Opinion Poll by Nézőpont Intézet, 1–18 December 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fidesz–KDNP 44.9% 50.9% 49.4–52.3% 49.0–52.7% 48.7–53.0% 48.0–53.7%
Jobbik 20.2% 13.9% 13.0–15.0% 12.7–15.3% 12.5–15.5% 12.1–16.0%
LMP 5.3% 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.3% 7.5–10.8%
DK 25.6% 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.3% 7.5–10.8%
MSZP 25.6% 8.0% 7.3–8.8% 7.1–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.6–9.7%
MM 0.0% 3.0% 2.6–3.6% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.1%
Együtt 25.6% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.3–3.0%
MKKP 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.3–3.0%
Párbeszéd 25.6% 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
MLP 25.6% 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fidesz–KDNP 133 159 157–160 157–161 157–161 156–162
Jobbik 23 14 13–15 13–15 13–16 12–16
LMP 5 9 8–10 8–10 8–11 7–11
DK 4 9 8–10 8–10 8–11 7–11
MSZP 29 8 7–9 7–9 7–9 6–10
MM 0 0 0 0 0 0
Együtt 3 0 0 0 0 0
MKKP 0 0 0 0 0 0
Párbeszéd 1 0 0 0 0 0
MLP 1 0 0 0 0 0

Fidesz–KDNP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fidesz–KDNP page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0% 100% Last Result
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0.3% 100%  
156 2% 99.7%  
157 9% 98%  
158 24% 88%  
159 40% 64% Median
160 16% 24%  
161 7% 8%  
162 0.9% 0.9%  
163 0% 0%  

Jobbik

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jobbik page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 2% 100%  
13 16% 98%  
14 54% 82% Median
15 24% 28%  
16 5% 5%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0% Last Result

LMP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the LMP page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0% 100% Last Result
6 0% 100%  
7 0.5% 100%  
8 23% 99.5%  
9 56% 77% Median
10 17% 21%  
11 3% 3%  
12 0% 0%  

DK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.9% 100%  
8 13% 99.1%  
9 67% 87% Median
10 16% 19%  
11 3% 3%  
12 0% 0%  

MSZP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MSZP page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 1.1% 100%  
7 18% 98.9%  
8 67% 81% Median
9 14% 15%  
10 0.7% 0.7%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0% Last Result

MM

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MM page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Együtt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Együtt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0% Last Result

MKKP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MKKP page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Párbeszéd

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Párbeszéd page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0% Last Result

MLP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MLP page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fidesz–KDNP 133 159 100% 157–160 157–161 157–161 156–162
DK – MSZP – Együtt – MLP – Párbeszéd 38 17 0% 16–18 16–18 15–19 15–19

Fidesz–KDNP

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0% 100% Last Result
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0.3% 100%  
156 2% 99.7%  
157 9% 98%  
158 24% 88%  
159 40% 64% Median
160 16% 24%  
161 7% 8%  
162 0.9% 0.9%  
163 0% 0%  

DK – MSZP – Együtt – MLP – Párbeszéd

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.2% 100%  
15 4% 99.8%  
16 18% 96%  
17 53% 78% Median
18 22% 25%  
19 3% 3%  
20 0.4% 0.4%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations