Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 25–27 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.2% 24.4–28.0% 24.0–28.5% 23.5–29.0% 22.7–29.9%
Venstre 23.4% 12.5% 11.2–13.9% 10.9–14.3% 10.6–14.7% 10.0–15.4%
Moderaterne 0.0% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 9.8% 8.7–11.1% 8.4–11.5% 8.1–11.8% 7.6–12.5%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 8.8% 7.7–10.0% 7.4–10.4% 7.2–10.7% 6.7–11.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 5.9% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.1%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 3.7% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.1% 2.4–5.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.4–3.3% 1.2–3.7%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.8%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 43 43–45 42–48 42–50 42–51
Venstre 43 23 22–23 21–23 19–23 18–24
Moderaterne 0 17 15–17 15–17 14–18 14–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 20 18–20 17–20 16–21 14–21
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 14 14–17 14–17 13–17 12–19
Liberal Alliance 4 11 11–13 10–13 10–13 10–15
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 12 11–12 10–13 8–13 8–13
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 12 10–12 10–12 10–12 8–13
Radikale Venstre 16 8 7–8 7–9 7–9 6–10
Nye Borgerlige 4 6 6–8 6–8 6–8 5–9
Dansk Folkeparti 16 4 4–6 4–7 4–7 4–7
Alternativet 5 5 5 4–6 4–6 0–6
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.1% 99.8%  
41 0.2% 99.8%  
42 9% 99.6%  
43 80% 90% Median
44 0.3% 10%  
45 0.3% 10%  
46 1.1% 10%  
47 2% 9%  
48 2% 6% Last Result
49 0.8% 4%  
50 3% 3%  
51 0.3% 0.7%  
52 0.1% 0.4%  
53 0.3% 0.3%  
54 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 2% 100%  
19 2% 98%  
20 1.1% 96%  
21 3% 95%  
22 16% 92%  
23 76% 76% Median
24 0.1% 0.6%  
25 0.2% 0.5%  
26 0% 0.2%  
27 0.1% 0.2%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 3% 99.9%  
15 13% 97%  
16 0.2% 84%  
17 80% 84% Median
18 1.4% 3%  
19 0.4% 2%  
20 0.5% 2%  
21 0.6% 1.1%  
22 0.4% 0.4%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.2% 100%  
14 1.1% 99.8% Last Result
15 0.2% 98.6%  
16 3% 98%  
17 0.6% 95%  
18 13% 94%  
19 2% 82%  
20 76% 80% Median
21 4% 4%  
22 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.5% 99.9%  
13 3% 99.4%  
14 78% 97% Median
15 5% 19%  
16 2% 14%  
17 11% 12%  
18 0.2% 1.0%  
19 0.4% 0.8%  
20 0.1% 0.4%  
21 0.3% 0.3%  
22 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.1% 99.9%  
10 5% 99.8%  
11 81% 95% Median
12 3% 14%  
13 9% 11%  
14 0.7% 2%  
15 1.2% 1.4%  
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 3% 99.9%  
9 0.5% 97%  
10 3% 96%  
11 5% 93%  
12 78% 88% Median
13 9% 9% Last Result
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.5% 100%  
8 0.6% 99.5%  
9 1.1% 98.9%  
10 16% 98%  
11 3% 82%  
12 77% 79% Last Result, Median
13 1.2% 1.4%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 2% 99.8%  
7 12% 98%  
8 80% 86% Median
9 5% 6%  
10 0.6% 0.8%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9% Last Result
5 0.4% 99.9%  
6 87% 99.5% Median
7 1.5% 13%  
8 10% 11%  
9 1.3% 2%  
10 0.2% 0.4%  
11 0.3% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 77% 99.9% Median
5 3% 23%  
6 14% 20%  
7 5% 6%  
8 0.3% 0.5%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.0% 100%  
1 0% 99.0%  
2 0% 99.0%  
3 0% 99.0%  
4 7% 98.9%  
5 83% 92% Last Result, Median
6 9% 9%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 88 2% 86–88 86–88 85–88 80–91
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 83 0% 80–83 80–83 80–84 77–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 80 0% 79–80 78–80 77–81 72–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 75 0% 73–75 73–76 73–77 69–78
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 71 0% 68–72 67–74 67–75 65–75
Venstre – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 70 0% 70–74 70–74 69–74 67–76
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 56 0% 56–57 56–57 54–57 52–61
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti 79 56 0% 56–57 56–57 54–57 52–61
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 51 0% 51–52 49–57 49–57 48–57
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 50 0% 49–51 48–51 48–51 46–53
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti 75 50 0% 49–51 48–51 48–51 46–53
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 59 46 0% 43–46 42–46 42–46 40–48
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 35 0% 32–35 31–35 30–35 27–35
Venstre 43 23 0% 22–23 21–23 19–23 18–24

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 0% 99.7%  
80 0.6% 99.7%  
81 0.2% 99.1%  
82 0.1% 98.9%  
83 0.3% 98.8%  
84 0.3% 98.5%  
85 2% 98%  
86 9% 96%  
87 3% 87%  
88 81% 84% Median
89 0.1% 2%  
90 0.2% 2% Majority
91 2% 2%  
92 0% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.8%  
75 0.2% 99.8%  
76 0.1% 99.7%  
77 0.2% 99.5%  
78 0.2% 99.4%  
79 0.4% 99.2%  
80 10% 98.8%  
81 2% 89%  
82 0.2% 87%  
83 85% 87% Median
84 0% 3%  
85 0.3% 2%  
86 0.1% 2%  
87 2% 2%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority
91 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0% 99.8%  
71 0% 99.8%  
72 0.3% 99.7%  
73 0.2% 99.5%  
74 0.4% 99.2%  
75 0.2% 98.8%  
76 0.9% 98.6%  
77 1.0% 98%  
78 3% 97%  
79 9% 94%  
80 79% 84% Last Result, Median
81 3% 5%  
82 2% 2%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.8%  
68 0.1% 99.7%  
69 0.2% 99.6%  
70 0.2% 99.4%  
71 0.1% 99.2%  
72 1.3% 99.1%  
73 9% 98%  
74 4% 88%  
75 79% 85% Last Result, Median
76 3% 5%  
77 0.3% 3%  
78 2% 2%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0% 0.2%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.7%  
66 0.2% 99.5%  
67 9% 99.3%  
68 0.4% 90%  
69 0.7% 90%  
70 1.3% 89%  
71 76% 88% Median
72 4% 12%  
73 3% 8%  
74 0.6% 5%  
75 4% 5%  
76 0.2% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1% Last Result
79 0% 0%  

Venstre – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.2% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 0% 99.7%  
66 0.1% 99.7%  
67 2% 99.6%  
68 0.2% 98%  
69 0.1% 98%  
70 78% 97% Median
71 0.4% 20%  
72 5% 19%  
73 1.3% 14%  
74 12% 13%  
75 0.4% 1.2%  
76 0.4% 0.8%  
77 0% 0.4%  
78 0% 0.4%  
79 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.3% 99.8%  
52 0.1% 99.6%  
53 0.3% 99.5%  
54 2% 99.2%  
55 1.1% 97%  
56 78% 96% Median
57 16% 18%  
58 0.7% 2%  
59 0.2% 2%  
60 1.0% 2%  
61 0.3% 0.6%  
62 0.1% 0.3%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.3% 99.8%  
52 0.1% 99.6%  
53 0.3% 99.5%  
54 2% 99.2%  
55 1.1% 97%  
56 78% 96% Median
57 16% 18%  
58 0.7% 2%  
59 0.2% 2%  
60 1.0% 2%  
61 0.3% 0.6%  
62 0.1% 0.3%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 0% 99.8%  
48 0.3% 99.8%  
49 8% 99.5%  
50 0.2% 91%  
51 79% 91% Median
52 2% 11%  
53 0.7% 10%  
54 0.2% 9%  
55 0.7% 9%  
56 2% 8%  
57 5% 6%  
58 0.1% 0.5%  
59 0% 0.3%  
60 0.3% 0.3%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0% 99.8%  
45 0.1% 99.8%  
46 1.2% 99.7%  
47 0.1% 98.5%  
48 5% 98%  
49 7% 93%  
50 75% 86% Median
51 9% 11%  
52 0.7% 2%  
53 0.7% 1.1%  
54 0.2% 0.4%  
55 0% 0.3%  
56 0% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.2%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0% 99.8%  
45 0.1% 99.8%  
46 1.2% 99.7%  
47 0.1% 98.5%  
48 5% 98%  
49 7% 93%  
50 75% 86% Median
51 9% 11%  
52 0.7% 2%  
53 0.7% 1.1%  
54 0.2% 0.4%  
55 0% 0.3%  
56 0% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.2%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0.3% 99.9%  
40 0.9% 99.6%  
41 0.7% 98.7%  
42 6% 98%  
43 5% 92%  
44 0.3% 87%  
45 9% 86%  
46 77% 78% Median
47 0.2% 0.9%  
48 0.3% 0.7%  
49 0.2% 0.4%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.9% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.0%  
29 0.6% 98.9%  
30 3% 98%  
31 0.9% 95%  
32 17% 94%  
33 0.6% 77%  
34 0.5% 77%  
35 76% 76% Median
36 0.3% 0.5%  
37 0.1% 0.2%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 2% 100%  
19 2% 98%  
20 1.1% 96%  
21 3% 95%  
22 16% 92%  
23 76% 76% Median
24 0.1% 0.6%  
25 0.2% 0.5%  
26 0% 0.2%  
27 0.1% 0.2%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations