Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 31 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 24.2% 23.4–25.0% 23.2–25.3% 23.0–25.5% 22.6–25.8%
Venstre 23.4% 14.0% 13.4–14.7% 13.2–14.9% 13.0–15.0% 12.7–15.4%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 9.7% 9.2–10.3% 9.0–10.5% 8.9–10.6% 8.6–10.9%
Moderaterne 0.0% 8.5% 8.0–9.1% 7.8–9.2% 7.7–9.3% 7.5–9.6%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 7.7% 7.2–8.2% 7.1–8.4% 7.0–8.5% 6.7–8.8%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 6.9% 6.4–7.4% 6.3–7.6% 6.2–7.7% 6.0–7.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.5% 6.0–7.0% 5.9–7.1% 5.8–7.2% 5.6–7.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.1% 5.7–6.6% 5.5–6.7% 5.4–6.8% 5.2–7.1%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 4.4% 4.0–4.8% 3.9–4.9% 3.8–5.0% 3.7–5.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.1% 3.7–4.5% 3.6–4.6% 3.6–4.7% 3.4–4.9%
Alternativet 3.0% 3.6% 3.3–4.0% 3.2–4.1% 3.1–4.2% 2.9–4.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 2.9% 2.6–3.3% 2.5–3.4% 2.5–3.4% 2.3–3.6%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.7% 0.6–0.9% 0.5–0.9% 0.5–1.0% 0.4–1.1%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.7% 0.6–0.9% 0.5–0.9% 0.5–1.0% 0.4–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 41 41 41 41 41–44
Venstre 43 25 25 25 25 23–26
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 18 18 18 18 16–19
Moderaterne 0 16 16 16 16 15–16
Liberal Alliance 4 15 15 15 15 13–15
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 12 12 12 12 12–13
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 10 10 10 10–11 10–12
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 11 11 11 11 10–11
Radikale Venstre 16 8 8 8 8 7–8
Nye Borgerlige 4 7 7 7 7 7–8
Alternativet 5 7 7 7 7 6–7
Dansk Folkeparti 16 5 5 5 5 4–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.3% 100%  
41 97% 99.7% Median
42 1.0% 2%  
43 0.4% 1.2%  
44 0.6% 0.7%  
45 0.2% 0.2%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.7% 100%  
24 0.9% 99.3%  
25 98% 98% Median
26 0.4% 0.6%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100% Last Result
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.9% 99.8%  
17 0.3% 99.0%  
18 98% 98.6% Median
19 0.7% 0.9%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.4% 99.9%  
15 2% 99.5%  
16 98% 98% Median
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.1% 100%  
13 1.0% 99.9%  
14 1.1% 98.9%  
15 97% 98% Median
16 0.5% 0.5%  
17 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.2% 99.9%  
12 99.1% 99.7% Median
13 0.5% 0.6%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 97% 100% Median
11 0.7% 3%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
14 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 0.6% 99.8%  
11 98.8% 99.2% Median
12 0.4% 0.4% Last Result
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.6% 100%  
8 98.9% 99.4% Median
9 0.5% 0.5%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0.4% 100%  
7 98% 99.6% Median
8 1.3% 1.4%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100% Last Result
6 2% 99.8%  
7 98% 98% Median
8 0.4% 0.4%  
9 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.6% 100%  
5 98% 99.4% Median
6 1.0% 1.0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 84 0% 84 84 84 84–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 77 0% 77 77 77–78 77–81
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 76 0% 76 76 76 76–79
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Danmarksdemokraterne – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 75 0% 75 75 75 73–75
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 69 0% 69 69 69–70 69–73
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 67 0% 67 67 67 66–69
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 63 0% 63 63 63 61–63
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti 79 63 0% 63 63 63 61–63
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 56 0% 56 56 56 53–56
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti 75 56 0% 56 56 56 53–56
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 59 51 0% 51 51 51 47–51
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 49 0% 49 49 49 49–51
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 36 0% 36 36 36 34–37
Venstre 43 25 0% 25 25 25 23–26

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 98% 100% Median
85 0.5% 2%  
86 0.8% 2%  
87 1.0% 1.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Majority
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 97% 100% Median
78 0.5% 3%  
79 0.8% 2%  
80 0.4% 1.3%  
81 0.8% 0.9%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Majority
91 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 98% 99.9% Median
77 0.2% 2%  
78 1.2% 2%  
79 0.8% 1.0%  
80 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Danmarksdemokraterne – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 1.1% 99.9%  
74 0.9% 98.8%  
75 98% 98% Median
76 0.1% 0.3%  
77 0.3% 0.3%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 97% 100% Median
70 0.5% 3%  
71 0.7% 2%  
72 0.4% 1.4%  
73 0.9% 1.0%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.5% 99.9%  
67 98% 99.4% Median
68 0.5% 2%  
69 1.1% 1.2%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 1.3% 99.9%  
62 0.8% 98.6%  
63 98% 98% Median
64 0.1% 0.3%  
65 0.2% 0.2%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 1.3% 99.9%  
62 0.8% 98.6%  
63 98% 98% Median
64 0.1% 0.3%  
65 0.2% 0.2%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.6% 99.9%  
54 1.0% 99.3%  
55 0.6% 98%  
56 98% 98% Median
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.6% 99.9%  
54 1.0% 99.3%  
55 0.6% 98%  
56 98% 98% Median
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.6% 100%  
48 0.2% 99.4%  
49 0.6% 99.2%  
50 0.7% 98.5%  
51 98% 98% Median
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0.2% 0.2%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100%  
49 98% 99.9% Median
50 1.1% 2%  
51 0.7% 1.1%  
52 0.2% 0.4%  
53 0.2% 0.2%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 1.1% 100%  
35 0.7% 98.9%  
36 98% 98% Median
37 0.4% 0.6%  
38 0% 0.2%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.7% 100%  
24 0.9% 99.3%  
25 98% 98% Median
26 0.4% 0.6%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations