13 1.4% 99.6%  
14 9% 98%  
15 83% 90% Median
16 1.3% 7%  
17 0.5% 5%  
18 4% 5%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 11% 99.8%  
10 9% 89%  
11 7% 79%  
12 68% 72% Median
13 3% 3% Last Result
14 0.3% 0.8%  
15 0.1% 0.5%  
16 0.4% 0.4%  
17 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.4% 100%  
8 0.6% 99.6%  
9 8% 99.0%  
10 76% 91% Median
11 5% 15%  
12 7% 10% Last Result
13 0.9% 3%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0.2% 100%  
7 8% 99.8%  
8 0.5% 92%  
9 68% 91% Median
10 9% 23%  
11 5% 14%  
12 9% 9%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 0.7% 99.9%  
7 7% 99.2%  
8 69% 93% Median
9 15% 24%  
10 7% 8%  
11 0.6% 1.0%  
12 0.4% 0.4%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 20% 97%  
5 70% 77% Median
6 7% 8%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 79% 94% Median
5 8% 15% Last Result
6 8% 8%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 82 0.9% 79–83 79–83 76–84 76–90
Venstre – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 78 0% 78–81 78–81 75–81 72–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 78 0.6% 76–78 75–78 75–81 74–90
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 74 0% 72–74 70–74 67–76 67–81
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 70 0% 67–70 67–70 67–72 65–81
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 66 0% 66–67 66–67 64–70 63–80
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 62 0% 61–64 61–64 59–64 57–67
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti 79 62 0% 61–64 61–64 59–64 57–67
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 53 0% 52–54 51–54 50–54 47–59
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti 75 53 0% 52–54 51–54 50–54 47–59
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 49 0% 49–50 49–50 49–53 48–63
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 59 48 0% 48–49 47–50 47–50 44–54
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 33 0% 33–34 32–35 32–35 29–38
Venstre 43 23 0% 22–23 21–24 20–25 20–27

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.2% 100%  
73 0% 99.8%  
74 0% 99.8%  
75 0.1% 99.7%  
76 4% 99.6%  
77 0.1% 95%  
78 0.1% 95%  
79 6% 95%  
80 0.6% 89%  
81 2% 88%  
82 75% 86% Median
83 7% 11%  
84 1.1% 3%  
85 0.2% 2%  
86 0.5% 2%  
87 0.2% 2%  
88 0.3% 1.4%  
89 0.2% 1.1%  
90 0.7% 0.9% Majority
91 0% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.2% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 0% 99.7%  
70 0% 99.6%  
71 0.1% 99.6%  
72 0.9% 99.5%  
73 0.1% 98.7%  
74 0.3% 98.5%  
75 1.1% 98%  
76 0.3% 97%  
77 0.3% 97%  
78 82% 97% Median
79 3% 15% Last Result
80 0.3% 11%  
81 11% 11%  
82 0.1% 0.6%  
83 0% 0.5%  
84 0% 0.5%  
85 0.2% 0.4%  
86 0% 0.3%  
87 0% 0.3%  
88 0.2% 0.2%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.7%  
74 0.1% 99.6%  
75 7% 99.5%  
76 5% 93%  
77 16% 88%  
78 68% 73% Median
79 0.5% 4%  
80 1.2% 4%  
81 0.5% 3%  
82 0.5% 2%  
83 0.1% 2%  
84 0.3% 1.4%  
85 0.3% 1.2%  
86 0.1% 0.9%  
87 0.2% 0.8%  
88 0% 0.7%  
89 0% 0.6%  
90 0.6% 0.6% Majority
91 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 0% 99.7%  
67 4% 99.6%  
68 0.1% 95%  
69 0.1% 95%  
70 0.4% 95%  
71 0.2% 95%  
72 15% 95%  
73 0.2% 79%  
74 75% 79% Median
75 1.0% 4%  
76 0.8% 3%  
77 0.2% 2%  
78 0.5% 2%  
79 0.1% 1.2%  
80 0.2% 1.1% Last Result
81 0.8% 0.9%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.7%  
66 0.3% 99.5%  
67 11% 99.2%  
68 16% 88%  
69 0.4% 72%  
70 69% 72% Median
71 1.0% 4%  
72 0.6% 3%  
73 0.1% 2%  
74 0.6% 2%  
75 0.1% 1.3% Last Result
76 0.5% 1.2%  
77 0% 0.7%  
78 0% 0.7%  
79 0% 0.7%  
80 0% 0.7%  
81 0.6% 0.6%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.8%  
63 0.4% 99.7%  
64 2% 99.3%  
65 0.2% 97%  
66 81% 97% Median
67 12% 16%  
68 0.6% 4%  
69 0.5% 3%  
70 0.7% 3%  
71 0.3% 2%  
72 0.2% 2%  
73 0.1% 1.4%  
74 0.3% 1.3%  
75 0.3% 1.1%  
76 0% 0.8%  
77 0.1% 0.8%  
78 0% 0.7% Last Result
79 0% 0.6%  
80 0.6% 0.6%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.2% 100%  
52 0% 99.8%  
53 0% 99.8%  
54 0.1% 99.8%  
55 0% 99.7%  
56 0.1% 99.7%  
57 0.7% 99.6%  
58 0.9% 98.9%  
59 0.6% 98%  
60 0.3% 97%  
61 8% 97%  
62 68% 90% Median
63 7% 22%  
64 13% 15%  
65 0.6% 2%  
66 0.7% 1.3%  
67 0.1% 0.6%  
68 0.1% 0.5%  
69 0.2% 0.4%  
70 0% 0.3%  
71 0% 0.3%  
72 0.2% 0.2%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.2% 100%  
52 0% 99.8%  
53 0% 99.8%  
54 0.1% 99.8%  
55 0% 99.7%  
56 0.1% 99.7%  
57 0.7% 99.6%  
58 0.9% 98.9%  
59 0.6% 98%  
60 0.3% 97%  
61 8% 97%  
62 68% 90% Median
63 7% 22%  
64 13% 15%  
65 0.5% 2%  
66 0.7% 1.3%  
67 0.1% 0.6%  
68 0.1% 0.5%  
69 0.2% 0.4%  
70 0% 0.3%  
71 0% 0.3%  
72 0.2% 0.2%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.2% 100%  
43 0% 99.8%  
44 0.1% 99.8%  
45 0% 99.7%  
46 0% 99.6%  
47 0.9% 99.6%  
48 0.7% 98.7%  
49 0.4% 98%  
50 0.2% 98%  
51 7% 97%  
52 2% 91%  
53 72% 88% Median
54 14% 16%  
55 0.1% 1.5%  
56 0.1% 1.3%  
57 0.3% 1.2%  
58 0.2% 1.0%  
59 0.5% 0.8%  
60 0.1% 0.3%  
61 0.2% 0.3%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.2% 100%  
43 0% 99.8%  
44 0.1% 99.8%  
45 0% 99.7%  
46 0% 99.6%  
47 0.9% 99.6%  
48 0.7% 98.7%  
49 0.4% 98%  
50 0.2% 98%  
51 7% 97%  
52 2% 91%  
53 72% 88% Median
54 14% 16%  
55 0.1% 1.5%  
56 0.1% 1.3%  
57 0.3% 1.2%  
58 0.2% 1.0%  
59 0.5% 0.8%  
60 0.1% 0.3%  
61 0.2% 0.3%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 0.2% 99.8%  
48 0.2% 99.6%  
49 81% 99.4% Median
50 14% 19%  
51 1.5% 5%  
52 0.6% 3%  
53 0.5% 3%  
54 0.1% 2%  
55 0.2% 2%  
56 0.4% 2%  
57 0.4% 1.5%  
58 0.1% 1.1%  
59 0.4% 1.0%  
60 0% 0.6%  
61 0% 0.6%  
62 0% 0.6%  
63 0.6% 0.6%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.2% 100%  
43 0% 99.8%  
44 0.4% 99.7%  
45 0.1% 99.3%  
46 0.2% 99.2%  
47 8% 99.0%  
48 78% 91% Median
49 5% 14%  
50 6% 9%  
51 0.3% 2%  
52 0.3% 2%  
53 0.4% 1.5%  
54 0.7% 1.0%  
55 0.1% 0.4%  
56 0% 0.3%  
57 0.2% 0.2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.3% 100%  
29 0.3% 99.7%  
30 0.3% 99.4%  
31 1.0% 99.1%  
32 7% 98%  
33 81% 91% Median
34 3% 10%  
35 5% 7%  
36 0.7% 2%  
37 0.1% 1.0%  
38 0.5% 0.9%  
39 0.1% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.3% 100%  
19 0.2% 99.7%  
20 2% 99.5%  
21 7% 97%  
22 0.5% 90%  
23 82% 90% Median
24 5% 8%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.6% 1.3%  
27 0.4% 0.7%  
28 0.2% 0.3%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations