Opinion Poll by Yougov, 27–31 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.6% 26.1–29.2% 25.6–29.7% 25.3–30.1% 24.5–30.8%
Venstre 23.4% 12.9% 11.8–14.1% 11.4–14.5% 11.2–14.8% 10.7–15.4%
Danmarksdemokraterne 0.0% 10.1% 9.1–11.2% 8.8–11.6% 8.6–11.8% 8.1–12.4%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.5% 7.6–9.6% 7.4–9.9% 7.1–10.2% 6.7–10.7%
Moderaterne 0.0% 8.0% 7.1–9.0% 6.9–9.3% 6.7–9.6% 6.3–10.1%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 6.9% 6.1–7.8% 5.8–8.1% 5.6–8.4% 5.3–8.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.5% 5.7–7.5% 5.5–7.7% 5.3–8.0% 4.9–8.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.3% 5.5–7.2% 5.3–7.5% 5.1–7.7% 4.8–8.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.3% 3.6–5.1% 3.4–5.3% 3.3–5.5% 3.0–5.9%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 3.2% 2.7–3.9% 2.5–4.1% 2.4–4.3% 2.1–4.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 2.8% 2.3–3.4% 2.1–3.6% 2.0–3.8% 1.8–4.1%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.9% 1.5–2.4% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.1–3.0%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.3% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.8%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 50 50 49–52 48–53 44–57
Venstre 43 21 21–22 21–23 21–24 20–27
Danmarksdemokraterne 0 16 16–17 16–19 16–23 15–23
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 14–15 14–15 13–17 13–18
Moderaterne 0 15 14–15 13–15 13–16 12–18
Liberal Alliance 4 15 12–15 11–15 10–15 10–16
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 12 12 11–12 10–13 9–14
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 13 10–13 9–14 8–14
Nye Borgerlige 4 7 7 7–8 6–8 6–10
Radikale Venstre 16 6 6 6–7 5–7 4–8
Dansk Folkeparti 16 6 5–6 4–6 0–6 0–7
Alternativet 5 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–6
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.3% 99.8%  
45 0.1% 99.5%  
46 0.3% 99.4%  
47 1.5% 99.1%  
48 0.8% 98% Last Result
49 2% 97%  
50 87% 95% Median
51 1.0% 8%  
52 3% 7%  
53 2% 3%  
54 0.6% 1.3%  
55 0% 0.7%  
56 0.1% 0.7%  
57 0.6% 0.6%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.1% 99.9%  
19 0.1% 99.9%  
20 0.4% 99.8%  
21 87% 99.4% Median
22 7% 12%  
23 1.3% 6%  
24 3% 5%  
25 0.2% 2%  
26 0.2% 2%  
27 1.3% 1.5%  
28 0% 0.2%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Danmarksdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.5% 99.9%  
16 87% 99.4% Median
17 4% 13%  
18 3% 8%  
19 0.7% 5%  
20 0.2% 5%  
21 0.4% 4%  
22 0.2% 4%  
23 4% 4%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 3% 99.8%  
14 86% 97% Last Result, Median
15 8% 11%  
16 0.5% 4%  
17 2% 3%  
18 1.3% 1.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Moderaterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.2% 100%  
11 0.2% 99.8%  
12 0.1% 99.6%  
13 5% 99.5%  
14 7% 95%  
15 85% 88% Median
16 0.3% 3%  
17 1.4% 2%  
18 0.6% 1.0%  
19 0% 0.3%  
20 0.3% 0.3%  
21 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.2% 100%  
10 3% 99.8%  
11 3% 97%  
12 5% 94%  
13 2% 89%  
14 1.2% 86%  
15 85% 85% Median
16 0.6% 0.7%  
17 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.9% 100%  
10 3% 99.1%  
11 5% 97%  
12 88% 92% Last Result, Median
13 3% 4%  
14 0.7% 0.9%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 2% 100%  
9 0.8% 98%  
10 2% 97%  
11 3% 95%  
12 0.8% 92%  
13 87% 91% Last Result, Median
14 3% 4%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.4% 100%  
6 5% 99.6%  
7 90% 95% Median
8 4% 5%  
9 0.6% 2%  
10 1.0% 1.1%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.7% 100%  
5 2% 99.3%  
6 91% 97% Median
7 5% 6%  
8 0.9% 1.0%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 0.8% 95%  
5 7% 94%  
6 86% 88% Median
7 2% 2%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 0.2% 6%  
4 2% 5%  
5 2% 4% Last Result
6 1.4% 1.4%  
7 0% 0%  

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 83 0.7% 83–84 83–87 80–88 78–91
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 83 0.6% 83 80–87 78–87 77–91
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 77 0% 77 77–81 75–81 72–85
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 77 0% 77 74–81 72–81 71–85
Venstre – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 77 0% 77 75–78 73–78 70–83
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 70 0% 70 70–73 69–75 66–81
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 79 61 0% 59–61 55–61 52–61 52–64
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti 79 61 0% 59–61 55–61 52–61 52–64
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 56 0% 56 55–58 54–60 50–63
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 75 54 0% 52–54 48–54 45–54 44–56
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti 75 54 0% 52–54 48–54 45–54 44–56
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 59 48 0% 47–48 45–48 44–48 43–52
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 33 0% 33 33–35 31–37 30–40
Venstre 43 21 0% 21–22 21–23 21–24 20–27

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.6% 99.9%  
79 0.3% 99.3%  
80 2% 99.0%  
81 0.1% 97%  
82 0.5% 97%  
83 87% 97% Median
84 0.5% 10%  
85 0.9% 10%  
86 2% 9%  
87 4% 7%  
88 3% 4%  
89 0% 0.8%  
90 0% 0.7% Majority
91 0.6% 0.7%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 0.1% 99.7%  
77 0.2% 99.7%  
78 3% 99.4%  
79 0.2% 97%  
80 2% 97%  
81 0.2% 95%  
82 3% 95%  
83 85% 92% Median
84 0.2% 7%  
85 0.8% 7%  
86 0.8% 6%  
87 4% 6%  
88 1.5% 2%  
89 0% 0.6%  
90 0% 0.6% Majority
91 0.6% 0.6% Last Result
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.6% 99.8%  
73 1.2% 99.2%  
74 0.3% 98%  
75 0.4% 98%  
76 2% 97%  
77 85% 95% Median
78 0.8% 10%  
79 0.1% 9%  
80 2% 9% Last Result
81 5% 7%  
82 0.1% 2%  
83 1.4% 2%  
84 0% 0.7%  
85 0.6% 0.7%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.8%  
71 2% 99.6%  
72 1.0% 98%  
73 1.3% 97%  
74 0.5% 95%  
75 0.1% 95% Last Result
76 1.2% 95%  
77 87% 94% Median
78 0.5% 7%  
79 0.1% 6%  
80 0.6% 6%  
81 5% 6%  
82 0.2% 0.8%  
83 0% 0.6%  
84 0% 0.6%  
85 0.6% 0.6%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Danmarksdemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.6% 99.9%  
71 0.6% 99.3%  
72 0.1% 98.8%  
73 3% 98.7%  
74 0.5% 96%  
75 4% 95%  
76 0.7% 91%  
77 85% 90% Median
78 4% 5%  
79 0.5% 2% Last Result
80 0.1% 1.4%  
81 0.3% 1.3%  
82 0.3% 1.0%  
83 0.5% 0.6%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.3% 99.8%  
66 0.2% 99.5%  
67 0.4% 99.3%  
68 0.2% 98.9%  
69 3% 98.7%  
70 87% 95% Median
71 0.6% 9%  
72 0.7% 8%  
73 4% 7%  
74 0.4% 3%  
75 0.7% 3%  
76 0% 2%  
77 1.4% 2%  
78 0% 0.6% Last Result
79 0% 0.6%  
80 0% 0.6%  
81 0.6% 0.6%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 3% 100%  
53 0.1% 97%  
54 1.3% 97%  
55 0.5% 95%  
56 2% 95%  
57 2% 93%  
58 0.3% 91%  
59 0.9% 91%  
60 3% 90%  
61 86% 87% Median
62 0.1% 1.4%  
63 0.5% 1.3%  
64 0.4% 0.7%  
65 0.1% 0.3%  
66 0.2% 0.2%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 3% 100%  
53 0.1% 97%  
54 1.3% 97%  
55 0.5% 95%  
56 2% 95%  
57 2% 93%  
58 0.3% 91%  
59 0.9% 91%  
60 3% 90%  
61 86% 87% Median
62 0.1% 1.4%  
63 0.5% 1.3%  
64 0.4% 0.7%  
65 0.1% 0.3%  
66 0.2% 0.2%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.3% 100%  
50 0.2% 99.6%  
51 0.1% 99.4%  
52 0.3% 99.3%  
53 0.3% 99.0%  
54 3% 98.8%  
55 1.1% 95%  
56 85% 94% Median
57 3% 10%  
58 4% 7%  
59 0.1% 3%  
60 1.4% 3%  
61 0.1% 1.3%  
62 0.6% 1.2%  
63 0.6% 0.6%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.6% 100%  
45 3% 99.4%  
46 0.2% 96%  
47 0.6% 96%  
48 0.6% 95%  
49 1.0% 95%  
50 2% 94%  
51 2% 92%  
52 3% 90%  
53 0.3% 87%  
54 85% 87% Median
55 1.5% 2%  
56 0.2% 0.6%  
57 0.1% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.3%  
59 0.2% 0.2%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.6% 100%  
45 3% 99.4%  
46 0.2% 96%  
47 0.6% 96%  
48 0.6% 95%  
49 1.0% 95%  
50 2% 94%  
51 2% 92%  
52 3% 90%  
53 0.3% 87%  
54 85% 87% Median
55 1.5% 2%  
56 0.2% 0.6%  
57 0.1% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.3%  
59 0.2% 0.2%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.6% 99.7%  
44 3% 99.2%  
45 5% 96%  
46 0.2% 91%  
47 4% 91%  
48 85% 88% Median
49 0.3% 2%  
50 1.4% 2%  
51 0.1% 0.7%  
52 0.2% 0.6%  
53 0.2% 0.4%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.6% 99.8%  
31 2% 99.2%  
32 0.6% 97%  
33 89% 97% Median
34 0.8% 8%  
35 2% 7%  
36 2% 5%  
37 0.5% 3%  
38 0.7% 2%  
39 0.2% 1.4%  
40 1.1% 1.1%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.1% 99.9%  
19 0.1% 99.9%  
20 0.4% 99.8%  
21 87% 99.4% Median
22 7% 12%  
23 1.3% 6%  
24 3% 5%  
25 0.2% 2%  
26 0.2% 2%  
27 1.3% 1.5%  
28 0% 0.2%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations