Opinion Poll by Gallup for Berlingske, 31 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.2% 25.4–27.1% 25.1–27.3% 24.9–27.5% 24.5–27.9%
Venstre 23.4% 13.7% 13.0–14.4% 12.9–14.6% 12.7–14.7% 12.4–15.1%
Moderaterne 0.0% 8.8% 8.3–9.4% 8.1–9.5% 8.0–9.7% 7.8–10.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.7% 8.2–9.3% 8.0–9.4% 7.9–9.6% 7.7–9.8%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 7.3% 6.8–7.8% 6.7–8.0% 6.6–8.1% 6.3–8.4%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 7.0% 6.5–7.5% 6.4–7.7% 6.3–7.8% 6.1–8.0%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.3% 5.8–6.8% 5.7–6.9% 5.6–7.0% 5.4–7.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.0% 5.6–6.5% 5.4–6.6% 5.3–6.7% 5.1–7.0%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 4.4% 4.0–4.8% 3.9–4.9% 3.8–5.0% 3.7–5.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.3% 3.9–4.7% 3.8–4.8% 3.7–5.0% 3.6–5.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 3.2% 2.9–3.6% 2.8–3.7% 2.7–3.7% 2.6–3.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 2.9% 2.6–3.3% 2.5–3.4% 2.4–3.4% 2.3–3.6%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.9% 0.7–1.1% 0.7–1.2% 0.7–1.2% 0.6–1.3%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.4% 0.2–0.5% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 48 48–49 48–49 48–49 45–49
Venstre 43 24 24 24 24 23–26
Moderaterne 0 16 15–16 15–16 15–16 14–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 14 14 14–15 14–16
Liberal Alliance 4 13 12–13 12–13 12–13 12–14
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 13 13 13 13 11–13
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 12 11–12 11–12 11–12 10–12
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 10 10–11 10–11 10–11 10–12
Radikale Venstre 16 8 8 8 8 7–9
Nye Borgerlige 4 7 7 7 7 7–8
Alternativet 5 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
Dansk Folkeparti 16 5 5 5 5 5–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.9%  
45 0.7% 99.7%  
46 0.9% 99.0%  
47 0.3% 98%  
48 73% 98% Last Result, Median
49 25% 25%  
50 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 1.0% 99.9%  
24 98% 98.9% Median
25 0.8% 1.3%  
26 0.4% 0.5%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0.7% 100%  
15 26% 99.3%  
16 72% 73% Median
17 1.1% 1.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 97% 100% Last Result, Median
15 1.4% 3%  
16 1.2% 1.4%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.2% 100%  
12 25% 99.8%  
13 73% 75% Median
14 2% 2%  
15 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.6% 100%  
12 2% 99.4%  
13 97% 98% Median
14 0.4% 0.4%  
15 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 1.4% 99.8%  
11 26% 98%  
12 72% 72% Median
13 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 73% 100% Median
11 27% 27%  
12 0.6% 0.7% Last Result
13 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 1.4% 100%  
8 98% 98.6% Median
9 0.7% 0.7%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0.4% 100%  
7 98% 99.6% Median
8 1.5% 2%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.3% 100%  
5 73% 99.7% Last Result, Median
6 27% 27%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 98.6% 100% Median
6 1.4% 1.4%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 87 0% 87–88 87–88 87–88 85–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 82 0% 82 82 82 79–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 79 0% 79–80 79–80 79–80 76–80
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 74 0% 74 74 74 71–74
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Danmarksdemokraterne – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 72 0% 72 72 72–73 72–75
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 70 0% 70–71 70–71 70–71 68–71
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 59 0% 59 59 59–61 59–63
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti 79 59 0% 59 59 59–61 59–63
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 56 0% 56–57 56–57 56–57 53–57
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 52 0% 52 52 52–53 52–55
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti 75 52 0% 52 52 52–53 52–55
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 59 47 0% 47 47 47–48 47–50
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 34 0% 34–35 34–35 34–35 34–36
Venstre 43 24 0% 24 24 24 23–26

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 2% 99.9%  
86 0.8% 98%  
87 73% 98% Median
88 25% 25%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 2% 99.9%  
80 0.3% 98%  
81 0.3% 98%  
82 98% 98% Median
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Majority
91 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.5% 100%  
77 0.2% 99.5%  
78 1.5% 99.3%  
79 73% 98% Median
80 25% 25% Last Result
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.5% 100%  
71 0.3% 99.5%  
72 1.3% 99.2%  
73 0.2% 98%  
74 97% 98% Median
75 0.4% 0.4% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Danmarksdemokraterne – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 97% 99.9% Median
73 2% 3%  
74 0.6% 1.3%  
75 0.3% 0.7%  
76 0.4% 0.4%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.4% 99.9%  
69 1.4% 99.5%  
70 72% 98% Median
71 26% 26%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 97% 99.9% Median
60 0.2% 3%  
61 1.5% 3%  
62 0.4% 1.2%  
63 0.7% 0.9%  
64 0.2% 0.2%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 97% 99.9% Median
60 0.2% 3%  
61 1.5% 3%  
62 0.4% 1.2%  
63 0.7% 0.9%  
64 0.2% 0.2%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0.3% 99.9%  
53 0.8% 99.6%  
54 0.6% 98.8%  
55 0.6% 98%  
56 72% 98% Median
57 25% 25%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.2% 100%  
52 97% 99.8% Median
53 0.7% 3%  
54 1.0% 2%  
55 0.6% 1.1%  
56 0.4% 0.5%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.2% 100%  
52 97% 99.8% Median
53 0.7% 3%  
54 1.0% 2%  
55 0.6% 1.1%  
56 0.4% 0.5%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.2% 99.9%  
47 97% 99.7% Median
48 1.1% 3%  
49 0.9% 2%  
50 0.5% 0.7%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 73% 99.8% Median
35 26% 27%  
36 1.0% 1.4%  
37 0.2% 0.4%  
38 0% 0.2%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 1.0% 99.9%  
24 98% 98.9% Median
25 0.8% 1.3%  
26 0.4% 0.5%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations